At the end of the day, Bs are in weak position, everyone knows it and any team with a half decent GM should jump on that. Bs can't retaliate anyways because they have no space.
Montreal: Missing 2024 2nd rounder. Are you willing to risk an unprotected 1st (+3rd)?
Los Angeles/Pittsburgh/Ottawa/San Jose: Missing 2024 3rd rounder. So they could only make an offer in the 2.145 mil - 4.29 mil range. I'd expect those teams to tab a UFA goalie. As others mentioned, maybe Ottawa could put together a decent package of ELC players to get Swayman via trade instead of offer sheet.
Chicago/Anaheim/Arizona: Probably not the most attractive situations to land.
Vegas: Missing 2024 3rd rounder, have their own cap decisions to make.
Buffalo: Have their picks but already have Levi/Luukkonen signed. I'd think they would opt for a veteran UFA goalie to pair with the youngster.
Carolina: Have their picks and potentially the motivation to hypothetically do it. And as mentioned before, there is a timing problem with offer sheets specifically with the goalie market. You could tender an offer sheet on July 1 but then you'd be in limbo for a week while the rest of the goalies signed.
Detroit: Have their picks but already have Husso signed at 4.75 mil and they're grooming Sebastian Cossa to be their eventual starter when the team turns a corner.
And then the rest of the league either already has limited cap space and/or a #1 goalie signed.