Depends entirely on how the org feels about the team for next season. If the org does think they'll be good next season/bounce back, it would make sense to keep this year's pick to pick a prospect in the top-10/fringes of it since in this situation they're working off the basis that they think they won't get a chance to draft that high next season. But, it's more likely that this is a sign of things to come. Zibanejad turns 32 in 2 days, Trocheck turns 32 this summer, Kreider turns 34 in 2 weeks, JT Miller is 32, Panarin turns 34 at the start of next season. The defense and goaltending are still in their 20s which is good, but their forward group is a huge concern. They probably should just concede this season's 1st since you don't wanna give up McKenna incase they do have the season from hell, but something tells me they'll keep this year's 1st and concede next year's 1st.
Panarin is going into the final year of his contract.
Rags will be picking between 10-12 depending on how the last game(s) play out between themselves, Isles, and Wings. Regardless, the player they pick won't be in the NHL, so that guy has no impact on the standings. They have to decide what is likely to be there at 10-12 for them.
Scheafer, Misa, Hagens, Martone, Frondell appear to be consensus top 5, with maybe 1 of them falling out.
Next group is McQueen, Deschoyners, Eklund, O'Brien from the sounds of things. But, no guarantee.
They won't know who is on the board before they have to decide on sending the pick out or not.
So, unless there is a group of 3 kids they really like, they probably are best served to move the pick this season. What is the real NYR? the 24 winning President Trophy team or the 25 team that is well under 0.500. I mean, there are like 260 extra points awarded so it evens out to be 8 each or so. Thus, real 0.500 is 90 points. Rangers will end between 83-85 points. At least 5-7 points out from real 0.500. That is a monster drop.
I mean, look at where Boston was in 23. President Trophy. Then in 24, 7th best. 25, bottom 5. No guarantee year to year. And you want to risk a Division Rival getting your Unprotected pick?