Exactly this.He should get 1 more year.
If he is back to his 55-65 pt production with not deathly bad defense and great transitioning then he's worth 7.5M and is a high end top pairing D-man who we should keep
If he doesn't get to that and say has a 30 pt season in 70 games and is a mess defensively, then you tell Mo its time to waive the NMC and we can retain down 2-3M to get some value and send you where you want to go, other we buy you out and you lose money which won't be made back on next contract, putting him at risk of being out of the NHL by 2028ish.
He needs to focus on the gym and his diet. Work with the sports science team and look to come back healthy and motivated to be the best D-man on the team next year.
The team should set a target weight for him to come in at and have him be required to start at that weight or see his TOI get cut
He is overweight by at least 15 lbs.
He needs to commit to weight loss and improved conditioning this offseason.
If he isn’t prepared to be the best athlete he can be, then he has no business declining to waive his NTC.
The Leafs are holding up their end of the deal, he needs to hold up his.
I have a very high opinion of Rielly as a person and believe if he was challenged to do this, he will commit fully to the ask from management.
Hoping this happens and we see a better version of Rielly next season.