The org may be high on a prospect, but also have a feel where that prospect might be. For example, the Ducks were hot on Manson, very hot. They didn't own a 6th or a 7th round pick in 2011, but traded a 2012 6th round pick to nab Manson. The draft capital of a 6th round pick is far cheaper than two 3rd round picks. Similarly, the Ducks where hot on Krebs and almost had him at 18th overall for the 29th and 39th pick, if it were not for those darn Golden Knights! When a team says they're very interested in a player, that doesn't mean they're interested in him in the first round all the time. It means they're interested in him at a particular spot to where they have mocked the whole draft.
People forget that draft is still a gamble. We've had some success with players beyond the 1st round such as goalies Gibby and Dostal, defensemen Vatanen, Manson, Monty, Pettersson, and forwards Kase and Terry. We might have a couple of gems with LaCombe (2019 2nd) and Thrun (2019 4th). Thrun had late first round rankings, but he fell all the way to the fourth round. Many scouts didn't like his skating and some thought he was a byproduct of his teammates.
Talk about gambles, center Nattinen looked good for a season in his first season in the OHL and then dropped off a cliff in the second season. Natty bombed in the AHL. Then he went back across the pond and switched to wing. Apparently, he's found his scoring touch again and enjoys the game. The latter part affected him in his second OHL season onward. At 6'2 and 205 lbs, he really looked like a very good prospect.
With Terry, no one knew about his talent until he blew up as Mr. 5-hole. We see his skill at the AHL and NHL level, but only production occurs at the AHL level. Our problem is will Terry take the next step or will he become the next Peter Holland (produces at the AHL, but not the NHL). I'm glad Terry looks good for the past couple of games, but I want far more games on that high level of play to say Terry has arrived. We've seen spurts before and long periods of nothing. If Terry becomes this consistent producer on the ice (not necessarily score, but show he's competent in the corners, support, etc...), then we all win.