Your appraisal is a lot more generous than mine.
If the Renfrew Wolves played a PWHL All-Star team I'd bet on the Renfrew Wolves
To say a women's team will be on par with a male team implies that they can beat said team.
They did studies a while back.
A male swimmer who finishes 8th in the final race, is typically 13% better than a female that wins the final race. (and 3% separates 1st from 8th in any one race)
this is built upon the fact that elite swimmers, both Male and Female, undergo similar training regimes, and similar life experiences as they ascend to stardom in swimming (ie, all things being equal)
so 13% probably separates men and women. (bottom of one, top of the other)
what is the drop off from NHL talent to central junior A talent?
And so what is the drop off from Central junior A to PWHL, if over time, women sports follow the same path as men and all things equal out. (numbers grow, ice time, coaching, opportunity, societal acceptance, and so on)?
Does a junior A player stand a chance of making the NHL? Small. Only that small fraction that is biding time in Junior A before they are allowed into a US university program. And so the remaining 20 players on a junior A team are about as far away from the NHL as can be.
Like I said, all things being equal, if pro hockey continues to grow and more and more elite female athletes jump in. 13% will separate a future Marie-Philip Poulin from a future Hayden Hodgson.
And so what will separate a future MPP from a "name your CCHL player who is 19 and not on his way to US college"?
If such a date happens that a future MPP is making 1 million and more dollars, will this not cause a massive rush of talent in?
John McEnroe once theorized that Serena Williams is probably around the 250th best player in the male section. That is actually pretty damn good and well inside the 13% differential.