If we ignore Moneypuck, because their projection system sucks. Example: the Rangers have better odds of making the playoffs than the Habs, despite the Habs pts projection being higher in their own table.
We have:
Habs, as of this morning, are projected to get 89 pts...and the rest dropped to 86 or less.
Also, at ~50% chances of making the playoffs.
I consider Detroit and Boston statistically eliminated, because even if they were to win all their remaining games, they can't go higher than 93/92 points, which is around what is took to make the playoffs the last few seasons.
NYR, NYI and Columbus max at 96, 97, 95 pts. So not much room there either, but still a chance if the Habs collapse.
The Habs max is 101 pts...
Habs are 100% in control, if they fail at making the playoffs, it's because they collapsed on the last stretch.