Playoffs Positivity Thread

  • Thread starter Thread starter Jurivan Demidovsky
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Before the Loss the Isles were the top contender with 1.6% odds to make the playoffs. I’m curious to see where that takes them.
 
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We are not there yet but if the Habs enter in the playoffs, it will be against Washington if Ottawa don't choke. (Let’s just hope this post doesn’t jinx their playoff push.. ....)

Here are the numbers for Washington and the Habs since December 16th, and since February 22nd (the return of the Four Nations Cup).​

I have a feeling some people might start sweating a little, because this isn’t exactly David vs Goliath — at least not the way the standings would suggest.

Habs :
Since December 16th
: 28-14-6 – 154 goals for, 140 goals against (+14)
Since February 22nd : 14-4-4 – 85 goals for, 82 goals against (+3)

Washington :
Since December 16th
: 28-13-7 – 162 goals for, 134 goals against (+28)
Since February 22nd : 13-8-1 – 81 goals for, 71 goals against (+10)

Montreal is heading into the playoffs with nothing to lose — the exact opposite of Washington.

They’ve lost their starting goalie and are dealing with a few key injuries. The Habs, meanwhile, are mostly healthy, surging, and probably have two of the hottest players in the entire NHL right now: Nick Suzuki and Lane Hutson since returning from the Four Nations break and add the best prospect in the entire league outside the NHL : Ivan "Le Terrible" Demidov

This is going to be a very interesting series. And to those predicting “Washington in 3” — let’s not forget what happened against Toronto, shall we? Those kinds of takes just make the victory twice as satisfying when it happens.

So, for those with an inferiority complex against the Capitals : You might want to reconsider — this series will be decided on the ice, and every inch will be hard fought.

P.S. The Habs currently rank 5th or 6th in the entire NHL since December 16th.

Yes, we’ll probably run out of gas at some point — whether it's fatigue, injuries, or Suzuki and Hutson coming back down to earth a bit. Guys like Armia and Anderson have been injured for months, and let’s be honest : Montreal has no offensive depth. The Dvorak line will start to struggle at some point.
But the question is : When will the magic fade?

Right now, the team believes, and that’s a powerful thing.
Remember Toronto, Pittsburgh, or Washington during the Halak spring run — things can shift very quickly when the favorite starts to feel the ground shaking.

If the Habs can steal just one game in Washington and come back to the Bell Centre tied 1-1,
the pressure on the Caps will be enormous — and that’s where upsets are born.

Their coach will probably win the Jack Adams with one hand tied behind his back,
but regular-season success doesn’t guarantee playoff glory.
Remember Boston just two years ago — they shattered every regular-season record…
and got bounced in the first round.

The Ovechkin chase for 895 was their fuel all season. Now that the milestone is reached, we could see a natural emotional dip — it’s human. The adrenaline will inevitably taper off.

  • Alexei Protas is out for a few weeks.
  • Matt Roy is dealing with a neck issue after a hit in the last game.
  • Another player also left that same game after blocking a shot (I can’t recall who).

And most importantly: Logan Thompson is injured.
Thompson has been phenomenal statistically, but more than that — the team plays better in front of him:
  • With Thompson: 31 wins in 42 games, averaging 4 goals per game
  • With Lindgren: 18 wins in 35 starts, averaging 3 goals per game
That doesn't mean they’re doomed to choke — but given all the circumstances, I believe Washington is the most beatable opponent the Habs could possibly face. Thompson and Lindgren have only 4 playoffs start each, 2-2 for the first one and 0-4 for the last one.

Montreal enters this series with no pressure at all. For the Capitals, it’s the complete opposite.
 
It's actually insane how far down all these other teams are from us when you look at the standings , its like gods looking down on ants
It's surreal seeing where we are

But know a month ago it was like 5 pts back from a spot, TEAMS in the way like 4-5 of them to leapfrog, it seemed really tough to do but we were just happy honest to God TO BE in the mix and playing meaningful games
(Hell there was a point we fell so low we were 6th in the draft of wtv)

But to all of a sudden be f***ing 8 points up IN the last spot with 4 games to go??? Wha?? Just awesome man

Super proud of the boys
Demidov.
 

We are not there yet but if the Habs enter in the playoffs, it will be against Washington if Ottawa don't choke. (Let’s just hope this post doesn’t jinx their playoff push.. ....)

Here are the numbers for Washington and the Habs since December 16th, and since February 22nd (the return of the Four Nations Cup).​

I have a feeling some people might start sweating a little, because this isn’t exactly David vs Goliath — at least not the way the standings would suggest.

Habs :
Since December 16th
: 28-14-6 – 154 goals for, 140 goals against (+14)
Since February 22nd : 14-4-4 – 85 goals for, 82 goals against (+3)

Washington :
Since December 16th
: 28-13-7 – 162 goals for, 134 goals against (+28)
Since February 22nd : 13-8-1 – 81 goals for, 71 goals against (+10)

Montreal is heading into the playoffs with nothing to lose — the exact opposite of Washington.

They’ve lost their starting goalie and are dealing with a few key injuries. The Habs, meanwhile, are mostly healthy, surging, and probably have two of the hottest players in the entire NHL right now: Nick Suzuki and Lane Hutson since returning from the Four Nations break and add the best prospect in the entire league outside the NHL : Ivan "Le Terrible" Demidov

This is going to be a very interesting series. And to those predicting “Washington in 3” — let’s not forget what happened against Toronto, shall we? Those kinds of takes just make the victory twice as satisfying when it happens.

So, for those with an inferiority complex against the Capitals : You might want to reconsider — this series will be decided on the ice, and every inch will be hard fought.

P.S. The Habs currently rank 5th or 6th in the entire NHL since December 16th.

Yes, we’ll probably run out of gas at some point — whether it's fatigue, injuries, or Suzuki and Hutson coming back down to earth a bit. Guys like Armia and Anderson have been injured for months, and let’s be honest : Montreal has no offensive depth. The Dvorak line will start to struggle at some point.
But the question is : When will the magic fade?

Right now, the team believes, and that’s a powerful thing.
Remember Toronto, Pittsburgh, or Washington during the Halak spring run — things can shift very quickly when the favorite starts to feel the ground shaking.

If the Habs can steal just one game in Washington and come back to the Bell Centre tied 1-1,
the pressure on the Caps will be enormous — and that’s where upsets are born.

Their coach will probably win the Jack Adams with one hand tied behind his back,
but regular-season success doesn’t guarantee playoff glory.
Remember Boston just two years ago — they shattered every regular-season record…
and got bounced in the first round.

The Ovechkin chase for 895 was their fuel all season. Now that the milestone is reached, we could see a natural emotional dip — it’s human. The adrenaline will inevitably taper off.

  • Alexei Protas is out for a few weeks.
  • Matt Roy is dealing with a neck issue after a hit in the last game.
  • Another player also left that same game after blocking a shot (I can’t recall who).

And most importantly: Logan Thompson is injured.
Thompson has been phenomenal statistically, but more than that — the team plays better in front of him:
  • With Thompson: 31 wins in 42 games, averaging 4 goals per game
  • With Lindgren: 18 wins in 35 starts, averaging 3 goals per game
That doesn't mean they’re doomed to choke — but given all the circumstances, I believe Washington is the most beatable opponent the Habs could possibly face. Thompson and Lindgren have only 4 playoffs start each, 2-2 for the first one and 0-4 for the last one.

Montreal enters this series with no pressure at all. For the Capitals, it’s the complete opposite.
Washington looks like one the weaker 1st place teams we've seen in a while but they won't be easy either. And to be honest I haven't ruled out us taking that WC2, if we beat Ottawa Friday it's 1 point back with 3 games to play for both teams.
 
Bringing in Demidov shifts our outlook for the playoffs substantially. If he can provide any amount of secondary scoring above what we've been getting from Roy/Beck/Pezzetta/Kapanen, he's addressing a huge need for the team. If he can make the second line or PP2 even marginally more relevant, we are significantly more competitive against teams that shut down our top line.

He doesn't need to be a world beater, just needs to effectively fill a secondary role.

Often times we see Matheson-Carrier with the CC-NS-JS line, and Hutson-Guhle with Laine-Newhook and whoever else is thrown there, so it's bound to happen as he'll be getting both Laine and Hutson to create offense.
 
Pretty cool that we could clinch before the Sens game.

Need to hope for:

April 9:
Rangers regulation loss

April 10:
Wings regulation loss
Columbus regulation loss
Islanders regulation loss

EDIT: I'm wrong because of RW
 
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Looking darn good they make it. What would be preferred,overtake Ottawa as it's possible and face Toronto or Tampa or stay put and face the Capitols.
 
Yeesh. Incomprehensible bizarre writing.
Oi! is that an attempt to punk me there Rain Man? You got to do better than that as what was said is so clear and straightforward that even an imbecile like Forest Gump wouldn't have a problem with it.lol
 
If the bottom-6 of this team wasn’t as effective (dominant?) throughout the season, if the much maligned Matheson didn’t absorb 25TOI+ for much of the season allowing management of Hutson’s time to absorb the NHL & grow…

Habs came into the season as a sum of all parts team, and remain so. If the bottom-6 are complete no shows, there isn’t anything Suzuki & Hutson can do to overcome that void…
Good on ya! teams are indeed a sum of its parts. The challenge is to identify and correctly combine those parts to maximize optimum performance and results.
 
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This may sound weird but I hope they don't win too many more regular season games. At least not more than the devils
 
Do we still play against Caps if we finish #7? We are only 2 points behind New Jersey.

Top 3 teams in each division makes it no matter what. If we finish in WC1, we play winner of the Atlantic, which is looking like Toronto but it’s not over.

WC2 will play Washington, conference winner.

So, even if we pass NJD, it doesn’t matter since they are ahead of the New York teams and CBJ. Jersey plays Carolina.
 
5 games left, basically Detroit NY Rangers Islanders Columbus have to win all of their 5 games and we have to lose all our remaining games.

If any of those teams above loses 1 game they are out of the playoffs.

I think our playoff odds are like 99% or something
 

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