In all fairness, Sudbury has given up 41 more goals against. I wouldn’t put them in the same box defensively. They won’t play each other anyway but generally speaking, special teams stats from the regular season don’t often carry over in the same manner when the playoffs roll around. First, a team with 24% vs 20% translates to a difference of 4 total goals over 100 power plays. You will typically see about 4 pp per game so in. Seven game series, even if you use the numbers from the regular season, the difference is one goal over a seven game series.
Special teams numbers get dramatically skewed in the playoffs because of small sample sizes. This is why I suggest 5 on 5 play is key. A 20% PP could go 30% over a single series while the 25% PP can go 12%. Too few games to really indicate one way or the other.
Don’t get me wrong, special teams will likely decide a series. But we’ve seen it time and again where a strong regular season PP team go 3 for 25 in a series loss and point to that as the reason they lost. Happens all the time. Same with team that has a great penalty kill but gives up 8 PP goals on 18 opportunities. Again, happens all the time.
The only thing that usually Carrie’s over to the playoffs is team discipline (giving less opportunities) and 5 on 5 play with solid goal suppression at even strength. If I am trying to point to a silver lining for Ottawa, I point to those two things. That don’t take a lot of penalties and their 5 on 5 goal suppression is pretty decent. The question is special teams but with any luck, they stay out of the box and score a few on the PP when they get the opportunity.