OMG67
Registered User
- Sep 1, 2013
- 10,790
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As of right now (which is all that matters), a player needs to be considered a student for the NHL teams to hold the players rights longer than two years. The question is if Foster were to commit to an NCAA school prior to June 1, would he be considered a student? That is the only factor that matters. What the NHL, CHL, NCAA do in the future is irrelevant to the Foster example.
There is an agreement in place (Collective Bargaining agreement with the NHLPA) that dictates how the NHL holds players rights. That agreement has one more year on it. So, it is unlikely they will make any changes this year. IT will likely be addressed as part of the new agreement (or not).
To be honest, they may not need to address anything. IT is clearly defined on how long the NHL teams hold player rights depending on whether they are in Europe, CHL, or NCAA. Nothing really needs to change in that regard. The issue that may come to the forefront is the AHL eligibility for the 18/19 year old CHL players. That will be interesting.
The landscape will change. We don’t really know how much. I think it is safe to say that the more elite OA’s that aren’t really pro prospects will likely play NCAA if they are eligible scholastically. Their exposure would be similar to the CHL. It is not like they are trying to wait another year before going to a dead end in CIS. A player like Logan Morrison wouldn’t have likely returned to the OHL in that situation. I can see a scenario where OA roster spots end up sitting at 2 plus a goalie. Or, maybe they keep it at three but almost all teams end up with an OA goalie organically. If the talented OA’s mostly leave early, the goalie becomes almost essential.
One other scenario has a handful of the more elite CHL players going NCAA because they can’t go AHL. The competition would be elevated above the CHL which is good for the handful of players wasting their time in the CHL but aren’t quite ready for the NHL. Guys like Schaefer, Misa, Parekh, Martone etc could be those types of players that probably could handle the AHL but not the NHL. We could see some change there in the next CBA.
If we do see some of the more elite players leave early and the OA pool gets thinner, the league would skew a bit younger. If that happens, that may affect the USHL more. It means the CHL would be looking for more younger players and the younger guys would be get more opportunity. Maybe that makes the CHL more comparable to the USHL in some respects whiter the older players aren’t the elite players. They are the guys more getting full ride scholarships etc.
There is an agreement in place (Collective Bargaining agreement with the NHLPA) that dictates how the NHL holds players rights. That agreement has one more year on it. So, it is unlikely they will make any changes this year. IT will likely be addressed as part of the new agreement (or not).
To be honest, they may not need to address anything. IT is clearly defined on how long the NHL teams hold player rights depending on whether they are in Europe, CHL, or NCAA. Nothing really needs to change in that regard. The issue that may come to the forefront is the AHL eligibility for the 18/19 year old CHL players. That will be interesting.
The landscape will change. We don’t really know how much. I think it is safe to say that the more elite OA’s that aren’t really pro prospects will likely play NCAA if they are eligible scholastically. Their exposure would be similar to the CHL. It is not like they are trying to wait another year before going to a dead end in CIS. A player like Logan Morrison wouldn’t have likely returned to the OHL in that situation. I can see a scenario where OA roster spots end up sitting at 2 plus a goalie. Or, maybe they keep it at three but almost all teams end up with an OA goalie organically. If the talented OA’s mostly leave early, the goalie becomes almost essential.
One other scenario has a handful of the more elite CHL players going NCAA because they can’t go AHL. The competition would be elevated above the CHL which is good for the handful of players wasting their time in the CHL but aren’t quite ready for the NHL. Guys like Schaefer, Misa, Parekh, Martone etc could be those types of players that probably could handle the AHL but not the NHL. We could see some change there in the next CBA.
If we do see some of the more elite players leave early and the OA pool gets thinner, the league would skew a bit younger. If that happens, that may affect the USHL more. It means the CHL would be looking for more younger players and the younger guys would be get more opportunity. Maybe that makes the CHL more comparable to the USHL in some respects whiter the older players aren’t the elite players. They are the guys more getting full ride scholarships etc.