Add Virta, he has better stats at a younger age than Meskanen in the same league.
This will sound sort of reactionary, but, to me, this is Day's "make or break" season as a prospect. I don't mean that if he's not amazing than he is a failure. What I mean is that I need to see him be adequate in the AHL for me to have confidence in him going forward. I like the kid. He's said and done all the right things as a prospect for us and he's clearly putting in the work. I also like the big, giant chip on his shoulder. But if he can't handle the AHL this season, I have no hope for him as a prospect going forward.Sean Day is one of the players I am most curious to see in the AHL next season.
I need to see how he reacts to that environment.
This will sound sort of reactionary, but, to me, this is Day's "make or break" season as a prospect. I don't mean that if he's not amazing than he is a failure. What I mean is that I need to see him be adequate in the AHL for me to have confidence in him going forward. I like the kid. He's said and done all the right things as a prospect for us and he's clearly putting in the work. I also like the big, giant chip on his shoulder. But if he can't handle the AHL this season, I have no hope for him as a prospect going forward.
I can just as easily see Day having a 10-year NHL career as I can seeing him retired by 23.
I agree with this. It's been 2 years since he was drafted and he has improved, but there are still a lot of question marks. I remember people saying that Day is great at the things you can't teach and needs to improve in the things you can. That's hopeful, but he needs to do it himself. Put the effort in. I feel he often gets away with it at junior level because of his skating which is excellent. But at the pro level you need more than that. It will be interesting this year
So just to get it out of the way, the guys that haven't made the NHL, their floor is that of a bust. A non-NHL player. I only say that because people like to point out that when we talk about floors for guys that haven't made their NHL debut, they don't really have a floor.
That said, I think Lindgren's floor is as a tough, hard-hitting third pairing guy who can at least move the puck out of the zone safely. I think his upside is as a guy who can anchor a second pair and play that tough game but also move the puck around enough to be a lower-level contributor.
Rykov, I also believe probably has second pair upside. However, I don't know enough about him. I saw him in the WJC but that's it. Even the scouting reports on him aren't exactly bountiful from what I've experienced. So, maybe he has better upside, or is even a safer prospect. But I don't know enough, so I can't put him ahead of Lindgren, who I have seen and really like.
Same for a guy like Meskanen vs. Virta. I know more about Virta and have watched him a little. I've read more about him. Meskanen and Virta had comparable seasons last year, but Virta was more of a "known" the year before and therefore I have more exposure to him. I have them very close but I give the edge to the guy I know more about and feel more comfortable with.
This will sound sort of reactionary, but, to me, this is Day's "make or break" season as a prospect. I don't mean that if he's not amazing than he is a failure. What I mean is that I need to see him be adequate in the AHL for me to have confidence in him going forward. I like the kid. He's said and done all the right things as a prospect for us and he's clearly putting in the work. I also like the big, giant chip on his shoulder. But if he can't handle the AHL this season, I have no hope for him as a prospect going forward.
I can just as easily see Day having a 10-year NHL career as I can seeing him retired by 23.
I understand completely and I'm in the same boat on every point you just mentioned.
If we ignore the exceptional status for a minute, his natural abilities have allowed him to put together a pair of very good post-draft seasons in the OHL. But, as Kreiderman said, his natural ability has also allowed him to cover up some pretty glaring mistakes.
I can honestly say I don't have a clear enough read on his trajectory one way or the other. I was talking to someone the other day and said almost the exact same thing you did --- I could see him in the NHL 10 years from now just as easily as I can see him in Europe at the conclusion of this contract.
I'm curious if he's a player who could actually have success in Europe even if he had to go that route. Man alive is Day an interesting case.
I could see him having a long, profitable career in Switzerland, Austria or Germany.
But yeah, Day is one of the more interesting prospects we have.
He's arguably one of out top skaters and best athletes, but questions about the decision making and understanding of the game persist.
Does it put him in over his head at the pro level? Or does his ability allow him to carve a role as a mid or bottom pairing NHL defenseman --- but an NHL player nonetheless.