Prospect poll #7

[Calicaps]

Caps' top 10 prospects

1. Ryan Leonard, #8 2023, RW, Boston College
2. Cole Hutson, #43 2024, D, Boston University
3. Andrew Cristall, #40 2023, RW, Spokane
4. Ivan Miroshnichenko, #20 2022, LW, Hershey/Washington
5. Hendrix Lapierre, #22, 2020, C, Hershey/Washington
6. Ilya Protas, #75, 2024, LW, Windsor

Click to read more...

 

[HTFN]

Interesting list, seems like this is really where the split starts to show up between voting for floor vs. ceiling, draft profile vs. recent progress, and such...

honestly I'm stumped, won't vote just yet

 

[Dr John Carlson]

Parascak, probably Chesley next, and then a pretty big gap IMO.

 

[qc14]

I think there's a little bit of recency bias with Protas vs. Parasack -- people are way underrating how impressive Parasack's D0 year was

 

[Silky mitts]

This is the most obvious one for me, kind of thinking Iorio and Chesley top out as bottom pairing guys

 

[Ridley Simon]

Our recent first pick, Parascak. It’s his turn

 

[DWGie26]

I went Dee and Chesley. He is having a good year and I think he can be a second pair guy. Probably a third pair guy once TVR departs but with upside. I think Chesley has higher ceiling and floor over Iorio. Parascak is going to be good but Chesley will make it to the NHL before TP. It will be hard for him to crack the Caps lineup anytime soon.

 

[Pigskin]

not sure about the more recent additions to the list, but this one is a no-brainer ... have to trust they knew what they were doing in picking Parascak

 

[Melkor]

Chesley. Parascak is a mistery to me. Can end up being a 1st line NHL forward. Also can end up as a 1st line Kunlun Red Star forward. The difference between floor and ceiling with him is too wide. Chesley looks more like a sure bet.

 

[Holtbyisms]

Parascak, should have been 6th.

 

[Kazer]

Voted Parascak. @qc14 is 100% right that Parascak was incredible last year which has made his 24-25 seem disappointing by comparison.

Surprised to see Chesley getting so much love over Iorio who is having a very solid year in Hershey playing consistently on the #1 pair. To me, it's razor thin between the two in terms of who is a better prospect.

 

[Holtbyisms]

Voted Parascak. @qc14 is 100% right that Parascak was incredible last year which has made his 24-25 seem disappointing by comparison.

Surprised to see Chesley getting so much love over Iorio who is having a very solid year in Hershey playing consistently on the #1 pair. To me, it's razor thin between the two in terms of who is a better prospect.

They're literally almost the same prospect but Iorio is much further along. He's having a great year. Every year this poll reeks of shiney new ball syndrome.

 

[DWGie26]

They're literally almost the same prospect but Iorio is much further along. He's having a great year. Every year this poll reeks of shiney new ball syndrome.

Chesley is not a shiny new object. He is what, one year behind Iorio. His development path has been NCAA instead of Hershey. I like Iorio and he will be next pick for me (ahead of TP). If nothing else, there will be good competition between Iorio and Chesley.

We are in unfamiliar territory. We have more solid prospects than we have roster spots. Some will have to be moved and this place will explode when it happens.

 

[Ajax1995]

Voted Parascak. @qc14 is 100% right that Parascak was incredible last year which has made his 24-25 seem disappointing by comparison.

It is never a good thing when a junior player’s production goes down between his draft year and the next, even if it isn’t by a significant amount. Any time that happens I start downgrading the player as a prospect.

 

[qc14]

It is never a good thing when a junior player’s production goes down between his draft year and the next, even if it isn’t by a significant amount. Any time that happens I start downgrading the player as a prospect.

It's not good but production in your D-1 and D0 are generally better indicators of a prospect's future success than your D+1.

Chesley is not a shiny new object. He is what, one year behind Iorio. His development path has been NCAA instead of Hershey. I like Iorio and he will be next pick for me (ahead of TP). If nothing else, there will be good competition between Iorio and Chesley.

We are in unfamiliar territory. We have more solid prospects than we have roster spots. Some will have to be moved and this place will explode when it happens.

I like Chesley but fair or not I'm taking the guy that's proven he can do it in the AHL over the guy who has only proven he can do it at the NCAA level every single time.

 

[DWGie26]

It's not good but production in your D-1 and D0 are generally better indicators of a prospect's future success than your D+1.


I like Chesley but fair or not I'm taking the guy that's proven he can do it in the AHL over the guy who has only proven he can do it at the NCAA level every single time.

The path through NCAA is almost as good. But high end players can absolutely go from NCAA to NHL. But I guess you can argue it either way. We’re not talking about Lemay here. Haha.

And absolutely in no way is a D-1 a better indicator than D+1. D-1 is just potential and hype before they have been drafted. Soooo much development from D-1 to D+3. Just ask Protas, Tage Thompson, etc. Part of being a pro is to go through the major junior/NCAA/Pro grind. That is where you really get a sense of ceiling and floor.

 

[Kazer]

It is never a good thing when a junior player’s production goes down between his draft year and the next, even if it isn’t by a significant amount. Any time that happens I start downgrading the player as a prospect.

I agree that it's a bad sign. But I also think his 30+ goal 90+ point pace is quite good in a vacuum.

Protas (Aliaksei) put up 31 goals and 80 points (58 GP) in his D+1 season. That's very similar to Terik (he's on pace for about 27 goals and 83 points if you normalize his pace to 58 games played).

Time will tell how good Parascak is.

 

[Kuz]

Some of Parascak decline is because he just dosent have the chemistry he did with last years line. But he keeps up quite well with last years Numbers while not being on a line as good.

 

[ArmadilloThumb]

Parascak for me as well here. He is a long way out but could be special too.

Regarding Frank, I had never seen him actually play before he came up.and I'm impressed. But I can't consider him a prospect, maybe a later bloomer and to me that's just different.