Duke74
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Pre-Game Talk: Mopy Thread
- Thread starter Mr Kot
- Start date
FlameChampion
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Just feels like the organization and players feel like they will flip a switch once the playoffs start. Arrogance vs confidence. We will see.
FlameChampion
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Duke74
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Bring Back Bucky
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TopShelfGloveSide
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KeithIsActuallyBad
Fire Dustin Schwartz
We are absolutely addicted to these Disney-esque redemption/comeback stories. Of course we all knew it wasn’t worth it to begin with but Bowman knows best.
TopShelfGloveSide
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Well ya I thought we would be challenging for the division. That doesn’t mean the chances that Calgary passes us aren’t ridiculously low.
TopShelfGloveSide
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Duke74
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We would have to win 3.5 more games than they do in 1 less game and we are playing like one of the worst teams in the league. Come on. We have seen this team collapse far worse than that.
Just remember, this is what we used the money we saved by not matching Holloway on. Klingberg.
nexttothemoon
and again...
Oilers have a 98.1% or 96.7% chance at playoffs depending on where you look...
www.hockey-reference.com
moneypuck.com
Regardless... they "should" make it in barring a total meltdown down the stretch but it would be nice to go into the playoffs healthy and on somewhat of a roll instead of banged up and playing coin flip games vs teams out of the playoff picture.
Tonight's game will be interesting not just because it's versus a traditional rival who are clinging to a slim playoff chance (ie the opposing team will be super hungry for a win)... but more so... can we see some signs of bounce back from the team after that awful effort last game and you would hope this team could put up a decent all around effort (win or lose) with still several key players out of the lineup.
Playoff Probabilities Report | Hockey-Reference.com
Probability of making the Stanley Cup playoffs
www.hockey-reference.com
NHL Playoff Odds -MoneyPuck 2025 Playoff & Cup Odds
NHL Playoff Odds updated many times a day. Stanley Cup Odds, Playoff seeding, and Draft Lottery Odds
moneypuck.com
Regardless... they "should" make it in barring a total meltdown down the stretch but it would be nice to go into the playoffs healthy and on somewhat of a roll instead of banged up and playing coin flip games vs teams out of the playoff picture.
Tonight's game will be interesting not just because it's versus a traditional rival who are clinging to a slim playoff chance (ie the opposing team will be super hungry for a win)... but more so... can we see some signs of bounce back from the team after that awful effort last game and you would hope this team could put up a decent all around effort (win or lose) with still several key players out of the lineup.
We definitely should make it, but with how this team is playing and our injury troubles, missing by 1 point seems like it could be super likely.Oilers have a 98.1% or 96.7% chance at playoffs depending on where you look...
Playoff Probabilities Report | Hockey-Reference.com
Probability of making the Stanley Cup playoffsNHL Playoff Odds -MoneyPuck 2025 Playoff & Cup Odds
NHL Playoff Odds updated many times a day. Stanley Cup Odds, Playoff seeding, and Draft Lottery Odds
Regardless... they "should" make it in barring a total meltdown down the stretch but it would be nice to go into the playoffs healthy and on somewhat of a roll instead of banged up and playing coin flip games vs teams out of the playoff picture.
Tonight's game will be interesting not just because it's versus a traditional rival who are clinging to a slim playoff chance (ie the opposing team will be super hungry for a win)... but more so... can we see some signs of bounce back from the team after that awful effort last game and you would hope this team could put up a decent all around effort (win or lose) with still several key players out of the lineup.
29Beast97Mode
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CrazyJoeDavola
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Drivesaitl
Time to Drive
Lets just rush back Drai so that he can play with his nothing wingers Arvid and Pods. I might take up drinking.
Duke74
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Yea, you think Knobs would have given him better wingers coming back from injury. Like one of at least Hyman/Skinner.
Drivesaitl
Time to Drive
Reality is we might need 3, possibly 4 wins in last 10GP to advance to playoffs. Or any equivalent of 6-7pts. Obviously if for some reason the club tanked the rest of the way it could still miss but it would take something of the magnitude of going say 2-8 the remaining games.
Not sure what happens tonight and I wouldn't bet on the game thats for sure.
Drivesaitl
Time to Drive
Its like real important to get Connor Brown going. I mean everything hinges on that.
Stoneman89
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- Feb 8, 2008
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nexttothemoon
and again...
Pessimistic look at the schedule remaining for the Oilers...
Tonight: Loss vs a very hungry and determined Calgary team.
April 1st Oilers will play the fool's role in a loss to Vegas.
April 3rd in San Jose.. well the Oilers HAVE to win that one... right? right?
April 5th in LA... well chalk that up as a loss to the Kings who are excellent at home and will be looking to lock up home ice advantage in the 1st round.
April 7th in Anaheim ... this is another coin-flip game imo... Ducks will be playing in full spoiler mode and they currently have the identical record as the Oilers over the past 10 games... ie they are playing just as well as the Oilers but with no pressure on them... I call this a Ducks win.
April 9th Blues come to Edmonton and with the Blues playing red hot and trying to lock down a playoff spot you know they are going to be playing the Oilers hard in this one. This could easily be a Blues win.
April 11th... Sharks come to town and you'd think this should be another auto win for the Oilers.. except the Sharks are actually playing average hockey lately... 5-5-0 in their last 10 and teams out of the playoff picture have zero pressure... so I could easily see the Oilers splitting the 2 games vs the Sharks... so pessimistically I'm calling this a Sharks win.
April 13th ... Oilers bus into Winnipeg in what should be as close to an auto win for the Jets as possible.
April 14th... Oilers have to bus back into Edmonton from Winnipeg and be tired for their back to back vs the Kings. Kings win this.
April 16th.. Oilers fly into San Jose with likely a LOT on the line (especially if the games above are a pile of losses as I listed)... so this final game of the season will be massive. Again on paper this should be an Oilers win but San Jose is again playing no pressure hockey and has just 1 point less than the Oilers in the last 10 games so this is a coin flip game as well. I'll say an OT loss for the Oilers.
So pessimistically (some might even say realistically)... this team could be looking at 3 pts in its last 10 games... especially if some of the broken bodies don't heal well and if depth offense doesn't show up semi-regularly and if team D decides to shit the bed rather than play well like they have most of the season... and if Oilers goaltending continues to be Oilers goaltending...
Is 3 points over the final 10 games enough to hang onto a playoff spot? Probably not and that's probably overly pessimistic... BUT the only "easy" games (on paper) are those 3 vs the Sharks and maybe that 1 vs the Ducks... but those spoiler teams don't just lay down either and I could easily see the team losing at least 2 of those 4 games... possibly even 3.
After actually looking at the remaining schedule I'm not as confident they "easily" make the playoffs... I think there's going to be some clenched assholes and a lot of scoreboard watching over the next 19 days.
Tonight: Loss vs a very hungry and determined Calgary team.
April 1st Oilers will play the fool's role in a loss to Vegas.
April 3rd in San Jose.. well the Oilers HAVE to win that one... right? right?
April 5th in LA... well chalk that up as a loss to the Kings who are excellent at home and will be looking to lock up home ice advantage in the 1st round.
April 7th in Anaheim ... this is another coin-flip game imo... Ducks will be playing in full spoiler mode and they currently have the identical record as the Oilers over the past 10 games... ie they are playing just as well as the Oilers but with no pressure on them... I call this a Ducks win.
April 9th Blues come to Edmonton and with the Blues playing red hot and trying to lock down a playoff spot you know they are going to be playing the Oilers hard in this one. This could easily be a Blues win.
April 11th... Sharks come to town and you'd think this should be another auto win for the Oilers.. except the Sharks are actually playing average hockey lately... 5-5-0 in their last 10 and teams out of the playoff picture have zero pressure... so I could easily see the Oilers splitting the 2 games vs the Sharks... so pessimistically I'm calling this a Sharks win.
April 13th ... Oilers bus into Winnipeg in what should be as close to an auto win for the Jets as possible.
April 14th... Oilers have to bus back into Edmonton from Winnipeg and be tired for their back to back vs the Kings. Kings win this.
April 16th.. Oilers fly into San Jose with likely a LOT on the line (especially if the games above are a pile of losses as I listed)... so this final game of the season will be massive. Again on paper this should be an Oilers win but San Jose is again playing no pressure hockey and has just 1 point less than the Oilers in the last 10 games so this is a coin flip game as well. I'll say an OT loss for the Oilers.
So pessimistically (some might even say realistically)... this team could be looking at 3 pts in its last 10 games... especially if some of the broken bodies don't heal well and if depth offense doesn't show up semi-regularly and if team D decides to shit the bed rather than play well like they have most of the season... and if Oilers goaltending continues to be Oilers goaltending...
Is 3 points over the final 10 games enough to hang onto a playoff spot? Probably not and that's probably overly pessimistic... BUT the only "easy" games (on paper) are those 3 vs the Sharks and maybe that 1 vs the Ducks... but those spoiler teams don't just lay down either and I could easily see the team losing at least 2 of those 4 games... possibly even 3.
After actually looking at the remaining schedule I'm not as confident they "easily" make the playoffs... I think there's going to be some clenched assholes and a lot of scoreboard watching over the next 19 days.
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If we lose tonight we have 9 games left, Calgary has 10. For Calgary to pass us they need 7 more points in 10 games than us in 9. If they go 6-3-1(which is possible they play lots of bad teams, and teams that would like us to fail) we have to go 3-5-1 or better.
We play Vegas which is light years better than us right now, LA..twice, Winnipeg and the Blues who are fighting for a spot 2. We have 5 very hard games, then the Sharks 3 times and a ducks team that spanks us this year. So basically we can lose all those hard games beat the Sharks 3 times and lose in overtime to the Ducks. That said…
Calgary has Colorado, Utah, Ducks x2, Vegas x2, Sharks x2, LA and Minnesota
Reasonably Calgary wins 5 of those against the obvious teams. However, Vegas probably would love for us to be out of contention and they really don’t need to play hard in the last bunch, Minnesota will cause they are fighting for a spot, Colorado will too.
If LA is locked in a spot and it comes down to the final LA game for Calgary, I could see LA sitting everyone to make sure we are out.
BUT. If we get 5 wins. Calgary needs to win 8/9 of their final games to do it.
Or we just f***ing win tonight it and make it essentially impossible.
