New and old alike shine in Los Angeles Kings Top 20 ranking

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Good list KP. Would probably move move Gravel up to 3 or 4 and Mersch up to 7 or 8. Very good list though, probably the one I agree with most out of all the ones I have seen.

Funny comments on Rob Czarnik too, people have been saying the same thing about him for 5-6 years now. Just one of those guys who will never be able to put it together. Just never had the heart to be a good pro hockey player.

Yeah, I can definitely see that, and I think it's very fair to mix some players up here and there. After Mersch is a tier of uncertainty with me. Thank you for the feedback though!

I had a LOT of hope with Czarnik, but he just hasn't taken the next step to fuel that hope I had for him, and he's just fizzled into obscurity since. Great talent, but he's one of the reasons why I try not to get TOO hyped up over young players who show great skills at a young age.

Nice list KP. A couple players are too high, and you'll see them on my list shortly. Otherwise, I love it.

Thanks for the feedback and good list. I can definitely see where you disagree with some of my rankings, but it's solid. It seems we have a lot of players in similar tiers, just arranged differently. Nice work!
 
Yea I'd say Weal was 21 on my list. Whoever said he is too small...that weighed on my mind heavily when comparing him to a player like Auger who is gifted with an incredibly imposing frame. Even if Auger doesn't quite have the skill that Weal does he's going to have the body that will make him a difficult player to deal with.

Sad reality to me, Weal will just have to be THAT much more skilled than the next guy. If he puts together another good season this year he'll probably squeak in there in the midterms.

Brodzinski was 22.
 
Yea I'd say Weal was 21 on my list. Whoever said he is too small...that weighed on my mind heavily when comparing him to a player like Auger who is gifted with an incredibly imposing frame. Even if Auger doesn't quite have the skill that Weal does he's going to have the body that will make him a difficult player to deal with.

Sad reality to me, Weal will just have to be THAT much more skilled than the next guy. If he puts together another good season this year he'll probably squeak in there in the midterms.

Brodzinski was 22.

And Prokhorkin?
 
And Prokhorkin?

Russia factor. While talented I just cannot put him in the top 20 knowing there is a huge chance he'll never evne come to North America. If there was more certainty in his future then I would be inclined to rate him higher or throw him in the mix. It's also really really difficult to get good scouting reports, videos, or basically anything out of Russia to know how a player is doing. Auger on the other hand...I could google search Auger and find a plethora of information, I could find several contacts who have seen Auger play and play recently. Russia is a whole different animal.
 
Russia factor. While talented I just cannot put him in the top 20 knowing there is a huge chance he'll never evne come to North America. If there was more certainty in his future then I would be inclined to rate him higher or throw him in the mix. It's also really really difficult to get good scouting reports, videos, or basically anything out of Russia to know how a player is doing. Auger on the other hand...I could google search Auger and find a plethora of information, I could find several contacts who have seen Auger play and play recently. Russia is a whole different animal.

Considering he tried everything possible to get out of his contract last year to allow himself to play in NA I don't really get the "Russian factor..." Kid pretty clearly wants to play in NA and will be back once his KHL deal ends (possibly sooner than that.)
Really solid list other than the omission of Porkins.

Seems alot of the recent draftees are really getting under-rated, not sure if it's just lack of seeing them or what. THere's a ton that I like about all of Auger, Fasching, Bartosak, and Brodzinski. The only ones I feel like I'm unsure of is Leslie. Also outside of Prokhorkin I'll just say that I nailed the top 6 so there isn't much I can complain about on this list. :)
 
Considering he tried everything possible to get out of his contract last year to allow himself to play in NA I don't really get the "Russian factor..." Kid pretty clearly wants to play in NA and will be back once his KHL deal ends (possibly sooner than that.)
Really solid list other than the omission of Porkins.

Seems alot of the recent draftees are really getting under-rated, not sure if it's just lack of seeing them or what. THere's a ton that I like about all of Auger, Fasching, Bartosak, and Brodzinski. The only ones I feel like I'm unsure of is Leslie. Also outside of Prokhorkin I'll just say that I nailed the top 6 so there isn't much I can complain about on this list. :)

You bring up some valid stuff. I dunno though about underrating of our new guys. I mean...3 of em are on the list and Brodzinski was JUST outside of it so.

I'm really excited about Fasching, and he has one of the best hockey names I've heard in a while.
 
Also, I'd like to add something on Hyka since I'm seeing a ton of people rolling him around the bottom of their lists and why he is higher on mine.

He's a tremendous passer and playmaker. Very shifty very very creative. Yes as an overage his numbers were worse than his previous year BUT let's really take into consideration that Gatineau was a team that wasn't very good last season. Outside of Emile Pourier (Who by all accounts was a big of a surprise)...who still only had 32 goals, Gatineau had NO one who you could consider an elite goalscoring threat at the junior level, and the Q is normally a VERY wide open league in terms of offense. It's a goalscorers league. His playmaking skills really were wasted at times, especially on the PP. Same could be said for 2011-2012 where he had 44 assists on a team that only had two other 20 goal scorers outside of himself. That's pretty impressive. Take this with a grain of salt obviously, I hate comparisons, but to me he reads like an Ales Hemsky lite, but smaller. Without a person to pass to, Hemsky looks worse than he really is. In 05-06 when Edmonton was a better team and Hemsky had Smyth, Horcoff, Stoll, Pisani and Torres (who 3 of those 5 were playing WAY above their heads) to wheel and deal to. Flash forward to the next season when Stoll, Pisani, Torres and Horcoff all had very down years and you see a dip in assists by almost 20 from Hemsky. Question is did Hemsky make them better? Or did they make Hemsky better? Now with Hyka it seems like he needs the players around him. Is it good that Hyka has to rely on others so much to bolster his value? Yea it kind of is, which is the reason why he was a 6th round pick and not a 2nd or 3rd. Still though, he possesses some dynamite offensive skills, easily one of the best playmakers in the Kings system.

He's a great player with some really great offensive skills on a very subpar offensive team. It's no surprise to me that people rate him so low on their own lists. In passing you could easily look at his numbers on a stat sheet, then look at his size, and say "well he doesn't look like that good of a player."

The same could be said in regards to my statement on Roach and Miller (Which KP touched on and I forgot to respond to.) Miller doubled his points on a weak/average team which is a statement to how good he played last year. Roach tripled his points on an AWESOME Calgary Hitmen squad. Couple that with him being overaged it just makes me ponder it a little harder than Miller. Was it a fluke? Miller was a player who stepped up on the Greyhounds and led, Roach was a solid performer on a team full of outstanding performers. Not to downplay either of their performances, they both were fantastic, and they also both have a lot to prove, but Roach had a few more things weighted against him as opposed to Colin Miller.
 
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on Hyka:

Also, I'd like to add something on Hyka since I'm seeing a ton of people rolling him around the bottom of their lists and why he is higher on mine.

He's a great player with some really great offensive skills on a very subpar offensive team.

He's a tremendous passer and playmaker. Very shifty very very creative. Yes as an overage his numbers were worse than his previous year BUT let's really take into consideration that Gatineau was a team that wasn't very good last season. Outside of Emile Pourier (Who by all accounts was a big of a surprise)...who still only had 32 goals, Gatineau had NO one who you could consider an elite goalscoring threat at the junior level, and the Q is normally a VERY wide open league in terms of offense. It's a goalscorers league. His playmaking skills really were wasted at times, especially on the PP. Same could be said for 2011-2012 where he had 44 assists on a team that only had two other 20 goal scorers outside of himself. That's pretty impressive
.

I like Hyka and that is a very accurate assessment. That's why when I watched him play forthe Czech's last year in the World Juniors, he stood out. He was with skilled players who could act upon and interact with his playmaking skill.
He's a very smart, very very fast winger who has a lot of talent.
 
Jason,

I'm interested in where you think the realistic cut-off for NHL talent is in the system. In other words, we know that the top 20 are not going to become NHLers, but at what point do you think the sure bets end, what point do the most likely bets end, where do the dark horses end, and when does the "we need a top 20 so here are some kids" begin? That's what really tells me where the depth is in the system. Perhaps success has jaded more, or just made me realistic, but when I think back to how I looked at prospects before 2011 and now, there's no comparison. Having talent at the NHL level makes me look at this list and think there are few Kings in the future, but most of it is going to fill out Manchester at best. Where are the lines and where should we as fans really direct our attention?

Thanks,

T2M
 
Seems alot of the recent draftees are really getting under-rated, not sure if it's just lack of seeing them or what. THere's a ton that I like about all of Auger, Fasching, Bartosak, and Brodzinski. The only ones I feel like I'm unsure of is Leslie. Also outside of Prokhorkin I'll just say that I nailed the top 6 so there isn't much I can complain about on this list. :)

Personally, a lot of it stems back to the fact that I need to see more of the prospect before I feel comfortable rating him higher or lower. The first time I see a prospect is always "the baseline." While my rankings are based on how they are compared to their peers, I also base my rankings on how their raw skills have progressed; without having a first time of seeing them, I wouldn't be able to say how much they have progressed. That's why more recent draftees almost always take a hit in my rankings.

I try to fill in the blanks based off what I read and maybe some youtube video, but I don't even like that so much, only because youtube might have HIGHLIGHTS, which is a player at his best.

Also, I'd like to add something on Hyka since I'm seeing a ton of people rolling him around the bottom of their lists and why he is higher on mine.

He's a tremendous passer and playmaker. Very shifty very very creative. Yes as an overage his numbers were worse than his previous year BUT let's really take into consideration that Gatineau was a team that wasn't very good last season. Outside of Emile Pourier (Who by all accounts was a big of a surprise)...who still only had 32 goals, Gatineau had NO one who you could consider an elite goalscoring threat at the junior level, and the Q is normally a VERY wide open league in terms of offense. It's a goalscorers league. His playmaking skills really were wasted at times, especially on the PP. Same could be said for 2011-2012 where he had 44 assists on a team that only had two other 20 goal scorers outside of himself. That's pretty impressive. Take this with a grain of salt obviously, I hate comparisons, but to me he reads like an Ales Hemsky lite, but smaller. Without a person to pass to, Hemsky looks worse than he really is. In 05-06 when Edmonton was a better team and Hemsky had Smyth, Horcoff, Stoll, Pisani and Torres (who 3 of those 5 were playing WAY above their heads) to wheel and deal to. Flash forward to the next season when Stoll, Pisani, Torres and Horcoff all had very down years and you see a dip in assists by almost 20 from Hemsky. Question is did Hemsky make them better? Or did they make Hemsky better? Now with Hyka it seems like he needs the players around him. Is it good that Hyka has to rely on others so much to bolster his value? Yea it kind of is, which is the reason why he was a 6th round pick and not a 2nd or 3rd. Still though, he possesses some dynamite offensive skills, easily one of the best playmakers in the Kings system.

He's a great player with some really great offensive skills on a very subpar offensive team. It's no surprise to me that people rate him so low on their own lists. In passing you could easily look at his numbers on a stat sheet, then look at his size, and say "well he doesn't look like that good of a player."

Those are interesting observations, insights, and opinions, and I thank you for the feedback; I haven't seen him play a lot, but when I do, he's usually driving to the net and trying to score a goal. I always likened his absolute upside to be a Daniel Briere type player, as a result. So, clearly we're seeing different games and performances, which will have a big impact on how we rank them. I don't like what little I've seen, and I didn't like much of what I saw last year, and the disappointing numbers are reflected in what little I saw.

But you bring up a good point. He did play on an average team and he might be the kind of player who needs good players to keep up with his skills.

The same could be said in regards to my statement on Roach and Miller (Which KP touched on and I forgot to respond to.) Miller doubled his points on a weak/average team which is a statement to how good he played last year. Roach tripled his points on an AWESOME Calgary Hitmen squad. Couple that with him being overaged it just makes me ponder it a little harder than Miller. Was it a fluke? Miller was a player who stepped up on the Greyhounds and led, Roach was a solid performer on a team full of outstanding performers. Not to downplay either of their performances, they both were fantastic, and they also both have a lot to prove, but Roach had a few more things weighted against him as opposed to Colin Miller.

I can understand and appreciate that. I don't entirely agree, because the way I look at Roach, he has a good set of tools, plays with grit, and for at least a season, he's added offense to an already solid foundation. Miller's mostly been an offensive defenseman, and put up better numbers doing his main role, as opposed to Roach who put up great numbers in his secondary role. There's a balance.

But in strictly answering my question as to why it's an asterisk for one but not the other, you answered it. Thank you for the time.
 
Jason,

I'm interested in where you think the realistic cut-off for NHL talent is in the system. In other words, we know that the top 20 are not going to become NHLers, but at what point do you think the sure bets end, what point do the most likely bets end, where do the dark horses end, and when does the "we need a top 20 so here are some kids" begin? That's what really tells me where the depth is in the system. Perhaps success has jaded more, or just made me realistic, but when I think back to how I looked at prospects before 2011 and now, there's no comparison. Having talent at the NHL level makes me look at this list and think there are few Kings in the future, but most of it is going to fill out Manchester at best. Where are the lines and where should we as fans really direct our attention?

Thanks,

T2M

That's a tough question. It just depends system by system. You look at the Ducks for example (I know I know I'm sorry) or Florida, and you feel like you have sure bets 1-10. I'd say as a base minimum...every team's top-5 prospects are almost certainly NHL caliber. the 5-10 are dependent upon system but a lot of them will have a very very good shot. As you get deepr and deeper after that it's always guy who maybe don't have complete skill sets, are still developing their skill sets, or have gaps in their game.

It's a tough answer to give really, because it all does depend on how strong the system is. Those numbers I through up are VERY dependent. You can make cases in strong systems where 1-10 are almost all NHL worthy players, others 1-5...some 1-3.
 
That's a tough question. It just depends system by system. You look at the Ducks for example (I know I know I'm sorry) or Florida, and you feel like you have sure bets 1-10. I'd say as a base minimum...every team's top-5 prospects are almost certainly NHL caliber. the 5-10 are dependent upon system but a lot of them will have a very very good shot. As you get deepr and deeper after that it's always guy who maybe don't have complete skill sets, are still developing their skill sets, or have gaps in their game.

It's a tough answer to give really, because it all does depend on how strong the system is. Those numbers I through up are VERY dependent. You can make cases in strong systems where 1-10 are almost all NHL worthy players, others 1-5...some 1-3.

I think the question was more or less specifically directed at the Kings organization. I know I'd like to know what you think are cut offs for the various levels the poster listed.
 
Looking at our system..I'd say everyone down to Nick Shore has a good shot ON PAPER AND WITH GOOD DEVELOPMENT. Can't stress that enough, obviously not even all of those guys will play in the NHL. Past that you're starting to get into dark horse territory or still young and developing talent. Generally I try not to just throw some kids in here without sitting down and evaluating how they could potentially impact everything or develop in the future, that's how Auger squeaked in to be honest.
 
That's a tough question. It just depends system by system. You look at the Ducks for example (I know I know I'm sorry) or Florida, and you feel like you have sure bets 1-10. I'd say as a base minimum...every team's top-5 prospects are almost certainly NHL caliber. the 5-10 are dependent upon system but a lot of them will have a very very good shot. As you get deepr and deeper after that it's always guy who maybe don't have complete skill sets, are still developing their skill sets, or have gaps in their game.

It's a tough answer to give really, because it all does depend on how strong the system is. Those numbers I through up are VERY dependent. You can make cases in strong systems where 1-10 are almost all NHL worthy players, others 1-5...some 1-3.

I don't think you understood the question. I acknowledge that some teams will have deeper prospect pools than we do, but I'm just curious as to where you think the real drops in talent are in the Kings system. That to me is the real mark of the top 20, when it stops being about realistic prospects and is just a list to round out the top 20.
 
I don't think you understood the question. I acknowledge that some teams will have deeper prospect pools than we do, but I'm just curious as to where you think the real drops in talent are in the Kings system. That to me is the real mark of the top 20, when it stops being about realistic prospects and is just a list to round out the top 20.

None. They are all selected where they are selected for a reason. Everyone's list is going to differ slightly, but I'm never just tossing names in for the sake of filling out a 20. Careful consideration is taken with each selection. Sorry if I am not understanding your question here.
 
My guess is T2M is asking where you think the players have a legit chance at being an NHLer, and at one point you think they are AHL fodder/long shots to make the NHL.
 
My guess is T2M is asking where you think the players have a legit chance at being an NHLer, and at one point you think they are AHL fodder/long shots to make the NHL.

You'd like to think they all have a chance right? I try not to discount anyone or label them as "AHL fodder" until it is fairly certain what their future is, ala David Meckler or something. Obviously the guys at the back end of this list will have a tougher time, but everyone has a shot theoretically. I mean, was Kevin Westgarth ever on anyone's top prospect list? No but he made an NHL team.

It's a speculative answer at best but it's the one I can give.
 
You bring up some valid stuff. I dunno though about underrating of our new guys. I mean...3 of em are on the list and Brodzinski was JUST outside of it so.

I'm really excited about Fasching, and he has one of the best hockey names I've heard in a while.

Should have specified that I didn't mean your list I meant the other couple that were posted earlier in this thread and the way the top 20 poll voting went. Your rankings of the newbies I thought were more than far.
 
None. They are all selected where they are selected for a reason. Everyone's list is going to differ slightly, but I'm never just tossing names in for the sake of filling out a 20. Careful consideration is taken with each selection. Sorry if I am not understanding your question here.

Two things. First, I'm not trying to harangue you, nor am I questioning your order. I appreciate the effort and enjoyed reading the list. Second, while I appreciate your later point about Westgarth, I think we should be honest, just because you play in the NHL because management decides they need an enforcer does not make you a truly legit NHL prospect. I'm far more interested in a player like Kozun who--according to reports--can play and is willing to go to the edge to make it, but is hampered by his size than I am about a player who shows limited skills except for fighting, the one skill that can get you slotted into the lineup due to management ideology despite other glaring weaknesses.

About 10 years ago (and longer, dear Lord), I would come on here and talk about all of the Kings prospects as if they were sure things. Too many Jared Aulins, Kevin Browns, Lauri Tukonens, Yanick Lehouxs, and Denis Grebeshkovs have left me burned on the reality of prospect talent, which is that only a handful of players on the list will legitimately see the light of day in the NHL. Especially in the Kings organization where you now have to be a multidimensional threat. I'm quite thankful for that, and from the reports it seems like Toffoli, Pearson, and maybe Vey are all indicative of the kinds of players who can eventually make the jump to the Kings (ok, Toffoli will be here in October). Therefore, when making prospect lists, like mock lineups, there are different tiers of players. Whether the first tier is one player or ten players deep (and same with each subsequent tier), I like to see the analyst say where they see an appreciable drop in talent. For example, on the list right now, Toffoli is in a class by himself while Pearson, Vey, and Zykov strike me as a next tier, and then maybe Gravel, Roach, Forbort, then perhaps Kozun and Mersch. I don't think Weal is big enough or exceptional at anything (same with Hyka) from what I've read to legitimately say that they're going to do more than fill AHL slots. You get the idea. I haven't seen enough of these players play to make realistic assessments, so that ranking should be taken as purely speculative and only for the purposes of illustrating my larger theoretical point. That's why I'm asking. Prospect watching is fun and any player who's good enough to break into the NHL lineup is welcome, but not every hockey player is created equal so where can I see legitimate NHL, Stanley Cup Champion quality depth in this prospect pool end?

I hope that it makes my question clearer.

Thanks,

T2M
 
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Hey no problem T2M I appreciate the read and the questions!

You're right, I'd put Toffoli alone up top...then I'd say after about 7 as of right now you see a drop in certainty. I can confidently see NHL caliber play in all of those players 1-7, even Martin Jones who with his size and style could be a very solid NHL backup.

Andreoff, Mersch, Kitsyn, Fasching, Miller and Shore all have really great potential but those are not sure bets and make up sort of the next tier. The rest of the list you're looking at project players.
 
Hey no problem T2M I appreciate the read and the questions!

You're right, I'd put Toffoli alone up top...then I'd say after about 7 as of right now you see a drop in certainty. I can confidently see NHL caliber play in all of those players 1-7, even Martin Jones who with his size and style could be a very solid NHL backup.

Andreoff, Mersch, Kitsyn, Fasching, Miller and Shore all have really great potential but those are not sure bets and make up sort of the next tier. The rest of the list you're looking at project players.

Thank you, that's what I was looking for. I thought that realistically there were about 8 players who could slot into the NHL lineup in the foreseeable future. That's a solid prospect pool. Furthermore, the third tier looks to have players who, should they continue developing, will find themselves in some bottom line/defense pairing role. That's solid, especially considering the change in drafting need and NHL depth in the last 3 years.

I also think that this gives us as Kings fans a much more realistic base for discussing the team's future and depth needs.
 

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