Upcoming Spencer Knight decision

Florida should do ____________ with their 2025-2026 goaltending

  • Buy-out Knight, sign a journeyman to backup Bob, use extra money on UFAs

    Votes: 5 31.3%
  • Attempt to trade Bob and roll with Knight as starter

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Keep the Bob-Knight tandem

    Votes: 9 56.3%
  • Other-specify in thread

    Votes: 2 12.5%

  • Total voters
    16

ucanthanzalthetruth

#CatsAreChamps
Jul 13, 2013
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I feel like between the memes and 30% of our board losing interest after the Cup, this is the one constant. Just to give some background, there was some discussion in the Flames game thread about "why would Florida trade Knight now". They won't, salaries are pro-rated during the season and so his contract is currently a non-issue for whatever Zito wants to do at the TDL. Where they'll run into trouble is during the off-season. Ekblad and Bennett are UFA. The cap is increasing but IMO as is I'm not sure there'd be enough to keep both. Where things get interesting is due to Knight's age, his buyout actually helps Florida a lot:

If Knight is bought out:
2025-2026 cap hit-750k, meaning Florida frees up 3.75 million
2026-2027 cap hit-750k

If Knight is kept:
2025-2026 cap hit-4.5 million
After the 2026 season, Knight would be an RFA, with 4 years left of control under Florida. Because he is making over $1 million, his qualifying offer MUST be at least 100% of what he's making, meaning his next contract could not be under 4.5 million AAV. Zito could decline to offer him a QO and try to bring back Knight at a lesser price, but if no QO is put out by Florida, Knight is UFA and can sign elsewhere if he wants.


What's everyone's thoughts here? I've made it clear before I 100% buy into the rumors that Knight played hardball with the March 2021 ELC and would only sign with assurances he'd be guaranteed playing time. Which I honestly don't have a problem with, but he's been kinda mid to bad his whole career? Like for me if you're making demands, you have to deliver. Or at least have a working glove hand. I don't fault him at all for the September 2022 extension, Zito was smoking the good stuff for sure when he gave that contract.

Also lost in all this is Bobrovsky will be a UFA after the 2026 season at age 38. I have no idea if he'll want to continue his career or if that's it, or if Florida even wants him back.
 

Sticksandsun

Registered User
Mar 11, 2015
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Knight - put him on the block, see who calls. If you have to retain a bit and get a late 2nd for him? What's his value?
His mental workload is what scares me off from him, still extremely young as well.

Tough call but not sure Zito has time to wait to see if he can handle 50 or so games. I will be shocked if Knight is here long term or staying for another contract.

Bobrovsky - talk to him in July, see what his plan is then and if he plans on playing for another contract after this one.
I personally think he's done after this deal is up, he got his Cup, 2 Vezinas and made a lot of money.
Maybe he goes on LTIR the final year while Zito finds a replacement and Bob comes back post deadline for one final run?

If he plans on playing a few more years, you trade him with one year left with retention and pray for a decent return while he still has the Cup aura around him.

We've know for a while about fixing the defense but the goaltending actually seems like a bigger focus this July.
 

Dread Clawz

LAWSonic Boom
Nov 25, 2006
28,144
10,175
Pennsylvania
Keep the Bob-Knight tandem, as Knight's value isn't gonna get you what you want. Bob will need a successor soon, see how Knight does next season, he will still be a RFA , so if you want to trade him you can still trade him then and then the acquiring team still has a young goalie under control, and he might increase his value by then so that might be an asset with some reasonable value then. Buying out and throwing away a 1st round pick is dumb, when we don't have many assets anyway.
 
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Idiot Stick

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Oct 22, 2023
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goalies who are ufa next year if we drop knight
Quick is old as shit but has been playing really solid under the rags and can be had for cheap

Lyon is also a UFA and hes played solid for the red wings and us, dunno what value hes gonna ask for though

All for getting someone cheaper than knight to shore up the D

 
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Sticksandsun

Registered User
Mar 11, 2015
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If we do move Knight and need a 1b capable of 35-40 games, I'd like Zito to pry Logan Thompson away from Washington in free agency.

He's posted some good enough numbers in Vegas and having success with Capitals this year. Turning 28 in February but is likely looking for a big payday.

Screenshot_20241217_165642_Brave.jpg
 

Dread Clawz

LAWSonic Boom
Nov 25, 2006
28,144
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Pennsylvania
If we do move Knight and need a 1b capable of 35-40 games, I'd like Zito to pry Logan Thompson away from Washington in free agency.

He's posted some good enough numbers in Vegas and having success with Capitals this year. Turning 28 in February but is likely looking for a big payday.

View attachment 946859

He's gonna get at least 5M, he's won 12 of his first 15 games there, and playing great. Gonna make more than Knight for sure .
 

Sticksandsun

Registered User
Mar 11, 2015
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He's gonna get at least 5M, he's won 12 of his first 15 games there, and playing great. Gonna make more than Knight for sure .

I'm okay with Zito paying money for proven results, it would be a bidding war if he keeps up this level of performance with Washington.

Varlamov has decent numbers with Islanders but he's 37 soon and has 2 years left.

Slim pickings in net this July and guys with 1 or 2 years of term.
 

Dread Clawz

LAWSonic Boom
Nov 25, 2006
28,144
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Pennsylvania
I'm okay with Zito paying money for proven results, it would be a bidding war if he keeps up this level of performance with Washington.

Varlamov has decent numbers with Islanders but he's 37 soon and has 2 years left.

Slim pickings in net this July and guys with 1 or 2 years of term.

Exactly my point, it's not like there's a whole lot out there to replace Knight. No way we give a big, long term deal to Thompson when we already have Bob.
 

Sticksandsun

Registered User
Mar 11, 2015
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Exactly my point, it's not like there's a whole lot out there to replace Knight. No way we give a big, long term deal to Thompson when we already have Bob.

I don't think Knight is a year or two away from being a 50 game goalie.
Zito may be forced to move Bob if he can find his replacement level starter who's only 28.
 

ShootIt

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IMO this is a pure offseason move.

If Knight stays inconsistent, his trade value is nil. Cheaper in terms of picks or cap back to just buy him out at 750k.
Sign a cheap back and hope Bob stays healthy in 25-26.
Look to free agency and/or trades for the future goalie.


If Knight starts to show consistency/why he was drafted where he was, then I would look into keeping him in a tandem, and look to move Bob. 1 year at 10 mil is a big ask, and IIRC he still has a M-NTC so not like Zito has 31 teams to choose from. Probably would have to retain.

And if bought out his 25-26 cap hit is 6.67, which is too high to just buy him out.
 

KW

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Mar 21, 2006
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IMO this is a pure offseason move.

If Knight stays inconsistent, his trade value is nil. Cheaper in terms of picks or cap back to just buy him out at 750k.
Sign a cheap back and hope Bob stays healthy in 25-26.
Look to free agency and/or trades for the future goalie.


If Knight starts to show consistency/why he was drafted where he was, then I would look into keeping him in a tandem, and look to move Bob. 1 year at 10 mil is a big ask, and IIRC he still has a M-NTC so not like Zito has 31 teams to choose from. Probably would have to retain.

And if bought out his 25-26 cap hit is 6.67, which is too high to just buy him out.
Suddenly our goalie situation sucks bad. I hope Zito is doing something. I hope Luongo is doing something. But really I don’t need to know about any of the back stories if the two guys are stopping the puck, the D is helping them, and we’re winning games. But when every f***ing game one or two of the first 5-6 shots go into our net, I start to feel pissed. Yeah, they have a stressful job… boohoo, cry me a f***ing river, you wanted it, now all you Panthers need to start doing your f***ing jobs. Spencer got all the help anyone can be given, Bob gets more money than his performance level, both goalies are beaten to the same spots all the time, spend the time to practice and start getting results!
 
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Mar 11, 2017
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I think if you get a good offer for Knight that can help the team right now in a second Cup run, you have to take it. Thing is, I don't think the team is going to get a good offer for Knight, so you might as well just let him play it out.
 

Gizmo Tkachuk

Registered Loser
Sep 23, 2009
20,430
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Florida
Both goalies have struggled for most of the season. Is it their fault or is it inconsistent defensive play from the rest of the team?

Despite being 12th it feels like the PK has regressed. Losing Stenlund is a part of that, I don’t remember how much OEL played on the kill.

I also don’t see Ekblad being traded unless a RHD is coming back that can play his same workload and they aren’t exactly growing on trees.
 
Mar 11, 2017
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Both goalies have struggled for most of the season. Is it their fault or is it inconsistent defensive play from the rest of the team?

Despite being 12th it feels like the PK has regressed. Losing Stenlund is a part of that, I don’t remember how much OEL played on the kill.

I also don’t see Ekblad being traded unless a RHD is coming back that can play his same workload and they aren’t exactly growing on trees.

Look at the last two games, specifically the Coleman goal (vs Knight) and the Connor Brown goal (vs Bobrovsky). When you have unscreened shots go in from bad angles on a regular basis, something is very wrong with your goaltending. You can't even pretend those goals are on the defense.

No goalie is going to save 100%, and yes, sometimes stinkers get through, but when you have nuclear grade turds leaking through two games in a row, on two different goaltenders, don't tell me it's the defense just because both goalies are refusing to flush the bowl.
 
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Manc Cat

Registered User
Feb 28, 2016
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Manchester, UK
If Knight was on a cheaper contract we wouldn't be having this conversation. Goalies are hard to predict, Bob was trash at times and paid insane money but was worth it when it mattered.

People are also so impatient with prospects, teams move on too early all the time on players that mature late (see many of our best pick ups). Goalies rarely dominate in their early 20s, but we've seen multiple we've moved on from turn into solid starters after a few years in the league.

I say accept the pain, cap is going up anyway, and reassess in two years. If he still looks like he is struggling sure, trade him, but the worry is he will become a star elsewhere and we will regret it if we move him so early in his career.
 

KW

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If Knight was on a cheaper contract we wouldn't be having this conversation. Goalies are hard to predict, Bob was trash at times and paid insane money but was worth it when it mattered.

People are also so impatient with prospects, teams move on too early all the time on players that mature late (see many of our best pick ups). Goalies rarely dominate in their early 20s, but we've seen multiple we've moved on from turn into solid starters after a few years in the league.

I say accept the pain, cap is going up anyway, and reassess in two years. If he still looks like he is struggling sure, trade him, but the worry is he will become a star elsewhere and we will regret it if we move him so early in his career.
Point is though, the next 3 years are the golden years for Panthers. They’re in the mix to win the Cup each of those years. The Cup only arrives through solid D and spectacular G. I don’t want to throw those years away because Spencer might be a star when the window is gone.
 
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Chessarmy

Registered User
Mar 16, 2009
11,082
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IMO it's a very risky move to give up on Knight right now. He still has potential to get his career in gear and become a star goaltender. As @Manc Cat mentioned, we've seen young goalies move on from our organization and become successful elsewhere. I do think Knight will figure it out eventually and I'd rather that happen here.
 
Mar 11, 2017
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I said that if the team gets a great offer for Knight right now, they should take it... but I think that's fantasy, and also shaded by my pessimism about the player pulling it together. For Bill Zito -- who does apparently have faith in Knight -- he should stick to his guns and play this for the long term.

I think the goal for the Panthers should be to manage assets in such a way that the core we have is kept together as much as possible (and they are doing that) and then the team reloads to be good after the elite window has closed. The common wisdom that you have to be bad after being good is... something I think this management group should challenge.

Bill Zito has shown that he can get players to sign here for under market-value. The Panthers have shown that they can attract hungry guys looking to reestablish their careers on value contracts. This team has one of the best -- if not the best -- pro scouting organizations on the planet. And finally, we're about to shift from several years of salary freeze into several years of salary expansion, at a time when all of the Panthers' leftover buyouts and bad contracts are coming off the books.

Bill Zito says he has faith in Knight, and if he isn't just saying that for public relations purposes, then the goal should be to maximize Knight's development and get him re-signed on a team-friendly deal.
 

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