Looking back on his tenure I have no idea why any team would hire him to oversee their hockey operations. No exaggeration, he's overseen quite possibly the greatest era of futility relative to expectations in NHL history while being extremely resistant to change every step of the way despite overwhelming evidence that this vision of a team doesn't work. To me a good leader needs to be willing to admit they're wrong and pivot accordingly. Also, don't forget, he was going to re-sign Dubas to an extension had he not made a powerplay for his position, further showcasing his resistance to change.
I think that does his tenure a disservice because there are two key factors behind the two most vital pieces to the championship puzzle that dissolved like an infinity gauntlet snap, in which we could reasonably accord Shanahan invincible ignorance:
(1) Lou Lamoriello (the man who drafted him and created the Devils' dynasty) endorsed Dubas and said it was a question of
when, not
if, he was hired
quickly as a GM elsewhere. Add to that that Dubas (and Keefe) just won an AHL championship and add to that that Colorado (i.e. Sakic) requested a meeting with Dubas about hiring him. Those are factors any sane manager would look at, pause on, and decide keeping your of-the-moment, highly desirable and successful asset is the only reasonable decision.
(2) Auston Matthews: Your 1/1, 1C generational goal-scorer gradually sequences a reveal of unforeseen proportion. It's his youth; Keeps scoring goals. It's the championship veteran laden teams we're losing to; He wins Rockets. It's injuries and timing and the coach; He extends, is given the C and in the last year of Shanahan's contract, seems to have declined to unimagined mediocrity.
To add a third:
When Shanahan fired Dubas, that wasn't showcasing a resistance to change, that showcased that when presented with new information, Shanahan was willing to make the difficult decision and come to the only reasonable conclusion. Precisely what we want in competent managers.
If he leaves, I'm not blaming the man for a series of completely reasonable events in the sequence that the best of hockey managerial minds (See Lamoriello's endorsement) would have made.
The links in between: Hiring Tavares when we didn't need to but had opportunity and at a discount, was also connected to reasonably unforeseeable events (i.e Covid and cap constrictions); Expending 1sts for short-term gain because that's what the core needed, etc, etc...also play a factor, but again, it's the "Shanaplan" or the "Yzerplan" and I don't think we'd be happy with that here either.
Tulsky in Carolina has a fantastic mix of veteran depth, war chest, deep assets, and best of all, repeat contention. And to make matters worse, he like Dubas, is a stats champion. We just got the wrong one.
And by the look of the 2016 draft, we might have got the wrong one then too. Is it worth investing hope in our present GM, who picked the right guy, tried to extend him but was then forced to move him? If it is, we can thank Shanahan for that. Or if we'd prefer a different cause, we don't have to thank him. But we should.