Fourier
Registered User
With advanced team systems any game played at a higher level is increasingly about increasing coefficients of those chances. About increasing probability of random events taking place around opponent goal. Players like Smyth understood this. By all means generate some chaos around opponent goal, create rebounds, loose pucks, open chances. Work for point shots, deflections, etc.
You can say that its about luck except the Oilers and Hawks could play several more games in this series and all approaches remaining the same the Hawks probably win because the hawks are doing more of the things that can increase that *luck* quotient. Which i don't buy is sole luck. The old addage is you make your luck, you make your breaks, and generating a ton of pt shots and practicing tipping those home is a good way to cheat code that.
I bet the Hawks spend hours and hours on tip and deflection drills and the Oilers don't . Is that luck?
The only guy who had any clean deflections was Highmore. The 24 year old with 2 NHL goals in his career. The rest were pretty much of the hit him and changed direction variety. But lets assume that point shots are the way you score in the NHL playoffs. Here are the 5 vs 5 numbers from this series...
Edmonton:
Nurse 7 shots 14 ICF
Russell 7 shots 8 ICF
Klefbom 7 shots 11 ICF
Benning 3 shots 13 ICF
Bear 2 shots 3 ICF
Jones 2 shots 4 ICF
Chicago:
Murphy 6 shots 10 ICF
Maata 4 shots 7 ICF
Keith 4 Shots 5 ICF
Koekkoek 3 shots 4 ICF
de Haan 3 shots 4ICF
Boqvist 5 shots 10ICF
Totals:
Edmonton 31 shots 53 ICF
Chicago 25 shots 40 ICF
Rebounds created:
Edmonton 3 Chicago 2
Now some of these may not have been point shots so if you like you could subtract off the shots classified as scoring chances which favored the Oiler 13 to 11 and the relative numbers still stand.
So it would seem that your narrative that somehow the Hawks recognized that point shots = goals in the playoffs may not be as obvious as you claim. If Maatta and Koekkoek scoring 3 goals on 7 shots is a strategy, then perhaps the Hawks have found a way to revolutionize the game.
I have said on several occasions that the Hawks did everything in their power to win this. They out worked the Oilers and that chokes me. But let's not invent a narrative that cannot be justified.
(All stats are from Natural Stats trick).
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