dirty12
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- Mar 6, 2015
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wHY HAS THE 67 THREAD BECOME THE fRONTS THREAD
Not so much about the FRONTS for me as it is the importance of pick accumulation is overstated.
wHY HAS THE 67 THREAD BECOME THE fRONTS THREAD
Kingston really only needs 3,4,5 picks for the ‘26 draft and 2,3 picks for ‘27. Assuming Kingston does not bust in the next two import drafts they should with relative ease come up with 3-‘08s & 2-‘09s over two seasons, and maintain an adequate amount of picks.
North Bay in one year moved out 3-OAs, 2-‘05s, [and picks with a bare cupboard]; and brought in an OA, ‘06, 4-‘07s, 2-‘08s, as well as an adequate amount of picks to draft with.
Now I do not think Kingston has the real option of holding Battaglia at deadline like NB did with Kennedy & Romani, and Brantford did with VanVliet & Roberts; so, Kingston may not make out as well in that regard. I do however believe Kingston can choose to re-tool or choose to accumulate a silly amount of draft picks.
I no longer like the pick accumulation strategy because in recent years I have seen teams frivolously over spend for Rehkopf; Leenders; VanVliet & Roberts; five OAs over three seasons; …of those five OAs, only Morrison could not be had for a song a couple of years prior.
Furthermore, teams are using those accumulated picks on players that were their third or fourth options.
Say what you want about the inability of Kingston to acquire targeted players, but the truth is; Wakely chose Barrie because it gave him a direct line of communication with the coach/GM, and SSM was not taking a deal for Gibson unless Kingston gave up Hopkins.
I get what you are saying and I don’t discount some of the trends that have emerged as being another challenge to contend with. However, at the same time, you cannot acquire ANYONE without giving assets in return. Obviously the best route to follow is to draft and develop players. But, that only gets you so far. You need to augment your lineup. If you trade picks to do it, you lose your ability to draft and develop. There really is no way around it.
Agreed. However, given:
- the new rule changes regarding NCAA commitments and more accessibility to these players, and,
- the possibility (if it becomes reality) of CHL team having access to 3 imports players
It seems that OHL teams will (maybe if the import rule is changed) have more options to bolster their teams by drafting, developing and attracting players even more so than so than traditionally in the past, meaning, in order to contend they may be a little less reliant on trades to bolster their teams in specific years?
IMO teams will now have more control in strengthening their lineup with less dependance on the fluctuating trade market in a given year.
If a team dedicates more resources to strong scouting for imports and attracting more US born and NCAA bound players, then they may be less dependent on giving up a boat load of resources in trades with opposing teams.
Maybe this also weakens an agent's ability to dictate where his client goes to, as well?
The 3 Euro rule will not affect the Euro draft. Teams have a hard enough time drafting 2 impact players. Where the 2 Euro rule comes into effect is a team like London or a team that is going for it and has a 2-star Euro already. An example would be Kington or London. This year, they have two good Euros going for it. Imagine if they could add a player like Ekberg to the roster.Regarding the NCAA issue, there are multiple cohorts this year. But, after this year, those multiple cohorts will be gone and it will be relegated to draft only starting with the ‘09 age group in this years Priority selection. This summer is effectively the last time some teams that had previously went a little heavier drafting NCAA recruits can gain an advantage. For example, because of the multiple cohorts, Ottawa could end up with both Barnett boys as well as someone like Vandenberg. However, next year, the best they can do is add whomever they draft next year. The multiple cohorts variability will be gone.
Also, I am not certain the 3 Import rule will make a big difference. It may for some teams if they can manage to find a way to draft a 17 year old every year and then keep them on a three year cycle. But, even having two good Imports is tough for most teams. The 2nd round is a crap shoot at best for almost all teams. I think it may make a bigger difference in goaltending. My intuition tells me that the Import Goalie will come back heavier starting as soon as teams can roster three Imports.
The 3 Euro rule will not affect the Euro draft. Teams have a hard enough time drafting 2 impact players. Where the 2 Euro rule comes into effect is a team like London or a team that is going for it and has a 2-star Euro already. An example would be Kington or London. This year, they have two good Euros going for it. Imagine if they could add a player like Ekberg to the roster.
This is where the 3 Euro rule will have an effect not at the draft at all.
NCAA: I think the rich will get richer for the most part this year. Teams that are good and going for it will be able to attract NCAA-caliber players. NCAA bound USHL, BCHL or other leagues players will be looking at where can they develop their skills the most. For a couple, it will also mean showcasing for the scouts.
In the long run, the only thing the NCAA rule has changed is it has removed the "don't draft me, I will go NCAA or BCHL" BS from agents and players.
Hate to come back to an old song but still not sure the front office situation is resolved. That in my mind is still going to affect players signing.I think allowing three imports would affect the competitive balance. It would certainly benefit Barrie and London, and teams each year that player agents and NHL GMs believe could go on long playoff runs.
If the ‘rich’ get US born ‘free’ this season, it is the fault of teams with a lot of picks. The ‘67s have 8 picks through 5 rounds. If they choose, they can pick-off at least a few US born players 2006-08. Barrie, Flint, London, NB have multiple 5ths & 6ths to use.
Hate to come back to an old song but still not sure the front office situation is resolved. That in my mind is still going to affect players signing.
Hate to come back to an old song but still not sure the front office situation is resolved. That in my mind is still going to affect players signing.
The 3 Euro rule will not affect the Euro draft. Teams have a hard enough time drafting 2 impact players. Where the 2 Euro rule comes into effect is a team like London or a team that is going for it and has a 2-star Euro already. An example would be Kington or London. This year, they have two good Euros going for it. Imagine if they could add a player like Ekberg to the roster.
This is where the 3 Euro rule will have an effect not at the draft at all.
NCAA: I think the rich will get richer for the most part this year. Teams that are good and going for it will be able to attract NCAA-caliber players. NCAA bound USHL, BCHL or other leagues players will be looking at where can they develop their skills the most. For a couple, it will also mean showcasing for the scouts.
In the long run, the only thing the NCAA rule has changed is it has removed the "don't draft me, I will go NCAA or BCHL" BS from agents and players.
I think allowing three imports would affect the competitive balance. It would certainly benefit Barrie and London, and teams each year that player agents and NHL GMs believe could go on long playoff runs.
If the ‘rich’ get US born ‘free’ this season, it is the fault of teams with a lot of picks. The ‘67s have 8 picks through 5 rounds. If they choose, they can pick-off at least a few US born players 2006-08. Barrie, Flint, London, NB have multiple 5ths & 6ths to use.
Well, I heard in a casual conversation that the ‘front office’ is not really interested in an extended rebuild; and if things go their way, the ‘67s could be competitive this season. Right or wrong, I interpreted that to mean the ‘67s might use picks to draft 17-19 yr old players.
I’m not really sure how much the NCAA rule will remove the “Don’t draft me” element. I still think players in the top 10 will mostly go where they want. The defect rule has dictated that teams are now compensated for it as opposed to the past where they weren’t. That comp 1st has had a far greater effect on reducing the shenanigans than the NCAA rule will ever.
After a couple seasons, what is likely to happen is there will be a greater number of Americans in the OHL which will fuel expansion. The Americans will rely less on staying “close to home.” Eventually, they will fall in line with the league the same way as GTA players playing in SSM and Ottawa etc. IT will be part of the gig.
I agree about the Euro rule change. Some teams, like Ottawa, will be able to recruit fairly well. Like I said, if you have one 17, one 18, and one 19 year old and you keep that cycle going, you can simply draft a 17 year old every year and not pass on your draft pick once every three year.s. But, like you said, it will be tough on supply. However, if they are talking about this now, there must be a reason why. They must project the supply to increase at some point soon. I cannot see the 3 Euro rule come into play without some form of supply increase. This is why I suggested the goaltending. The Euro goalies tend to be pretty good.
The defect rule will remain an important equalizer if/when US expansion happens.
More Russians will come over, I’m sure; but I am not at all convinced supply of Europeans will even get back to the levels a decade ago.
I find the though of allowing three imports concerning.
There must be a belief that three good OAs is not sustainable given new rules?
I should have read this comment before I posted the last comment. This is exactly what I think is going to happen. With a solid back end and some serviceable wingers, if they can bring in a couple mature American centres, they could be pretty good.
We tend to all think in terms of the normal rebuild period but this year presents an opportunity to skip all of that. With the potential for a massive surplus of mature players available, teams could strategically use picks in a very different way. Imagine a treat that drafts late in round one picking an 18 year old mor mature American? Take a team like Brantford that could pick a mature American in round one and then get Malhotra to sign? That is a game changer for their competitive outcome next season vs picking a 16 year old. Screw picking a 16 year old and trading him at the deadline. Just go pick a mature 18 year old American and bypass that whole trade situation. If the American doesn’t report, jsut declare him defected and get the comp pick next year.
It is tough to say. It seems OBVIOUS to me that 3 Imports is not sustainable across all teams in all three leagues. But, if it seems that way to us, there must be a reason why it is being considered. Maybe, like you said, the Russians will fill in a big gap. But, that won’t fill the whole gap.
It maybe could be more so teams being able to protect some of the better Imports sort of in reserve? So, a teams could draft harder to sign Imports, keep that player on their reserve list just in case and then still keep two good imports. MAybe it is something like that? Right now I think they can only do that with high NHL picks.
The ‘67s are well positioned to strike first. Most teams will use 1-3 picks, and 4th pick if not having a surplus, to draft true rookies. I don’t think that will ever change.
But with the benefit of hindsight, I think the idea of drafting 17-19 yr old US born players was thought up several months ago. That might explain the unusual amount of 6-7-8 picks tossed around leading up to the trade deadline.
FWIW, Bob Dyce and Shawn Burke are in the same boat with the REDBLACKS - no contract extensions in place at present, and both are going into the final year of their deals in 2025. There was word that OSEG was going to extend them, but no announcement has happened as yet.I find it interesting that thre is no rumour or talk about contract extensions.
How does drafting all these older kids affect the development of the second-year layers I know everyone here thinks that Ottawa is the best citry for kids to play JrA. and it was I am just not sure it is the best city with the best coaching.
If Ottawa thinks it is going to go for it, look to a line of Barlas Foster and Dever playing big minutes because we all know Dave hates to play new players.
Personally I think that this push is a GM and coach that are worried about their contracts.
As has been said the draft will tellus a lot.
@OMG67
Just imagine the draft two years ago if they could have drafted three players: Uronen Korbler and Not quite Korbler. Or last year, they could have drafted Ekberg and Korbler's cousin.
Also, is the present rule that they draft players, and if they come, do you have to play them or send them home? Talk about taking ice time away from NA kid.
Like I said, I'll wait until I see if there is a change in the coaching with an assistant getting more control of the Offence. I am not going to hold my breath.
I find it interesting that thre is no rumour or talk about contract extensions.
FWIW, Bob Dyce and Shawn Burke are in the same boat with the REDBLACKS - no contract extensions in place at present, and both are going into the final year of their deals in 2025. There was word that OSEG was going to extend them, but no announcement has happened as yet.
Yes. It is a one time strategy for sure. The question is whether te teams will incorporate the Americans as if they were Canadians? The true 16 year old Americans will now be drafted higher but will they be drafted at their true draft ranking? I think they will. I think teams will most certainly be comfortable drafting a 3rd round ranked american kid in the 3rd round instead of the 6th.
What that does is it pushes some of the 4th and 5th round ranked Canadian kids that moved up to the 3rd round, back to the 4th and 5th round. We will see some Canadian kids picked int he 5th round this year that would probably have been drafted 20-30 slots higher if there were no NCAA/CHL Agreement.
It may also make it more difficult for 16 year olds to actually make teams this year. FI we see 20-30 more mature Americans suit up this year, that is 20-20 less 16 year olds suiting up. It makes the league a little older and more competitive from a skill level perspective. A team that decides to go into a traditional cycle may be further behind than most years.
It is really going to be a crazy landscape unfolding. I am looking forward to next year to see how it all plays out.