GDT: r1g4

Notes:

Burns was 4th among defenseman on the canes for TOI. Did those help him to be more effective?

KK was last among forwards, is he hurt or working through something?
in his lessened minutes, I thought KK was effective.

re: Burns--I suspect staff thought that with Burns playing almost 30 minutes on Friday coupled with the short turnaround, that he needed to play less. Surely not that his play was bad though....

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edit: that smile by Svetch after his last goal is the happiest he has been on the Ice in years.....happy for him!
 
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Guess the fancy stats show Chatfield had a rough game yesterday:



The eye test says so too, he had some awful turnovers. Personally, that’s the spot I think needs improvement the most on the blueline. Chatfield isn’t top 4 quality imho.
 
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Meh. Players have good games and bad games. The same metrics had him as the 2nd best skater on the team in Game 3.


Exactly. Rough games happen, Let's not pretend he hasn't been our 2nd best dman overall this year. He tends to fare better when we can control the matchups, but that's basically every dman in the league.
I think chatfield is a very good 5/6 and can hang as an ok 4. If only there was a defenseman we could work into the lineup somewhere
I'd be all for this.
 
I like Chatfield and his inconsistent performances are a chicken vs the egg thing due to his partnership with an equally hot and cold partner like Orlov. If we see Nikishin adapt to the league as well as we think I believe Chatfield will be a more than adequate partner, even more so when you consider the need to upgrade at 1RD and find someone to replace Ghost.
 
The premise that Chatty's not any more than an average 4D is just something I don't agree with either. He had one poor game but has been mostly great all season as the team's 2nd best D man. We've been spoiled in recent years to have a pretty damn elite top 4, but when you look around the league most teams, including other playoff teams, have considerably worse 2nd pairings than Orlov and Chatfield. And Chatty is the better player on the pair (although I also think Orlov is quite underrated here and unjustly hated upon). League wide I think he's a rock solid #3.

I think Chatty will be in our top 4 for at least another 3-4 years, personally -- barring some unexpected big moves/progressions from certain players (like trading for Dobson and/or Morrow improving rapidly). We just don't have much on the right side going forward outside of Chatty and the potential of Morrow. Although if Nikishin is what we hope he is, we may still be spoiled with our top 4 anyways with 2 guys that can carry pairings.

It's unlikely but I'd love to see these pairings next year:
Slavin - Morrow
Nikishin - Dobson
Orlov - Chatfield

Morrow obviously isn't an ideal top pairing guy but I think Slavin can carry him and that'll help him progress and help us see what we have in him. Nikishin Dobson could be a top pairing for plenty of teams and Orlov kept at a much lower cap hit to give us an elite "3rd pair" again like last year. Or could stack the top pair with Slavin but Morrow with either Orlov or Nikishin right away could be quite the adventure -- I'd aim towards working our way to those pairings in a year or 2 of that group.

Would have to move out both Ghost and Walker though which is unlikely after giving both of them term last offseason. But that would give us an outrageously deep D group like we had last year and would allow us to spread playing time quite a bit and not have to worry as much about not controlling matchups on the road. Pipe dream, I know...
 
One thing that gets lost every year in criticizing guys for their playoff performances is the fact that's it's the playoffs. No more facing teams the quality of the Sharks, Ducks, or Flyers. Every team is good. The players are all better and every single players stats dip from the regular season, every ones.
Yeah 100%. Which makes Aho's playoff history all the more impressive. He doesn't have insane production like McDavid, Kuch, Drai, MacK, etc. but he's got 28 goals, 75 points in 78 games and is +23 and that's in our system which does deflate forwards' production a bit and inflate the D's.


A couple notable comparisons since 2018-19:

Point: 73 games, 37 goals and 73 points, +5
Tkachuk: 70 games, 27 goals and 65 points, +4
Pastrnak: 72 games, 31 goals and 63 points, -1
Barkov: 68 games, 17 goals and 59 points, -2
Hintz: 82 games, 22 goals and 58 points, 0 +/-
Bergeron: 58 games, 19 goals and 42 points, +4

I'd say as a playoff performer Aho is a tier below the very elites but is in the upper echelon of that 2nd tier, and tier 1 is very very small and pretty much only elite franchise players who were drafted in the top few picks (Kuch an exception of course). He really just needs some more forward help, which all of those guys listed have. Jarvis coming on could be part of the answer for sure, and Blake is looking like a good playoff performer too. And maybe Svech is finally waking up. But would love to get a truly elite winger goal scorer for Aho's wing. Of course we've tried with Guentz and Rantanan but need something long term.


 
Guess the fancy stats show Chatfield had a rough game yesterday:



The eye test says so too, he had some awful turnovers. Personally, that’s the spot I think needs improvement the most on the blueline. Chatfield isn’t top 4 quality imho.

Also skewed by him being on the ice for the 2nd (I think) NJD goal where he literally got hooked and spun from the puck leading to the scoring chances. So it looks bad for him statistically but it should have been a penalty instead of a goal
 
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