this game is fairly simple to figure in some aspects.
..we are 16-1-0 when we score first, and 5-9-1 when we don't.
..we are 9-0 when we lead after one, 3-6 when we trail after one, and 9-4-1 when we are tied after one
..we are 17-1-0 when we lead after two, 3-7-1 when we trail after two and 1-2-0 when we are tied after two.
one of my least favorite things about hockey is that goals are so precious and games are so relatively low scoring that the first goal becomes so important. (not one single team in all 31 teams has a losing record when they score first).
League wise, a team, no matter how early in the game, with a one goal lead wins about 75% if the time, with a 2 goal lead anytime in the game a team has about an 87% chance of winning, with 3 goal lead about 94% chance of winning.