Prospect Info: Sharks Prospect Info & Discussion Megathread XXI: "New, improved, and wayyyy too much info" Edition

[fasterthanlight]

Do they publish evaluation metrics for their models? It seems like they vastly over-estimate both nhler and star probabilities

 

[Crewouse]

Do they publish evaluation metrics for their models? It seems like they vastly over-estimate both nhler and star probabilities

Me make big points, me nhl probably

 

[hohosaregood]

isn't bader's model just super simple and based on historical PPG standardized to NHLe?

 

[Juxtaposer]

isn't bader's model just super simple and based on historical PPG standardized to NHLe?

Yup, it's age, league, and points. So a guy projecting well on the model just means he's scoring points well in his league relative to other guys his age, NHLe adjusted.

Short hand for points good. Which overall, isn't totally incorrect.

There is value in a model like that when it identifies late round candidates that need to be scouted more. You just can't take it at face value.