I think two things with Bolduc can be true, he never showed enough in previous camps with Blues or Canada, but that he also has a new mentality since turning pro last season. I think he even talked about this at different points in regards to the NHL camp, there's a different mentality you are going to have when you know you are going back to juniors and when you know there is a legitimate shot to make the team. And on top of that, camps are a tough evaluation. It's a short period of time, some players might have injuries, and some players might just take time to get the rust off. Or when it comes to WJC teams, coaches are sometimes looking for very specific types of players in a stacked pool of players. Or in NHL camps, you have young players going all out, and vets are trying to just get ready for the season.
I think people make too big a deal out of those "red flags", and hold onto them for too long. Sometimes it means something, and sometimes it's nothing. Bolduc to his credit finished the season with the Blues strong and is giving every indication of keeping that momentum heading into this season. I do think he's going to make a strong push for a top 6 wing spot. If Buchnevich plays C, then we really only have 2 locked in top 6 wingers in my view, Kyrou and Neighbours. Then there is a combination of Saad, Schenn, Bolduc, and Holloway that could legitimately push for the other 2 spots. I could definitely see it going to Saad and Bolduc, where we start to ease Schenn's minutes down to allow him to be more effective and have a better 5v5 bottom 6.
I was at the game yesterday and was specifically looking at the Bolduc/Dvorsky/Dean trio that we've been talking about as guys who could potentially make the NHL team out of camp.
I absolutely loved what I saw out of Bolduc and I think he's the only one with a real shot to make the team out of camp. In terms of NHL-readiness, he looked miles ahead of anyone on the ice. He was bullying Minnesota players at every opportunity, but he kept things on the correct side of the line (unlike Dean who took several deserved penalties). I expected him to look a tier ahead of everyone, but the difference was massive. I think he is going to make it extremely difficult to leave him off the NHL roster.
I really liked what I saw out of Dvorsky from a skill/talent perspective, but a lot of his successful plays from yesterday won't cut it against NHL talent. He clearly wants to slow the game down and he is pretty damn effective at it. I think he will eventually be able to do that at the NHL level, but I very much doubt that he will have success trying to do it as a 19 year old. I think an extended period of time in the AHL will do him very well. Maybe he surprises me in camp against NHLers, but I see a high end talent who needs more time.
Dean looked like a guy trying to convince the coaching staff that he can be a bang and crash 4th line center in the NHL right now. To be fair, he might be right and he has every financial incentive to earn that spot (he doesn't earn a signing bonus this year, so NHL vs AHL salary is $832k vs $80k). But I don't really know that the team needs that from him on the NHL roster and I think I'd rather have him continue developing other aspects of his game in the top half of the AHL lineup. I don't see him ever becoming an NHL 2C, but I think he's got a chance to be a 3C instead of a pure bottom 6, 4C kind of guy.
And based on Army's quotes from the summer, I think the plan for Dvorsky is to play the full year in Springfield, similar to what the plan was for Bolduc and Dean. Plan could change if the season goes poorly like last season, where he gets called up if we trade Faksa, but I bet the hope is that we are able to squeeze into the playoffs, and we never realistically have a spot for Dvorsky, and he has an inside track on the 2nd or 3rd line C role next season with Faksa gone.