It would be 2025-26 at the earliest if it happened, and they'd have to really think through everything about how it would work mechanically with the NHL transfer agreement. I don't think the NCAA will allow anyone with a signed NHL Contract into the NCAA for instance as there's nothing like that in other sports at the moment.
Most important part of article (albeit one that doesn't grab headlines)
And while most of us were expecting a vote to determine if CHLers would be eligible to play in the NCAA, it didn’t happen.
While Marek brings up NIL, I'm not sure how he is with how that interacts with Student-Visas. For instance, the 2X Player of the Year in College Basketball, Zach Edey, didn't receive NIL because he is Canadian.
With most of CHL players being Canadian, it's a bit unclear how much NIL they'll be eligible for.
Mike McMahon, who publishes the excellent College Hockey Newsletter, reported this weekend that only between 15-20 per cent of college coaches were interested in changing the bylaw. However, most coaches from Atlantic Hockey and CCHA were in favour.
Essentially the bad teams want CHL players eligible, the ones that don't get NHL level prospects right now (because it'd be a lot of the undrafted/unsigned currently USports bound kids going to NCAA once their junior eligibility has expired). At the moment, it's actually harder to make the USHL than it is NCAA D1 hockey even though the USHL is a feeder into NCAA D1 (I don't think there's anything quite like that anywhere else in the Hockey Pyramid). That is because there are only 15 USHL proper teams and the USNDTP, but there are 60 NCAA D1 teams. In addition to the BCHL/AJHL, a lot of Atlantic Hockey and CCHA teams are stocking their rosters with Tier II junior players in the U.S. If you expand the pool of feeder leagues to include 60 CHL teams, the standard for an NCAA D1 player will go way up and they'll be able to build more competitive rosters to hang around with the big boys.
It sounds like the NCAA is now getting out in front of the issue if the "how" turns out to be litigation, which would end the rule quickly.
We'll see on litigation. It'll probably require an American plaintiff to make it cleaner, and there really aren't a ton of Americans in CHL, and those currently there are very consciously choosing to forfeit their ability to play NCAA hockey, so it's not an overly sympathetic case in my opinion.
I think it's a bit more complicated than Marek is making it seem. The NIL stuff has gone through quite a ringer and the NCAA's attention has naturally been focused pretty heavily around the sports that generate the most revenue, which also have the biggest appetite of boosters willing to pay big NIL $ to players, Football and Men's Basketball. Now you're dealing with a non-American league that consists primary of non-American nationals. You have a committee which is a first step, but unless there's bigger support amongst some of the bigger players in the NCAA Hockey landscape, it may have its tires kicked around a bit longer.