MrFunnyWobbl
GOAT
- Jan 3, 2012
- 27,085
- 983
Satan's package
- Thread starter Guerzy
- Start date
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
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Board man gets paid
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Board man gets paid
Hammettf2b
oldmanyellsatcloud.jpg
Guerzy
I'm a fricken baby
- Jan 16, 2005
- 39,830
- 3,111
Ah!
Opinion!
Opinion; Def: Point of view not based on facts or knowledge.
The game is GF and GA.
A team needs +.31EVGF/60 compared to their EVGA/60 to have a chance at a Wild Card playoff position.
What is the most important parts of a Dman's game:
A little knowledge for you!
GF:
Of the top 300 (10 per team) Even goals scorers,
27 Are dmen who get 202 EVG
273 are forwards who get 3040 EVG
Dmen generate 6.2% of EVG.
When Dmen directly drive offence .17 EVG/60 is scored
When forwards diretly drive offence .61 EVG/60 are scored
3.6 times as many EVG per minute.
So the one Even offensive skill I want from my Dmen is a quick transition read and pass to the forwards. So the opposition D cannot set-up for Preventing Zone entry and HSCA penetration. Cause Dmne do not drive even offence.
top end EVA/60
PPGF:
it is a unit driven System.
Of the top 170 efficient PP Goals scorers.
14 Dmen score 163/1854 G 8.8%
6 Dmen are in the top 100 score 96/1377G 7.0%
1st unit PP only 12D would be PPG effective.
only 4 would be considered top end PPG scorers.
OEL; Weber; Faulk; Burns.
So Dmen really make a difference on those PPG. 7% Bahahahaha!
GA:
The HSCA (High Scoring Chance Area) 75% of goals come from the league avg 10.5
HSCA shots in a 30 shot game.
The league average for Shooting % is 8.5%.
The 19.5 Low Scoring Chance Area Shots (0-8.5%) get 25% of a games goals.
The 10.5 HSCA shots (8.5 to 25%) get 75% of goals.
Elite HSCA dmen give up 7.5-8.75 HSCA shot rang
Lindholm; Weber; Vanic; Larsson; Davidson; K. Miller
top 60 HSCAD give up 8.75 to 10.25 HSCA shots
Vatanen; Klefbom; Brodie
Avg HSCA Dmen give up 10.25 to 11.25 HSCA shots
Below avg HSCA D give up 11.25 to 12.25 HSCA shots
Subban; Hamonic
Awful HSCA dmen give up 13.5 HSCA shots.
Gio; D. Hamilton; Reinhart; Nurse; Faulk; Barrie
10.5 gives up 75% of leagues goals.
7.5 Shots gives up 7.5/10.5 X 75% = 53.6% of league goals.
13.5 shots gives up 13.5/10.5 X 75% 96.4% of league goals.
that is a variance of 42.8% of the leagues total goals from controlling the HSCA area.
the Low Scoring Chance area largely sees avg of 17.5 to 21.5 LSCA shots
17.5shots/19.5 22.4%
19.5% shots 25.0%
21.5/19.5 = 27.6%
That is largely a 5.2% of total goal variance.
PKGA:
63 of the top 120 PK players are Dmen.
They are equal partners on the GA side of special teams.
PKGA d have more value to team Goal differential than PPGF D.
So you want
Top end D with
top Even assit rates
Strong HSCA defensive play
Low Shot against rates
Top end PKGA.
Last year:
Even:
Comp:
Lindholm #60 D comp
Trouba #61 D comp
EVA/60
Lindholm .40 #170 D
Trouba .34 #181 D
HSCA/60
Lindholm top 10
Trouba top 80
EVGA/60
Lindholm #20 D 1.68 - 221 forwards can outscore 1.99 needed
Trouba #60 1.94 - 160 fwds can outscore 2.25 EVGF needed.
this area is critical cause of the extra .31 EVGF forwards have to score to be Wild card competitive.
PKGA/60 leaue Aveage 6.44
Lindholm #8 D 3.88 +2.56 Goal dif per 60 miutes
Trouba #107 8.17 -1.73 Goal dif per 60 minutes.
So lindholm is one of the 10 best 1st comp Even Def D in the game there with
#1 Larsson
#3 A. Greene
#10 Doughty
#11 Niskanen
#17 Alzner
#20 Hedman
#20 Lindhlom
#25 Boychuk
#26 Manson
#46 Myers
Lindholm is in a rare group of 11 Dmen top 40 EVGA and PK GA D
Alzner (1st comp)
Boychuk (1st)
Campbell (2nd)
Carlson (bot 2nd)
Davidson (2nd)
Doumulin (top 2nd)
A. Greene (Top 1st)
A. Larsson (top 1st)
Lindholm (bot 1st)
Manson (Bot 1st)
Martinez (bot 2nd)
Dmen top 40 In EVA/60 in Bold
they are both poor at getting the top even goal scorers the puck.
It really is not even close to the level of comp each d can be trusted to play.
trouba needs to be playing at a 2nd comp level.
Opinion!
Opinion; Def: Point of view not based on facts or knowledge.
The game is GF and GA.
A team needs +.31EVGF/60 compared to their EVGA/60 to have a chance at a Wild Card playoff position.
What is the most important parts of a Dman's game:
A little knowledge for you!
GF:
Of the top 300 (10 per team) Even goals scorers,
27 Are dmen who get 202 EVG
273 are forwards who get 3040 EVG
Dmen generate 6.2% of EVG.
When Dmen directly drive offence .17 EVG/60 is scored
When forwards diretly drive offence .61 EVG/60 are scored
3.6 times as many EVG per minute.
So the one Even offensive skill I want from my Dmen is a quick transition read and pass to the forwards. So the opposition D cannot set-up for Preventing Zone entry and HSCA penetration. Cause Dmne do not drive even offence.
top end EVA/60
PPGF:
it is a unit driven System.
Of the top 170 efficient PP Goals scorers.
14 Dmen score 163/1854 G 8.8%
6 Dmen are in the top 100 score 96/1377G 7.0%
1st unit PP only 12D would be PPG effective.
only 4 would be considered top end PPG scorers.
OEL; Weber; Faulk; Burns.
So Dmen really make a difference on those PPG. 7% Bahahahaha!
GA:
The HSCA (High Scoring Chance Area) 75% of goals come from the league avg 10.5
HSCA shots in a 30 shot game.
The league average for Shooting % is 8.5%.
The 19.5 Low Scoring Chance Area Shots (0-8.5%) get 25% of a games goals.
The 10.5 HSCA shots (8.5 to 25%) get 75% of goals.
Elite HSCA dmen give up 7.5-8.75 HSCA shot rang
Lindholm; Weber; Vanic; Larsson; Davidson; K. Miller
top 60 HSCAD give up 8.75 to 10.25 HSCA shots
Vatanen; Klefbom; Brodie
Avg HSCA Dmen give up 10.25 to 11.25 HSCA shots
Below avg HSCA D give up 11.25 to 12.25 HSCA shots
Subban; Hamonic
Awful HSCA dmen give up 13.5 HSCA shots.
Gio; D. Hamilton; Reinhart; Nurse; Faulk; Barrie
10.5 gives up 75% of leagues goals.
7.5 Shots gives up 7.5/10.5 X 75% = 53.6% of league goals.
13.5 shots gives up 13.5/10.5 X 75% 96.4% of league goals.
that is a variance of 42.8% of the leagues total goals from controlling the HSCA area.
the Low Scoring Chance area largely sees avg of 17.5 to 21.5 LSCA shots
17.5shots/19.5 22.4%
19.5% shots 25.0%
21.5/19.5 = 27.6%
That is largely a 5.2% of total goal variance.
PKGA:
63 of the top 120 PK players are Dmen.
They are equal partners on the GA side of special teams.
PKGA d have more value to team Goal differential than PPGF D.
So you want
Top end D with
top Even assit rates
Strong HSCA defensive play
Low Shot against rates
Top end PKGA.
Last year:
Even:
Comp:
Lindholm #60 D comp
Trouba #61 D comp
EVA/60
Lindholm .40 #170 D
Trouba .34 #181 D
HSCA/60
Lindholm top 10
Trouba top 80
EVGA/60
Lindholm #20 D 1.68 - 221 forwards can outscore 1.99 needed
Trouba #60 1.94 - 160 fwds can outscore 2.25 EVGF needed.
this area is critical cause of the extra .31 EVGF forwards have to score to be Wild card competitive.
PKGA/60 leaue Aveage 6.44
Lindholm #8 D 3.88 +2.56 Goal dif per 60 miutes
Trouba #107 8.17 -1.73 Goal dif per 60 minutes.
So lindholm is one of the 10 best 1st comp Even Def D in the game there with
#1 Larsson
#3 A. Greene
#10 Doughty
#11 Niskanen
#17 Alzner
#20 Hedman
#20 Lindhlom
#25 Boychuk
#26 Manson
#46 Myers
Lindholm is in a rare group of 11 Dmen top 40 EVGA and PK GA D
Alzner (1st comp)
Boychuk (1st)
Campbell (2nd)
Carlson (bot 2nd)
Davidson (2nd)
Doumulin (top 2nd)
A. Greene (Top 1st)
A. Larsson (top 1st)
Lindholm (bot 1st)
Manson (Bot 1st)
Martinez (bot 2nd)
Dmen top 40 In EVA/60 in Bold
they are both poor at getting the top even goal scorers the puck.
It really is not even close to the level of comp each d can be trusted to play.
trouba needs to be playing at a 2nd comp level.
Hammettf2b
oldmanyellsatcloud.jpg
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Finnish your Czech
J'aime Les offres hostiles
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
PolishBingo
King Pierogie IV
- Jan 9, 2006
- 5,685
- 2
