Junohockeyfan
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- Dec 16, 2018
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Because the season is young. A couple points in his next game puts him back on pace.Then why isnt he pacing for it now?
Because the season is young. A couple points in his next game puts him back on pace.Then why isnt he pacing for it now?
You do realize Guhle has more points then Kravtsov right now, playing defense, on the top pair, against the opponent top team players...Trochek makes Dvorak both unneeded, and a a bad Cap fit.
Kravtsov for Guhle might tempt NYR, but Habs maybe not
Kravstov wouldn’t even get you a signed Guhle jerseyTrochek makes Dvorak both unneeded, and a a bad Cap fit.
Kravtsov for Guhle might tempt NYR, but Habs maybe not
And a couple of bad games puts him incredibly far behind. 21 games is a pretty big chunk of those 56ish game pace totals you are assuming will be continued.Because the season is young. A couple points in his next game puts him back on pace.
21 games into a season is early. To assume that he can't reach his past PPG production 21 games in is kinda stupid. Last season he had 8 pts in his first 21 games and finished season on pace for 48 points.And a couple of bad games puts him incredibly far behind. 21 games is a pretty big chunk of those 56ish game pace totals you are assuming will be continued.
I dont get the pace logic when talking about career high totals. Mika paced for 72 goals and 42 goals in similar games played seasons I wouldn't say he is a lock for 40 goals based off of those 2 years. Dvorak also has 75% of his goal totals in 1 game. Guy is invisible most games.
Actually it can.Ether wait a couple of months or add a contract or even retain a bit.Rangers say no, also cap wise won’t work.
Nope. That was the Covid Bubble year where 24 teams made playoffs.Not disputing your point about experience because I agree but unless that playoff was a best of 9 series he must have gotten out of the first round .
And a hot streak can skew any pace, that should clear it up too. Or is Mika a 72 goal scorer?21 games into a season is early. To assume that he can't reach his past PPG production 21 games in is kinda stupid. Last season he had 8 pts in his first 21 games and finished season on pace for 48 points.
Hopefully that clears up the "pace logic".
It's not just NHL clubs that do that.concur largely
Our biggest prob last yr was TB was better. Which was moot b'c Avs were not gonna get stopped.
To get past TB, we needed Panarin to play better. That Goodrow, who is our plan to see bread is not pushed around postseason, was severely injured, did not help.
We also, for the love of God and proving that I am right, should have ditched Strome and given Krav development minutes HERE.
But noooooooooooooooooooo gotta win now.
That's it short sighted ones, don't listen to bern
And pay the price at some pt
Agree w/most of this.
Da bold is a tad generous, but whatev
Why? He isn't taking Hertl or Couture's spot. I'd rather Bordeleau or Eklund get a chance to develop as 3C (to become top 6 eventually) or just go for a cheap stopgap UFA.if Dvorak moves, he’s going to San Jose
And a cold streak can skew any pace as well. Which is why 20 games is too small of a sample set to get a true read on Dvorak's likely PPG pace. By 1/2 season we will have a better idea and i expect it to be close to his recent 2-year average. ~45-48pts average.And a hot streak can skew any pace, that should clear it up too. Or is Mika a 72 goal scorer?
So we agree a hot and cold streak can skew pace totals because its not a full season. Thats what usually happens to every player during a full season and perfectly illustrates that using pace totals is not the best way to view a players production.And a cold streak can skew any pace as well. Which is why 20 games is too small of a sample set to get a true read on Dvorak's likely PPG pace. By 1/2 season we will have a better idea and i expect it to be close to his recent 2-year average. ~45-48pts average.
So we agree that projecting Dvorak based on his first 20 games is a fool's errand. Best to project based on his last 3 seasons at a minimum, which puts him at ~45 points.So we agree a hot and cold streak can skew pace totals because its not a full season. Thats what usually happens to every player during a full season and perfectly illustrates that using pace totals is not the best way to view a players production.
A half season is not enough to base future expectations on at all. I gave you an example of Mika who paced for 72 goals in a season in the same sample size you are using for Dvorak. Mika isn't a 70 goal scorer and its even questionable if he is a consistant 40 goal scorer. It was a hot streak. You are also using a season when he wasn't on the team and playing much more in Arizona.
Maybe he does get to a higher point total but he hasn't yet and I would be shocked if a Gm trading for him pays that price. There are stupid GMs so who knows. We can look back at the end of the season to see where he falls. My money is on 35 to 40 but we will see. Good chat
Projecting him off of 56 games is also a fools errand and especially when 1 of those seasons he wasnt even on the same team and he was getting more ice time. Now you want to include 2 seasons on a different team lol. Hey I love your logic as Mika is a 72 goal scorer, wonder what he could fetch in a trade.So we agree that projecting Dvorak based on his first 20 games is a fool's errand. Best to project based on his last 3 seasons at a minimum, which puts him at ~45 points.
All i am saying is that Dvorak is a two-way 3C who can product 45 to 48pts which has him earning his contract. What he can get in trade is unknown as i don't see him being available.
Well then, using your logic, we project him based on last season where he paced for 48 points.Projecting him off of 56 games is also a fools errand and especially when 1 of those seasons he wasnt even on the same team and he was getting more ice time. Now you want to include 2 seasons on a different team lol. Hey I love your logic as Mika is a 72 goal scorer, wonder what he could fetch in a trade.
Definitely not my logic but I see now why you think he is a two way center who is going to score 45 to 50. Guess thats why your former GM paid such a high price for him .Well then, using your logic, we project him based on last season where he paced for 48 points.
Its settled. Thanks!
Kravtsov for Guhle “might tempt” NYR? LMAOTrochek makes Dvorak both unneeded, and a a bad Cap fit.
Kravtsov for Guhle might tempt NYR, but Habs maybe not
yeesh, stay off that Swedish herb will you?Trochek makes Dvorak both unneeded, and a a bad Cap fit.
Kravtsov for Guhle might tempt NYR, but Habs maybe not
noNYR want to be contender they aren’t giving roster player…
They could use a top 6FW since Laf and Kakko aren’t stepping up they could probably also use a LD had well.
I could see
To NYR
Monahan 50%
Edmundson 50%
+Pick or propect
To MTL
NYR 1st top 15th protected
DAL 1st
+Kravstov or Pick
Monahan can play wing in the top 6 and be a great insurance policy at center or even just take the odd faceoff.
Edmundson at LD would really solidify the D core, he bring size /grit and strong defense, he can play top 4 minute in the playoff and PK.
Both are under 30yo, lot of playoff experience including a cup for Edmundson so they also bring leadership and experience.