7. Nikita Novikov, LHD, 20 (Rochester Americans)
I didn’t go to the pandemic U18 worlds in Texas, so I haven’t seen Novikov live in person as much as I have most players on this list, but he impressed me in the brief world juniors in Edmonton prior to cancellation and then really grabbed my attention this fall in Buffalo at the Prospects Challenge, where he had five assists in the two games I watched and didn’t look like a rookie playing in a rookie tournament. After playing 109 games in the KHL at ages 18 and 19 (not a common thing for defensemen), he has looked the part of a good two-way defenseman as the youngest D in Rochester this season as well, contributing at both ends and playing to the best goal differential results on the team while averaging 15 minutes a night (I’d actually like to see him in second-pairing usage for an extended stretch instead of third-pairing usage to see if his strong underlying results hold up). He’s a pro-built (6-foot-3/4, about 200 pounds) defender who keeps his head up, has good feet and mobility for his size, and plays a heady and efficient game that advances and supports play offensively and defends well against the cycle and the rush defensively with a good stick, a willingness to engage and willingness to get in the way of shots. I think he sees the ice well even if his game offensively doesn’t have a ton of dimension. I expect him to play bigger minutes in the AHL next year and then eventually become a solid third-pairing D in the NHL.