Mickey Marner
Registered User
Not much, both will likely play a similar amount of games in the NHL, they're just at different stages of their career trajectory.
Probably this. Vinnie Lettieri scored a PPG in the AHL last season. He scored 3 points in 27 games with the Rangers, and provided nothing else aside from that. Lettieri has a good shot, that’s enough I guess for the AHL but not the NHL.First line AHL players are offensive players who, for a variety of reasons, can't put it together in the NHL. They skate a bit too slow, their stick-handling isn't quite good enough, poor shot selection, think the game a few steps too slow, etc. Still some of the better players in the world but not quite enough to translate to the NHL. But they are primarily offensive players who likely have some holes in their defensive game. They can score on AHL-level goalies, and take advantage of AHL-level defenses. In the NHL they can maybe put up 20-30 points, tops, and have little to contribute on defense.
An NHL 4th liner may or may not be a great offensive player, even in the AHL. But they have more consistent effort, better defensive skills, can skate better, or some other package of things that gives them enough NHL-level talent to stick. In a vacuum they may look objectively worse than an AHL first liner, but they have some skill or subset of skills that makes them succeed at something that is valuable in the NHL whereas the AHL guy just doesn't have it.
Look at Jason Krog. He was pretty much a PPG player in the AHL. Averaged like 50+ assists a season down there at his peak, and scored a decent amount of goals as well. He managed to get 200 NHL games with various clubs, and wasn't particularly good. Averaged 24 points per season, and I don't believe he played much (if any) special teams. He was a stopgap player at best.
For awhile, I have thought that there is little difference between the quality of a NHL fourth liner and an AHL first liner. I personally believe that pretty much every NHL team has about 2 or 3 players in the AHL that would put similar results to their worst NHL players. However, I haven't really been able to find much data supporting this. Do you agree with this statement, and can anyone find any numbers to support or dispute this claim?
Was going to post my own opinion, but...this.First line AHL players are offensive players who, for a variety of reasons, can't put it together in the NHL. They skate a bit too slow, their stick-handling isn't quite good enough, poor shot selection, think the game a few steps too slow, etc. Still some of the better players in the world but not quite enough to translate to the NHL. But they are primarily offensive players who likely have some holes in their defensive game. They can score on AHL-level goalies, and take advantage of AHL-level defenses. In the NHL they can maybe put up 20-30 points, tops, and have little to contribute on defense.
An NHL 4th liner may or may not be a great offensive player, even in the AHL. But they have more consistent effort, better defensive skills, can skate better, or some other package of things that gives them enough NHL-level talent to stick. In a vacuum they may look objectively worse than an AHL first liner, but they have some skill or subset of skills that makes them succeed at something that is valuable in the NHL whereas the AHL guy just doesn't have it.
Look at Jason Krog. He was pretty much a PPG player in the AHL. Averaged like 50+ assists a season down there at his peak, and scored a decent amount of goals as well. He managed to get 200 NHL games with various clubs, and wasn't particularly good. Averaged 24 points per season, and I don't believe he played much (if any) special teams. He was a stopgap player at best.
Most of the responses are Old School hockey thinking at its finest.
Nowadays:
Every line you play has the objective to outchance and out score whichever line they are up against. There are no real checking or defensive lines anymore. If your line can’t generate offense and score goals, even if it’s a 4th line, it fairly useless in the current NHL.
Do the players have to not be a defensive liability? Absolutely, yes. That part of the responses are correct. However, there is no use for the traditional 4th line guy that just checks or blocks shots anymore. Every player on all 4 lines should be highly skilled and capable of generating offense.
For the top AHL guys, I would ask 2 questions: Are they fast enough for the nhl game? Do they have a solid two-way game, so they will not get scored on? Many of the AHL guys would be better options than current 4th liners.
Example: The Penguins had some injuries earlier in the year and rolled out a 4th line of Lafferty, Blandisi, Johnson. They only played a couple games and scored several goals. That might be best 4th line the Penguins have ever rolled out. A couple players got healthy and those guys were sent back to the minors. Why?
A lot of AHL first liners have lots of skill, but aren't as fast as they need to be to be successful in the NHL. Another poster mentioned Alexandre Giroux as an example which fits really well. Since they aren't quick enough to score in the NHL, they're effectively useless as their skillset doesn't suit themselves to a bottom 6 NHL role.
Honestly mostly the style of play. For example looking at last year's Hurricanes and Checkers, there's little doubt that Janne Kuokkanen is a more skilled player than Saku Maenalainen or Clark Bishop. But the other two were able to effectively fill in on a 4th line role on a conference finalist because they play a much more defensively sound game and can be effective minutes eaters for 7-8 minutes a night even if they aren't producing offensively. A guy like Kuokkanen, or Zac Boychuk, or Jason Krog before him has to be producing in a scoring role to be an effective NHL player, they just don't bring enough to the table if they're not.
For awhile, I have thought that there is little difference between the quality of a NHL fourth liner and an AHL first liner. I personally believe that pretty much every NHL team has about 2 or 3 players in the AHL that would put similar results to their worst NHL players. However, I haven't really been able to find much data supporting this. Do you agree with this statement, and can anyone find any numbers to support or dispute this claim?
I do agree and might even expand those numbers a bit (depending on the team). Luck and being in the right place at the right team matter a lot as well.For awhile, I have thought that there is little difference between the quality of a NHL fourth liner and an AHL first liner. I personally believe that pretty much every NHL team has about 2 or 3 players in the AHL that would put similar results to their worst NHL players. However, I haven't really been able to find much data supporting this. Do you agree with this statement, and can anyone find any numbers to support or dispute this claim?
The biggest difference is that the typical NHL 4th liner is a gritty character and plays a role on his team and it's not a scoring role.
The typical first liner in the NHL is a scorer and often can only make the NHL as a top 6 player.
The AHL first liner is probably a "better" offensive player but the NHL 4th liner is better suited for a supporting 4th line role in the NHL.
It's apples and oranges really.
Perfect example is Jay Beagle, who wouldn't score as much as Reid Boucher who is an elite AHL sniper but couldn't play the role of beagle or heck even Tim Schaller on the Canucks.