After last night's games, Montreal controls their own destiny. Columbus has a game in hand and can tie them on points, but Montreal holds the tiebreaker.
We control our own destiny over Detroit and the Islanders. We need to outpace Montreal by 2 points over the final 8 games to pass them. If Columbus loses their game in hand, we just need to match them on points over the final 8 games. Otherwise, we'll have to outpace them by 2 points as well.
We still have a legit shot at making the playoffs, but it will be a lot harder if we don't win tonight.
Looking at the standing in terms of us getting a better pick, both Utah and Anaheim won last night. That's good for us. Utah is 3 points ahead of us (we have a game in hand) and Anaheim is 3 points behind us. If we lose tonight, Utah probably stays ahead of us and Anaheim will have a better chance to pass us. It would also give Detroit and the Islanders a chance to close the gap on us.
We are currently in the 12th spot. If we are going to miss the playoffs, we need at least one of Detroit, Anaheim and the Islanders to pass us in order to have a shot at #1 overall.
If we don't make the playoffs, it looks like our pick will end up somewhere between 9th and 14th, pre-lottery. Neither Vancouver nor Calgary has much of a chance of making the playoffs in the west, but both are far enough ahead of us that we likely won't catch them. If we do catch them, it probably means we made the playoffs and would thus get the 17th pick (or worse).
I don't really know which outcome I would prefer. I guess making the playoffs, though I think our chances of winning the lottery are better than our chances of winning the cup. The worst-case scenario, for me, is finishing in the 14th spot and not winning the lottery.