It'll be interesting to see the voting for the Selke this year. We all know Bergeron should get it every year, but you never know how the voting will go.
The reasons against Bergeron will be offensive production, even though he completely turned that around in the second half of the season (his numbers are comparable to the other main candidates Koivu and Kesler), zone starts being more slanted to offensive (way more than usual), the uncertainty of the Bruins making the playoffs again, and maybe the biggest one: Marchand's success, even if it's been offensive success.
Pretty much everything else points towards him winning. For one, I think the field this year is weaker than usual.
Koivu will be interesting. His basic advanced numbers aren't the strongest, but he really starts to show his worth when you start delving deeper. Still, Minnesota as a whole really trailed off, which I think will hurt him. People say he may get it as a "he's due" like Kopitar did last year, but I'm not so sure about that. For my money, he's been the clear #2 best defensive forward since Bergeron has been #1, but his Selke voting is (wrongly) not very strong. Can't recognize someone for being due if you didn't recognize them at all before.
Kesler started off extremely strong but he's trailed off. Still, he represents more of an old school appeal to the voters. Koivu and Kesler will be the biggest obstacles, and the main argument for them will be their heavy D-zone starts over Bergeron.
Other than that, you know you'll get Toews votes. I think people are starting to realize now that he's not that strong defensively, but I'm probably kidding myself. His offense rebounding and Chicago's season will be reason enough for a lot of people.
So many people are bizarrely pushing Backlund, Backstrom and Kadri this year. Backlund is a little more deserving, but I don't think any of them belong anywhere close to the discussion. They have a shot at breaking top 5 though.
Barkov and Stone will be the wildcards, and maybe Niederreiter due to his shot suppression numbers, but probably not. Barkov hasn't played as much as most, and being on Florida brings him down, but he really stepped up defensively when he has played this year. He will definitely be one to watch going forward, and has a good shot at being top 5 this year. Being a winger will always hold him back, but I think Stone will be the new Hossa, where people will always cry for him to get it, but he'll never quite get it done.