Speculation: Ottawa Senators Cap Projections 25/26 and 26/27

The article you attached was from 2 months ago. IIRC, Bettman was on television since then stating that he had no idea where those numbers were coming from. Something might have happened since then. I have no idea what will happen, and won’t try to guess.
Bettman is the same guy that said the Thrashers weren't on the move, then a week later announced the Thrashers were moving.

What has changed since then is that Escrow payments have been dropped from 6% to zero for the remainder of the season, and players are expected to get everything they paid into Escrow back when they do the final accounting.

The thing we do know for sure though is for any climb in the cap beyond 5%, the NHL and NHLPA will need to come to an agreement as the MOU from 2020 set a max increase of 5% per year. So when Bettman says he has no idea where they got 97 from, it's likely at least partially true in that the NHL and NHLPA haven't yet bargained any increase beyond the 5% max dictated by the current MOU.

My guess is 97 comes from an estimate of the trailing two-year average HRR growth percentage, but that's pure speculation on my part.
 
I'm starting this thread for use as a location to post proposed Cap situations. I'll start with currently signed player for the next two years including the two buried 1 way contracts next year. I'm using conservative Upper Limit numbers of 95M and 100M.

Player2025/262026/27
Stutzle8,350,0008,350,000
Tkachuk8,205,7148,205,714
Norris7,950,0007,950,000
Batherson4,975,0004,975,000
Perron4,000,0000
Pinto3,750,0000
Amadio2,600,0002,600,000
Greig3,250,0003,250,000
Ostapchuk825,0000
Sanderson8,050,0008,050,000
Chabot8,000,0008,000,000
Zub4,600,0004,600,000
Jensen4,050,0004,050,000
Ullmark8,250,0008,250,000
Korpisalo1,000,0001,000,000
White875,000875,000
Total78,730,71466,105,714
Projected Cap95,000,000100,000,000
Projected Space16,269,28633,894,286
MacEwen775,0000
Sogaard775,0000
Updated to reflect the error in Jensen row
 

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