Dallas is deep at C. They have Roope Hintz signed for another 5 years as 1C. They have young Wyatt Johnston playing on his wing who is listed as a C. Duchene is the 2C and he is UFA after this season. Dallas just traded for Michael Granlund who plays C and is under contract until next season. So they have 4 guys who can play top 6C and all but 1 is signed for at least one more season.
Im thinking Duchene may be the odd man out. Not this year , as Dallas is contending. But maybe they dont extend him and he does become a UFA.
So at seasons end, I would offer Dallas a 3rd rounder for Duchene so we could talk contract. "Exclusive negotiating rights" as Bob Gainey would say. Guy is 34 so thinking realistically he would be happy with a 3 year deal. Offer a high AAV, no problem short term.
With Duchene as 2C we very likely have at least a decent 2nd line being filled out by a combination of Demi, Laine or Dach.
Meantime. Though most have Kapanen and Beck as 3rd liner upside, I think there is realistic possibilty for surprise. Then there is Hage, definite top 6C potential. My guess is we will be picking a C with our 1st this year. So we have a decent C pool developing with realistic chances of at least one guy becoming a 2C and taking Duchenes place.
I'd be really happy with Duchene at no cost in terms of players or picks because he is an UFA.
Offering a 3-year contract would definitely exceed anything DAL might offer him as far as term goes.
Duchene being a stop-gap at a time where we aren't aggressively adding other big contracts and where we have quality players arriving on ELCs, allows Hughes to up the ante when it comes to both term and salary.
Duchene signed for one year at 3M with DAL, surely hoping to go to a contender and to rebuild his value across the league as he nears the end of his career.
Three years at 6M per might be risky for the 2nd and 3rd year, but Duchene's skating -- the important thing -- is still really good and that will help him keep on producing as he can keep up with the speed at the NHL level.
In the third year of his contract, Duchene can always become an exploitation line C on a more offensive third line, or be used as trade bait as a rental player on a Cup contender looking for more C depth.
Might definitely be easier to acquire Duchene than Bennett, for example, as an UFA.
Of course, then, there is the question of Duchene wanting to play in Montreal? The last time around, when he went to NASH and we were allegedly interested in acquiring Duchene, he had no interest in playing here, most likely because of the pressure with fans anointing newcomers as the next saviour.
This time around, Duchene would perhaps be sold the idea of playing with a big boy like Slafkovsky that would do the puck retrieval, or at least be second man on the job if Duchene was first on the puck. He would likely also be sold the idea of playing with Demidov, all on a second line with the onus being only to see a 2nd line materialize and for the team to keep progressing (not hard from it's current top-6 situation).
It would be a win-win scenario with expectations being at a much more realistic level for the contribution that Duchene would bring to the team.
Personally, I would start by playing Laine on the first line with Caufield and Suzuki to see if another shooter on the line would free up Laine a little more, and if Suzuki can have a positive influence on the Finn's production. he definitely couldn't be bitter about his TOPI under this scenario.
If it doesn't work out for Laine wit the best C on the team, I would look into getting a mutual termination on his contract. If not, he would become my 3rd line RW.
My second line, as described higher up in this post, would be made up of Slafkovsky - Duchene - Demidov. Placing the team's 1st OA winger and 5th OA winger on a line with a veteran, offensive C would be a smart move to help both wingers progress.
We simply don't have a veteran winger at his peak to supply, on top of a veteran C that is still producing, for either slafkovsky or Demidov, so we must see if there is any chemistry between the two wingers.
In the advent that Laine is our 3rd line RW, I would likely give our Swedish C a try with our Finnish RW and another Swedish forward on the LW, Emil Heineman.
Heineman word provide the forechecking (best on the team) and puck retrieval skills for the less ambitious forechecker that Laine is. Kapanen is a legitimate two-way C and Heineman has more than average defensive awareness to make up for Laine's defensive liabilities.
Having Laine on a European line might do wonders for the enigmatic right wing.
The fourth line, assuming that Evans does, indeed, get traded at this year's trade deadline, would be entered by Beck, saddled with the two contracts that simply can't be moved, Anderson and Gallagher.
Caufield - Suzuki - Dach
Slafkovsky - Duchene - Demidov
Heineman - Kapanen - Laine
Anderson - Beck - Gallagher
As for the defense, it all depends if Hughes can make a meaningful addition on the right side in the offseason, but that remains unlikely, IMHO.
We'll likely start the year off with the unspectacular, but stabilizing pairing of Guhle - Carrier, followed by the veteran D, Matheson, resuming duties on the right side of Hutson and Reinbacher getting his skates wet in the NHL on a 3rd pairing alongside Xhekaj.
Mailloux would likely start the year in Laval again, earmarked as the first d call-up in case of injuries.
Guhle - Carrier
Hutson - Matheson
Xhekaj - Reinbacher
Depending on Reinbacher's showing and progression up to the trade deadline, it would justify trading Matheson, and Reinbacher could move up the team's depth chart on D alongside lane Hutson, while Mailloux gets the nod to play alongside Xhekaj until the end of the season.
Another full season in Laval for Engstrom is in the cards, IMO, but that D might surprise us in the future.
Caufield - Suzuki - Dach
Slafkovsky - Duchene - Demidov
Heineman - Kapanen - Laine
Anderson - Beck - Gallagher
Guhle - Carrier
Hutson - Reinbacher
Xhekaj - Mailloux