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Speculation: Teams that will spend too much on this FA class?

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Buddy, the leafs will one-up that stupidity and take it to another level. AJ Greer, here is $4 million per season, welcome to Toronto.
AJ Greer doesn't fit the type of player that Chayka's data dumps will fit. Other than Raddysh who everyone will say is overpaid and given too much term no matter what the final number is there are not many UFA's that fit what the Leafs need and fit an Analytic profile. I suspect Chayka is going to trade more than people think.
 
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Pittsburgh has the most cap space, and wants to take a big step forward after unexpectedly making the playoffs. From Dubas's own words though, he's more likely to do that in trade vs UFA. Andersson and maybe bringing Shea back are the only ones I could see is spending money and term on. Otherwise we might do another Mantha style one year prove it deal.
 
AJ Greer doesn't fit the type of player that Chayka's data dumps will fit. Other than Raddysh who everyone will say is overpaid and given too much term no matter what the final number is there are not many UFA's that fit what the Leafs need and fit an Analytic profile. I suspect Chayka is going to trade more than people think.
I think it will be both. Chayka is going to be very active.
 
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Leafs have no choice but to spend, we have literally no incentive to tank with no firsts in the next 2 years and all the incentive to moonshot players.

If they're great, great they're great and maybe we are good too???
If they're not, oh well, take salary back and retain and ship em out in 2 year to rebuild.

The ballsiest and best move would be to move Matthews and Nylander for best offers with NHL ready prospects/players, move Rielly/Stolarz and have nearly 60 mill to play with, overpay a bunch of players to tread water the next 2 years and then ship them all out and tank gaining maximum assets in the process to build around our young guys (Knies/McKenna/Cowan/Hildeby/Woll/Cowan and others)
 
Anyone that signs a name free agent in the first week of free agency.

But it's easier to list the teams that won't overpay for someone.
  • Flames - rebuilding, haven't signed a name free agent since Conroy was hired
  • Canucks - rebuilding, would be counterintuitive
  • Avalanche - no cap space
HM to the Stars, as if they re-sign Robertson they won't have space either.
 
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Toronto has a ton of cap space and is very much in win-now mode despite how they did this season. Can easily see them throwing 8 million at Raddysh and big deals on other guys.

I don't think this is the case.

A lot was made of CEO Pelley saying he preferred a re-tool but I'm getting the feeling Chayka talked him off that ledge (the Leafs are not close to winning anything, even with a re-tool).

And if I'm wrong and the Leafs do go big game hunting then I'll be hoping Raddysh (and any others - are there others?) opt to sign somewhere else. They'd be smart to.
 
The ballsiest and best move would be to move Matthews and Nylander for best offers with NHL ready prospects/players, move Rielly/Stolarz and have nearly 60 mill to play with, overpay a bunch of players to tread water the next 2 years and then ship them all out and tank gaining maximum assets in the process to build around our young guys (Knies/McKenna/Cowan/Hildeby/Woll/Cowan and others)

1) Matthews isn't going anywhere, maybe Nylander if they really convince him they're tanking for a few years.

2) Any and every player they sign will have full NMCs. That's the way it is now, so flipping them in a year or two for "max" assets is a pipe dream unless by some miracle that 3C they overpay on a long-term deal has a 15 team list he's okay being traded to. And at least one of those teams is willing to eat his bad AAV.

3) If Nylander goes then probably you get a 1st next year or the year after. Beyond that the team is still very poor on draft picks and nearly an empty cupboard on prospects. See #2 for why sign/trade retreads isn't likely going to change that by much.

I get the tread water philosophy because they Leafs don't really have a choice, but there's no real path to change that either. They are unfortunately (but due to their own horrible asset management) in a very bad place with no easy fix.
 
Toronto without question . Raddysh and Marchment for stupid amounts
I think if there’s an issue where Domi misses significant time ( hope not but being very closed mouth on the nature of the complications) the Leafs are going to take runs at Jenner, Marchment, Raddysh and maybe even guys like Tolvinen and Schwartz. They have a huge amount of cap space (23 plus 3-4 when they trade one of the goalies + 3.75 if Domi is on LTIR). That’s pushing 30 million. Their needs are 2 top 4 dmen, 2 bottom 6 forwards and a 3rd line Center
 
1) Matthews isn't going anywhere, maybe Nylander if they really convince him they're tanking for a few years.

2) Any and every player they sign will have full NMCs. That's the way it is now, so flipping them in a year or two for "max" assets is a pipe dream unless by some miracle that 3C they overpay on a long-term deal has a 15 team list he's okay being traded to. And at least one of those teams is willing to eat his bad AAV.

3) If Nylander goes then probably you get a 1st next year or the year after. Beyond that the team is still very poor on draft picks and nearly an empty cupboard on prospects. See #2 for why sign/trade retreads isn't likely going to change that by much.

I get the tread water philosophy because they Leafs don't really have a choice, but there's no real path to change that either. They are unfortunately (but due to their own horrible asset management) in a very bad place with no easy fix.
Other than their own firsts the next 2 years the Leafs are actually flush with draft picks for the next 2 years.
 
I think if there’s an issue where Domi misses significant time ( hope not but being very closed mouth on the nature of the complications) the Leafs are going to take runs at Jenner, Marchment, Raddysh and maybe even guys like Tolvinen and Schwartz.
Tuch too, though I really really really hope they put most of the dollars into the D. Also sounds like Domi will almost certainly miss time, maybe significant portion. Is it even known what the problem is beyond "complication from surgery'? Like his diabetes wouldn't be affecting him this late in the game would it? Just trying to figure why so hush hush.
 
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