Nashville Predators Talk - 2024/2025 Season II

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Fabbro helping Josi isn’t a knock on Josi. Nobody does it alone.

Personally I think Josi gets too much shit around here. We haven’t put a real contending team on the ice around him since he became the guy on the d corps.
But sometimes being "the guy" means you also have to elevate the play of your teammates on the ice. I'll admit he's been hamstrung by the coaching and personnel decisions, but he also has to shoulder more of the load to make other players better, and his wandering tendencies don't do his D partners many favors.
 
Was listening to NHL Network on Sirius this morning and they were talking about Monty bailing on BOS and landing in StL and isnt he a brilliant hockey mind for going from strength to strength..it made me even madder.

We have to fire Trotz. Have to. No head coach that is a marquee asset is gonna come here when we have a rookie dummy of a GM who still has his mindset like a coach. No top tier coaching talent is gonna sign up to have Barry f***ing Trotz trying to sit on his shoulder and micro-manage
The absolute opposite direction that the Preds and Blues took at that point in the season illustrated how truly incompetent Trotz is. The Blues decided to get out of neutral and made a coaching move. The Preds, who were absolutely reeling, decided to stand pat. And still are.

It's the multitude of bad GM decisions, poor play and abysmal coaching that have driven me over the edge. But you want a singular moment that broke me? It's when St Louis moved forward with a new coach and the Preds sat on Trotz's pencils and pens (or whatever he rambles about) and didn't do a damn thing about the coaching staff.
 
But sometimes being "the guy" means you also have to elevate the play of your teammates on the ice. I'll admit he's been hamstrung by the coaching and personnel decisions, but he also has to shoulder more of the load to make other players better, and his wandering tendencies don't do his D partners many favors.
I think the other problem I have with Josi is that there really has never been any kind of elevation in the playoffs with him. Granted, we haven't played a lot in the playoffs lately. But it just seemed like he was pretty casual in a few of the series, he got ok-ish points overall, all added up, but without really standing out any time that I can recall? :dunno:

Anyway, again, not to critique him, just I think it helps to illustrate that we never really had a "the guy"... it wasn't really Josi, although he did the best he could to try to, I suppose. Just that as good as he has been, he's not really able to be "the guy". Not his fault.
 
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The absolute opposite direction that the Preds and Blues took at that point in the season illustrated how truly incompetent Trotz is. The Blues decided to get out of neutral and made a coaching move. The Preds, who were absolutely reeling, decided to stand pat. And still are.

It's the multitude of bad GM decisions, poor play and abysmal coaching that have driven me over the edge. But you want a singular moment that broke me? It's when St Louis moved forward with a new coach and the Preds sat on Trotz's pencils and pens (or whatever he rambles about) and didn't do a damn thing about the coaching staff.
This is how his coach's mindset is really killing us. If you want to win, you have to be ruthless sometimes. Poile was a good GM, but sometimes too patient or cautious. Trotz is lot less cautious when it comes to players... but certainly overly patient where coaching is concerned; he's going to have to think like the other GMs out there sometimes when it comes to coaches, his own past experiences as a coach notwithstanding. If he can't get over that blind spot, especially given he made a bad hire to begin with, we're going to be in trouble for a long time. :(
 
I don't think anybody here is disagreeing with you about the latter paragraph.

As for the first one, obviously Fabbro wasn't the ONLY reason Josi got to 96 points that year and should've won the Norris. Duchene's re-surgence and Forsberg's hot year obviously contributed to that also.

But looking back at that year, it's tough to argue that Fabbro WASN'T a good partner for him and wasn't ONE of the reasons Josi played so well that year. And with the way Fabbro's playing now in Columbus with Werenski - who's also going to be a Norris-finalist this year - leads me to believe that he has that type of player profile that meshes well with elite talent and can support it properly.
Oh, if he said "Fabbro contributed or was one of the reasons..." I wouldn't have taken that much issue with it, If you haven't noticed, some posters sole purpose on these boards is smearing Josi, diminishing everything good he's ever done for us and blaming him for everything bad that's ever happened since 2018. Not Forsberg though, God forbid.
 
I think the other problem I have with Josi is that there really has never been any kind of elevation in the playoffs with him. Granted, we haven't played a lot in the playoffs lately. But it just seemed like he was pretty casual in a few of the series, he got ok-ish points overall, all added up, but without really standing out any time that I can recall? :dunno:

Anyway, again, not to critique him, just I think it helps to illustrate that we never really had a "the guy"... it wasn't really Josi, although he did the best he could to try to, I suppose. Just that as good as he has been, he's not really able to be "the guy". Not his fault.
Hey, I completely agree with you. He's struggled with the physicality and lack of space in the playoffs in several series and he hasn't taken any over. It's a legitimate criticism. The main problem is we've never had anyone better than him and Forsberg. Losing Subban and Ellis at 30yo to injuries set us back badly. That's what made us dangerous. Our forward lineup has always been average at best, let's face it. Even when we were a playoff team and winning series.
 
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Josi seems to thrive with strong defensive partners: Weber, McD, etc. Fabbro can play a stay at home role but Bruno (and i think Hynes) wanted him pushing the offense more. I think Fabbro would've been a very logical partner for Josi as long as he got to be a more conservative player defensively backing up Josi and not being expected to drive offense.
 
Fabbro helping Josi isn’t a knock on Josi. Nobody does it alone.

Personally I think Josi gets too much shit around here. We haven’t put a real contending team on the ice around him since he became the guy on the d corps.
So did 2017 and 2018 suddenly not happen? Real hard to argue you didn't have a real contending team when you made it to the SCF and probably win it if not for key injuries and then follow it up with the President’s Trophy the next season.

Also my shit with Josi has been consistent with day 1, his soft ass clearing and him holding the dang puck on the PP too much. He still does both so I'm going to bring up both. I also never thought he should have been Captain but everyone has their opinion on that and there is no real stats to prove anything when it comes to that part of it.

As far as Forsberg, his biggest issue has always been consistency, and I think that's been pointed out more than once by people on this board.
 
So I did some more research on our most recent drafting history. I'm going to take into account the four-year period from 2019 to 2022. 2018 we didn't have a 1st rounder and 2023 is so recent that the jury is still out on that. I'm gonna lump the ranges where we were picking into 5 players/picks.

2019

24th pick: Philip Tomasino
25: Connor McMichael
26: Jakob Pelletier
27: Nolan Foote
28: Ryan Suzuki

Given everything not a bad pick from us. But the McMichael pick RIGHT after us is what stings.

2020

11: Askarov
12: Anton Lundell
13: Seth Jarvis
14: Dylan Holloway
15: Rodion Amirov

Just an absolute miss from us. Three clear top-six talents (one C) right after our pick. MASSIVE blunder especially considering how the Askarov saga ended up.

2021

19: Svechkov
20: Jesper Wallstedt
21: Fabian Lysell
22: Xavier Bourgault
23: WYATT JOHNSTON
(24): Mackie Samoskevich

Not the worst pick by us, but an elite goalie prospect, one borderline elite center and one top-six scoring winger picked pretty much right after our pick. I guess it could've been even worse but certainly it could've been a lot better also.

2022

17: Kemell
18: Lian Bischel
19: Liam Ohgren
20: Ivan Miroshnichenko
21: Owen Pickering

I actually think that this draft (in addition to the 2020 one) will end up stinging us for long. Bischel looks like an absolute stud for Dallas with his size, nastiness and skating ability all wrapped up in one player. All the four players have played more NHL games than Kemell who's looking more and more like a bust. 5'9'' wingers who are not exceptional skaters don't tend to be NHL players.

--

All-in-all, I'd rate our drafting during that time period as weak. There are some decent ones but the ability to truly identify and draft a talent that makes a difference is mind-boggling. You'd think that even with sheer luck you'd be able to hit on one of those players some day. I guess it also goes to show you that our development is lacking as well with these players as I don't think it can be a coincidence that teams like Dallas and St. Louis are able to hit with pretty much every 1st rounder they draft.
 
All-in-all, I'd rate our drafting during that time period as weak. There are some decent ones but the ability to truly identify and draft a talent that makes a difference is mind-boggling. You'd think that even with sheer luck you'd be able to hit on one of those players some day. I guess it also goes to show you that our development is lacking as well with these players as I don't think it can be a coincidence that teams like Dallas and St. Louis are able to hit with pretty much every 1st rounder they draft.
Drafting, development, hits ... they all go together in a process. Our process sucks. We draft kids seemingly without a plan for how they fit into the systems we'll be running. (For example, Wood drafted for a coach who wants to play an aggressive, up tempo, pressing system that relies on great skating. WTAF?) We don't integrate (or play) young guys into the lineup as a cost-controlled supply of talent to mix with a veteran core. (This is where Dallas and St. Louis are head and shoulders better than us.) We give young guys the one-and-done yo-yo treatment, effectively paying them to make mistakes and learn and then getting rid of them to use that knowledge and experience to be a better, more matured player somewhere else.

Tomasino and probably Svech weren't "bad" picks necessarily. They don't appear to be found diamonds either. But for where they were drafted, they appear to be adequate NHL talent. We'll see with Kemell, but he could be heading towards outright bust. If that's where he lands, that was a bad pick.

Askarov might be a great goalie at some point, but that pick turned out to be a terrible decision for many reasons. Particularly in retrospect that Trotz seems to really like Saros, so the passing of the baton, and setting a transition to a rebuilt team just ... evaporated. That pick was another gift from us to some other team. Askarov's timeline meshes well with San Jose's rebuild efforts and, on the odds everything pans out, he could be a key piece in the Sharks returning to contender status in a couple more years.
 
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The askarov pick only sucks because we have hitched our cart to saros and there were some centers picked after him that have found success on other team while we completely ignore our process for bringing youngsters along would mean that those centers likely still wouldn't have the opportunity here.

Example: Lundell went straight from Finland to the NHL at age 19/20. Do we honestly think Nashville would've done the same thing?

Jarvis played a whopping 9 AHL games after the end of his WHL season and then straight to the NHL at 20.

Trotz has stated that he believes you can't overmarinate these players. Our guys will be down there until they have to face waivers. Then they'll get 10 seconds of evaluation at the NHL level before waiving. The players above hit their games played (160) for waiver eligibility status before they even came close to professional years (4). We have had very few players do that.
 
The askarov pick only sucks because we have hitched our cart to saros and there were some centers picked after him that have found success on other team while we completely ignore our process for bringing youngsters along would mean that those centers likely still wouldn't have the opportunity here.

Example: Lundell went straight from Finland to the NHL at age 19/20. Do we honestly think Nashville would've done the same thing?

Jarvis played a whopping 9 AHL games after the end of his WHL season and then straight to the NHL at 20.

Trotz has stated that he believes you can't overmarinate these players. Our guys will be down there until they have to face waivers. Then they'll get 10 seconds of evaluation at the NHL level before waiving. The players above hit their games played (160) for waiver eligibility status before they even came close to professional years (4). We have had very few players do that.
This exactly. Plus on top of that, the cherry picking of successful picks after our guys overlooks that several other names scattered on either side of our picks were failures, they weren't all Jarvises and Lundells.

I don't think our drafting is overall bad. It's not excellent either. But it's probably at least around par/average for what we could reasonably expect. Our big failure is just in terms of graduating players and developing them at the NHL level. That's a huge philosophical barrier that seems to only be getting worse with time and regime changes. I don't see us getting out of it anytime soon either. Old dogs and new tricks. We have what looks like a fairly deep crop of prospects atm, albeit without the star power. But I'm fully expecting a lot of the guys we have to fall by the wayside as they run into the same roadblock at the NHL level that so many of their predecessors did. I don't think our management even recognizes this as a problem. They just shrug and say the players weren't good enough. It's the players own fault. Rinse and repeat. :dunno:
 
Without going back and confirming, it feels like at least since Tolvanen, we've picked a lot of players who were "falling" on draft day compared to pre-season or mid-season rankings. I think we need to reverse that trend and start taking players who are "rising". I've seen enough recently to conclude that risers have a bigger potential to continue rising and becoming solid NHL players where falls have a bigger potential to stagnate.
 
The askarov pick only sucks because we have hitched our cart to saros and there were some centers picked after him that have found success on other team while we completely ignore our process for bringing youngsters along would mean that those centers likely still wouldn't have the opportunity here.

Example: Lundell went straight from Finland to the NHL at age 19/20. Do we honestly think Nashville would've done the same thing?

Jarvis played a whopping 9 AHL games after the end of his WHL season and then straight to the NHL at 20.

Trotz has stated that he believes you can't overmarinate these players. Our guys will be down there until they have to face waivers. Then they'll get 10 seconds of evaluation at the NHL level before waiving. The players above hit their games played (160) for waiver eligibility status before they even came close to professional years (4). We have had very few players do that.
Honestly, I think the "overmarination" "always through Milwaukee" approach this organization has treasured for so long is primarily applicable to defensemen because they already commonly have a longer development arc. Not so much for forwards.
 
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So I did some more research on our most recent drafting history. I'm going to take into account the four-year period from 2019 to 2022. 2018 we didn't have a 1st rounder and 2023 is so recent that the jury is still out on that. I'm gonna lump the ranges where we were picking into 5 players/picks.

2019

24th pick: Philip Tomasino
25: Connor McMichael
26: Jakob Pelletier
27: Nolan Foote
28: Ryan Suzuki

Given everything not a bad pick from us. But the McMichael pick RIGHT after us is what stings.

2020

11: Askarov
12: Anton Lundell
13: Seth Jarvis
14: Dylan Holloway
15: Rodion Amirov

Just an absolute miss from us. Three clear top-six talents (one C) right after our pick. MASSIVE blunder especially considering how the Askarov saga ended up.

2021

19: Svechkov
20: Jesper Wallstedt
21: Fabian Lysell
22: Xavier Bourgault
23: WYATT JOHNSTON
(24): Mackie Samoskevich

Not the worst pick by us, but an elite goalie prospect, one borderline elite center and one top-six scoring winger picked pretty much right after our pick. I guess it could've been even worse but certainly it could've been a lot better also.

2022

17: Kemell
18: Lian Bischel
19: Liam Ohgren
20: Ivan Miroshnichenko
21: Owen Pickering

I actually think that this draft (in addition to the 2020 one) will end up stinging us for long. Bischel looks like an absolute stud for Dallas with his size, nastiness and skating ability all wrapped up in one player. All the four players have played more NHL games than Kemell who's looking more and more like a bust. 5'9'' wingers who are not exceptional skaters don't tend to be NHL players.

--

All-in-all, I'd rate our drafting during that time period as weak. There are some decent ones but the ability to truly identify and draft a talent that makes a difference is mind-boggling. You'd think that even with sheer luck you'd be able to hit on one of those players some day. I guess it also goes to show you that our development is lacking as well with these players as I don't think it can be a coincidence that teams like Dallas and St. Louis are able to hit with pretty much every 1st rounder they draft.
Evidently we're now to the Premature Depressing Hindsight phase of Bad Season Cope. I also remember hindsight-regretting the Derick Brassard and Jakub Voracek picks a couple years later because Peter Mueller and Logan Couture were obviously doing so much better.
 
Without going back and confirming, it feels like at least since Tolvanen, we've picked a lot of players who were "falling" on draft day compared to pre-season or mid-season rankings. I think we need to reverse that trend and start taking players who are "rising". I've seen enough recently to conclude that risers have a bigger potential to continue rising and becoming solid NHL players where falls have a bigger potential to stagnate.
I dunno, I think "rising" and "falling" is a bit of an artificial construct that we as fans following publications probably create for ourselves. I don't think it's a real thing for an NHL team scouting department. Various factors change the perception of a player over time, repeated viewings, interviews, combine measurements etc. So Kemell was measured smaller and that affected some rankings. Or Wood or Svechkov starred in the U18 and that affected some rankings. But at the end of the day, teams are still just making their lists. They aren't picking a guy on draft day because where he was ranked relative to some outside publications had him "rising" or "falling". Maybe some places didn't rank Surin or Molendyk as high as we picked them, etc. And because there are individual teams with their own rankings and player preferences, it almost invariably means some number of players are going to be chosen ahead of published consensus, which therefore means some number of players will go lower than the published consensus. But that doesn't really mean they are "falling". It's just an inherent byproduct of teams doing their own scouting. We aren't picking players because they are "falling". We are picking them because they were the next highest ranked available player on our independently generated scouting list.
 

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