NHL player rating formula

[In burke I trust*]

I've made a spreadsheet that includes even strength (5v5) player ratings for each individual NHL skater. The rating is based on statistics like goals, primary assists, secondary assists, relative +/-, quality of competition, flow (Off zone start: off zone finish ratio, converted into a +/- value) and even strength TOI. I just wanted to know what you guys think based on the Leafs ratings and the rest of the NHL. ***Only includes 5v5 Statistics***

Statistic Explanations:

Goals 5v5 (G): The number of even strength goals a player has scored throughout the duration of the regular season.
Primary Assists 5v5 (A1): The number of first assists a player has accumulated throughout the duration of the regular season (Valued at 67% compared to a goal).
Secondary Assists 5v5 (A2): The number of second assists a player has accumulated throughout the duration of the regular season (Valued at 33% compared to goal).
Relative Plus/Minus (+/-): On-Ice Plus-Minus minus Off-Ice Plus-Minus. This is expressed as a rate stat per 60 minutes.
Quality of Competition (Qoc): The Average Relative Plus-Minus of opposing players, weighted by head-to-head ice time.
Flow: Offensive Zone finish % divided by offensive zone start %, then multiplied by 100, and then subtracted by 100 resulting in a more easily measurable plus/minus value.
Even strength TOI (TOI/60): Minutes of 5v5 ice time per game.

 

[Duffman955]

Lupul is the second best player in the league?

**** ya. What a boss

 

[In burke I trust*]

Lupul is the second best player in the league?

**** ya. What a boss

On a game-to-game basis this season, yes However, it is highly unlikely that he would be able sustain those numbers if he were to play a full season but it is still very impressive

 

[Community]

What's with the point totals? Am I misreading something because a lot of the players on your list had more points than you posted...

 

[In burke I trust*]

What's with the point totals? Am I misreading something because a lot of the players on your list had more points than you posted...

It is only based on even strength statistics

 

[jmart21]

It is only based on even strength statistics

Well then I think it's safe to declare it a pretty bullet proof formula...
...
...?

 

[Community]

alright, I kept looking and could tell something was missing haha... How'd you calculate the +/-?

 

[In burke I trust*]

alright, I kept looking and could tell something was missing haha... How'd you calculate the +/-?

This is not normal +/- but instead a relative value: On-Ice Plus-Minus minus Off-Ice Plus-Minus. This is expressed as a rate stat per 60 minutes.

 

[In burke I trust*]

Well then I think it's safe to declare it a pretty bullet proof formula...
...
...?

It can be useful when comparing the even strength effectiveness of hockey players while not focusing primarily on basic offensive production.

 

[jcarbone]

I've made a spreadsheet that includes even strength (5v5) player ratings for each individual NHL skater. The rating is based on statistics like goals, primary assists, secondary assists, relative +/-, quality of competition, flow (Off zone start: off zone finish ratio, converted into a +/- value) and even strength TOI. I just wanted to know what you guys think based on the Leafs ratings and the rest of the NHL. ***Only includes 5v5 Statistics***

Statistic Explanations:

Goals 5v5 (G): The number of even strength goals a player has scored throughout the duration of the regular season.
Primary Assists 5v5 (A1): The number of first assists a player has accumulated throughout the duration of the regular season (Valued at 67% compared to a goal).
Secondary Assists 5v5 (A2): The number of second assists a player has accumulated throughout the duration of the regular season (Valued at 33% compared to goal).
Relative Plus/Minus (+/-): On-Ice Plus-Minus minus Off-Ice Plus-Minus. This is expressed as a rate stat per 60 minutes.
Quality of Competition (Qoc): The Average Relative Plus-Minus of opposing players, weighted by head-to-head ice time.
Flow: Offensive Zone finish % divided by offensive zone start %, then multiplied by 100, and then subtracted by 100 resulting in a more easily measurable plus/minus value.
Even strength TOI (TOI/60): Minutes of 5v5 ice time per game.

Love seeing stuff like this, will reference it a lot over the summer for fantasy purposes I'm sure.
Thanks for all the work McD, how long did it take to put this together?

 

[Bernier the Boats]

This should be getting far, far more attention. Extremely useful data.