To expand a little on how meaningful GSAx per 60 is:
- using 60% of possible games played as the cutoff, 8 of the last 10 Vezina winners had the highest GSAx/60 rate in that season. 9 out of the 10 winners finished no lower than third in that category.
- in both of the occasions where the goalie with the best GSAx/60 number didn't win, they were the runner-up in the voting.
- since 2014-15, every Vezina finalist has been in the top 10 in GSAx/60 for that season. Over 50% of the finalists have been in the top 5.
Thus, predicting the Vezina voting is easy. Find the starters who save the most goals above what is expected of them, and take your pick. It looks like it's Hellebuyck to win, with Bob and (likely) Demko as finalists - if Calgary misses the playoffs, Markström is probably getting snubbed.
- using 60% of possible games played as the cutoff, 8 of the last 10 Vezina winners had the highest GSAx/60 rate in that season. 9 out of the 10 winners finished no lower than third in that category.
- in both of the occasions where the goalie with the best GSAx/60 number didn't win, they were the runner-up in the voting.
- since 2014-15, every Vezina finalist has been in the top 10 in GSAx/60 for that season. Over 50% of the finalists have been in the top 5.
Thus, predicting the Vezina voting is easy. Find the starters who save the most goals above what is expected of them, and take your pick. It looks like it's Hellebuyck to win, with Bob and (likely) Demko as finalists - if Calgary misses the playoffs, Markström is probably getting snubbed.