GDT: NHL Draft Lottery (May 8)

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AlexModvechkin8

At least there was 2018.
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Feb 18, 2012
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Updated list from Pronman:

Interesting list. Leonard, Wood, and Yager dropped with Danielson, Reinbacher, and Dvorsky looking like the biggest risers. Benson dropped from top six to 17 which is kind of nuts. Feels like there’s a lot of movement for the sake of clicks on this list, or a ton of emphasis was put on U18 performances.

I love Will Smith as a prospect. I don’t think they have a chance to get him if they don’t trade up but he’s a really fun player to watch.
 

Langway

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Jul 7, 2006
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"Leonard may never truly stand out at either end of the ice...." Uh, yeah. Sure. Ryan Leonard...present I guess.

Danielson was at 5 last time around so he's consistently been high on him for some reason. Pronman seems to have pivoted to a bland industry size guy, only you still get peeks of old Pronman with the Perreault ranking. His skating assessments are hit or miss, downplaying concerns for some and being overly bearish on others. Just generally not sure how he goes about ordering and valuing with any consistency. It seems patchwork and definitely heavily influenced by the U18s given the number of Swedes with massive rises.

Barlow is the biggest slider from a month ago (9 to 20). He was playing hurt at the U18s, sitting one game as a precaution. That's likely too harsh a drop. There are some upside/pace concerns but still hard to put him behind Edstrom based largely on one tournament. No idea how he still has Stramel as a first rounder either (and even moving up spots while being idle).
 

pman25

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Aug 29, 2009
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Kinda weird because if anything Leonard, Wood, and Yager should all be rising as they had either a good u18 showing or good playoff showing. Danielson quietly sputtered out in the playoffs, Reinbacher seems to have stalled a bit.

I used to like Pronman like 10 years ago but he's all over now. I prefer Wheelers assessments and like to check McKenzies list when it comes out for consensus ranking.
 
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twabby

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Mar 9, 2010
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My simulation today had no one moving from their initial draft positions. Boring!
 

HTFN

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Feb 8, 2009
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Got it in one again, if anyone wants to pay to send me to the lottery I'll pick the ball.
 
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Roric

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Do any of the top 5 get slotted into the lineup right away besides michkov?
 

twabby

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Mar 9, 2010
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I don't believe 3 is possible. 1, 2, 8, 9, and 10 are the possibilities.

3 is possible. It would require Ottawa winning the first lottery which would lock them into the 2 slot and lock Anaheim in the 1 slot. And then Washington would have to win the second lottery, putting them in the 3 slot.

Odds of this event are very low (0.2%) but it’s still possible.
 

bacchist

lumpy, lumpy head
Feb 7, 2013
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3 is possible. It would require Ottawa winning the first lottery which would lock them into the 2 slot and lock Anaheim in the 1 slot. And then Washington would have to win the second lottery, putting them in the 3 slot.

Odds of this event are very low (0.2%) but it’s still possible.
Had not considered that! That would be kinda wild. Would be fitting for us to find a way to win the lottery and still get screwed.
 

PlushMinus

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Nov 18, 2021
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Michkov is 5'10 148lb? That can't be right i mean damn that's tiny
I was about to post exactly the same thing. And not exactly short at 5' 10". He'll need to add 30 pounds of muscle just to play in the league.
 
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