Useless Thread MDCCCX - Sportsbook Reset Depreciation Thread

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Siamese Dream

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Feb 5, 2011
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Kerry: “A few months back Kurtan got really paranoid that his life was The Truman Show, because he literally thought this entire village was all just a studio set, and even down to the pigeons, they would have cameras in them. So he thought if he walked as far as he could out of the village he’d just hit a wall.”
Kurtan: “Got as far as Burford. Just got bored and turned back.”
 
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Sega Dreamcast

party like it's 1999
May 6, 2009
47,666
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Charlotte
Why did the Patriots choose to kick that field goal at the end of the game last night?

Let's say they made it. Now they have a 1 point lead with 50 seconds left. So you're trying to tell me that Bill Belichick would be completely fine with giving Tom Brady the ball back with 50 seconds left?

BB isn't an idiot, so he had to have made that decision consciously. Was he throwing down the gauntlet and daring Tom Brady to win the game, or was he purposely setting him up for a game winning drive?
 

John Price

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Sep 19, 2008
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Hey @Sega Dreamcast you can watch MNF today without those "pesky" Manning brothers doing a telecast (which is completely optional and avoidable should you not feel like watching)
 

John Price

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I’ve got enemies in South Cerney, I’ve got enemies in North Cerney, I’ve got enemies in Cerney Wick. I’ve got enemies in Bourton-on-the-Water. There’s a tea rooms there and under the counter they’ve got a panic button and if I take one step inside, they can press that.

In this village, people respect me because I’m hard as f***. If five nasty f***s from Quinnington wanna rumble I say bring it on!

Kerry: “A few months back Kurtan got really paranoid that his life was The Truman Show, because he literally thought this entire village was all just a studio set, and even down to the pigeons, they would have cameras in them. So he thought if he walked as far as he could out of the village he’d just hit a wall.”
Kurtan: “Got as far as Burford. Just got bored and turned back.”
I still need to finish the thick of it lol

this new show you recommend looks good though, this is the first one you recommended that was mockumentary
 

Fixed to Ruin

Come wit it now!
Feb 28, 2007
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Why did the Patriots choose to kick that field goal at the end of the game last night?

Let's say they made it. Now they have a 1 point lead with 50 seconds left. So you're trying to tell me that Bill Belichick would be completely fine with giving Tom Brady the ball back with 50 seconds left?

BB isn't an idiot, so he had to have made that decision consciously. Was he throwing down the gauntlet and daring Tom Brady to win the game, or was he purposely setting him up for a game winning drive?

The analytics said it was the correct decision.

 

Siamese Dream

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Lol at the fancy analytics, I suppose American handegg lends itself way more to being able to use those sort of statistics but with my rugby thinking hat on you definitely take the points on offer to take the lead on the scoreboard at that point in the game, it's just common sense even if you're scared shitless of the other team.
 
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John Price

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The analytics said it was the correct decision.


262780.jpg


264448.jpg
 
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Siamese Dream

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United Britain of Great Kingdom
I still need to finish the thick of it lol

this new show you recommend looks good though, this is the first one you recommended that was mockumentary

Yeah it's not usually the sort of thing I would like since I'm not a fan of either version of the office

I didn't really "get" This Country the first time I tried to watch it but once I had spent more time working with people who are from the town the show is based on and got to know more about the local area, I found it a lot more funny
 

John Price

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Sep 19, 2008
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The analytics use nerd stats and computer models in order to affect playcalling

This is reminiscent of episode 140 of Pokemon Original entitled "Wired for Battle"

EP140 - Bulbapedia, the community-driven Pokémon encyclopedia

Shingo sits down, opens a laptop, and begins scrolling through a database entry for Ash. He explains that it contains everything he ever needs to know about any Trainer. When an eavesdropping Team Rocket hears this, they decide to steal the laptop.

Shingo finds Ash's entry and says he was lucky to get into the top 16 of the Indigo Plateau Conference, also remarking how his Charizard's disobedience cost him the tournament. Ash argues that he is much better in skill now and insists on having a battle to prove himself. Shingo refuses, reasoning that Ash would lose according to his data. Despite Ash's continued insistence, Shingo tells Muramasa to find an opponent that can teach him something he doesn't already know, and leaves. Muramasa later tells Ash and his friends that Shingo hasn't battled in over a year because he believes he can predict any battle outcome with his laptop. He then shares his concern that Shingo has lost his way. Since Shingo needs a battle that would show him that there is more to Pokémon than just facts and figures, Ash declares that he will battle Shingo.
 

John Price

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Sep 19, 2008
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after looking into HF data and developing my own HF Posting models in Python I can determine that @Zaiden Shogun has 5% chance to reach 100,000 by end of year

This is indicated by @Zaiden Shogun almost never coming to post on HF other than to participate sparingly in Hab game thread or NHL talk

Analytically @Zaiden Shogun spend 95% of his time either playing Genshin Impact, Discord, or Tales of Arise making it highly unlikely he would have the time to post on what he considers dying media
 

Siamese Dream

Registered User
Feb 5, 2011
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United Britain of Great Kingdom
I'm really glad that most tangible statistics are meaningless in the ruggers

Things like metres gained from runs and kicks are pointless because it's no good making a load of yards if you just get isolated from your teammates and then lose the ball when you're tackled, and with kicking there's a phrase "a kick is only as good as the chase"
 

John Price

Gang Gang
Sep 19, 2008
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The most damning factor of analytics is that it servers no use in game.

When you are trying to make that decision and fail you will be bitched about either way.

It's best to just go with what feels right. "We're down with a minute to go. Go for it."

"BUT THE MATH SAYS NO."

"f*** what the math says. We play to win."
 

John Price

Gang Gang
Sep 19, 2008
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Nobody should have to be stressed out over numbers or analysis

It's a game, just enjoy it

it's not a critical business decision that will affect comapnies for years to come, it's not a business deal. It's a f***ing football game lol
 
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