My off-season as of today (will change by the end of today):
I am assuming the 3 big players with NMC's will not be asked to move (Rielly, Matthews, Nylander).
Trades:
Marner to Team X for 2026 3rd - Guentzel trade replicated, Leafs need all draft capital they can get
FLA 25 2nd (63OA)+Villeneuve to NSH for Barron - Leafs shift back to 3LD/3RD. Barron is a perfect 3RD for this team. He has offensive flair, he's one of the fastest skaters in the league. I am not sure Nashville moves him but I'm hoping this package would be enough.
Benoit+Holmberg to COL for Colton - Colorado likely brings in a C whether that be Nelson or Granlund or Gourde. They have 1-3LW of Lehkonen, Drouin, Landeskog and 1-3 RW of Necas, Nuke, LOC. Colton will be the odd man out and they could use the cap space. They currently have 2 NHL LD and 3 RD. Benoit would be a perfect fit at 3LD alongside Malinski. Holmberg slides in at 4LW. He won a SHL championship on Drury's wing. Maybe thats a combination that works for COL.
McMann+Woll to NJD for Mercer+26 4th - NJD are built for the future and could use a future 1G. Markstrom was good but not great for them and he's now a pending UFA. Keefe has familiarity with Woll although I'm not sure if that's a positive or negative given his injury history under Keefe. McMann is a good player but pending UFA who didn't score in the playoffs. Alongside Woll he's probably the best tradeable asset the Leafs have. Mercer is a prime buy-low candidate. He is only 23 and has a 27G/56P season. He has now had 2 down seasons since then but has still scored 39 goals over those seasons. He would also be the only RS F alongside Nylander on the Leafs. I'm assuming the value here is equal.
Domi+Robertson to CHI for Brossoit - Soderblom was actually good for Chicago this year which removes the need for Brossoit. Brossoit also missed the entire year so he's gone from being viewed as a Stolarz equivalent to a big question mark. They have familiarity with Domi already and they can replicate the Domi/Bertuzzi magic that we saw at the end of he 2023-24 season. Robertson is a throw in.
Kampf to LAK for future considerations - LAK need a 4C badly. They didn't use their 4th line in the playoffs.
Jarnkrok to PIT for future considerations - I'm hoping Dubas takes his guy for free. PIT has plenty of cap space.
UFA:
Bennett 8.5Mx7 - I am usually very anti-overpay but the Leafs are going to enter a rebuild as soon as Matthews leaves in 2028 so they might as well get the best players they can for the next 3 years.
Raddysh 2.5Mx3 - Offensively inclined 3/4RW. He can slide down to 4RW and give you a good line of Lorentz-Laughton-Raddysh that might be able to actually provide offense or he can be a 3rd cog on a Tavares lead 3rd line.
Roslovic 3Mx1 - Offensively inclined C/RW. He played with Matthews in junior. He has had decent NHL production including a couple 20 goal season and a couple 40 point seasons. My hope here is to staple him to Matthews and we get a similar situation to Drouin/MacKinnon. Knies/Matthews are both primarily shoot first players, I believe Roslovic can put up good production as a passing option on RW with them.
Tavares 4.5Mx3 - I don't want to bring him back but you won't find his production for anywhere close to the rumored contract ask.
Lorentz 1Mx2 - He was a perfectly fine 4LW and had chemistry with Laughton. Bring him back and find a better 4RW.
RFA:
Knies 6.5Mx3 - A bridge deal makes the most sense. Get his cap hit as low as possible while Matthews is on his current deal. Once the Matthews' deal expires you can sign him to the full 8 years at whatever cap hit he wants OR you can flip him as an RFA if the Leafs go into a full rebuild.
Offer Sheet:
Gage Goncalves 2.34Mx1 (TOR 26 3rd)- This is a shot in the dark. Tampa won't have a ton of cap room and they'll be looking to fill their 3rd line wing roles. Goncalves is an interesting player for 3LW alongside Tavares. He put up 4 points in 5 playoff games for Tampa. This is the same offer sheet tier that was used for Holloway.
Roster:
(excuse the logos next to the new players names, I never updated the players team after the start of the 23-24 season)
In: Bennett, Roslovic, Raddysh, Colton, Mercer, Brossoit, Goncalves, Barron, Team X 26 3rd, NJD 26 4th
Out: Marner, Domi, McMann, Woll, Benoit, Holmberg, Robertson, Kampf, Janrkrok, Villeneuve, FLA 25 2nd (63OA), TOR 26 3rd