Series Talk: Minnesota Wild v Dallas Stars Playoff series thread | DAL Wins 4-2

[Minnewildsota]

For sure and what are the odds that someone capable of making that bad decision actually does it????


If the wild lose 80 7 game series in a row and the odds of that occurring we 1 in 1 billion what would you blame it on lol

Well, statistics say...
50%

There's a difference between unlucky and cursed.
Example: If someone were to get struck by lightning, they would be unlucky, not cursed. It's highly improbable, but still probable.

 

[f7ben]

Well, statistics say...
50%

There's a difference between unlucky and cursed.
Example: If someone were to get struck by lightning, they would be unlucky, not cursed. It's highly improbable, but still probable.

Statistics don’t say 50%. If you know putting your hand in the fire is going to hurt and not putting your hand in the fire is not going to hurt the odds of you putting your hand in the fire are well less than 50/50 because you have foreknowledge. There are only 32 nhl teams and a full 25% of them make the 2nd rd of the playoffs every year. The lightning strike comparison is idiocy

Also claiming curses don’t exist and then assigning a specific series of outcomes as “luck” isn’t too terribly bright lol

 

[Minnewildsota]

Statistics don’t say 50%. If you know putting your hand in the fire is going to hurt and not putting your hand in the fire is not going to hurt the odds of you putting your hand in the fire are well less than 50/50 because you have foreknowledge. There are only 32 nhl teams and a full 25% of them make the 2nd rd of the playoffs every year. The lightning strike comparison is idiocy

Also claiming curses don’t exist and then assigning a specific series of outcomes as “luck” isn’t too terribly bright lol

You asked what the probability of someone making a bad decision.
They either make the bad decision, or they don’t. It’s 50/50.

If you don’t understand the difference between luck and cursed then there’s nothing left to discuss.

 

[f7ben]

You asked what the probability of someone making a bad decision.
They either make the bad decision, or they don’t. It’s 50/50.

If you don’t understand the difference between luck and cursed then there’s nothing left to discuss.

No , it’s not 50/50. The decision isn’t red or black. These are professionals with a profound understanding of the ramifications their decisions have. They are supposed to pick the right thing far more than the wrong thing and if they don’t they get fired and run out of the league.

 

[Wild11MN]

No , it’s not 50/50. The decision isn’t red or black. These are professionals with a profound understanding of the ramifications their decisions have. They are supposed to pick the right thing far more than the wrong thing and if they don’t they get fired and run out of the league.

The 50/50 thing is a long-standing forum joke.

 

[Minnewildsota]

The 50/50 thing is a long-standing forum joke.

Well, yes but no. Statistically speaking if there are 2 options; the theoretical probability of someone choosing either is 50/50.

Like, if I asked, "@Wild11MN, would burn your house down for insurance money?" - statistically speaking, there's a 50/50 chance of you saying yes. When we all know the likelihood of you saying yes is far higher

It's really how you want to present the statistics. This is why there's a saying "You can make statistics say whatever you want"

 

[Wild11MN]

Well, yes but no. Statistically speaking if there are 2 options; the theoretical probability of someone choosing either is 50/50.

Like, if I asked, "@Wild11MN, would burn your house down for insurance money?" - statistically speaking, there's a 50/50 chance of you saying yes. When we all know the likelihood of you saying yes is far higher

It's really how you want to present the statistics. This is way there's a saying "You can make statistics say whatever you want"

Lies, damned lies, and statistics.

 

[Spurgeon]

Well, yes but no. Statistically speaking if there are 2 options; the theoretical probability of someone choosing either is 50/50.

Like, if I asked, "@Wild11MN, would burn your house down for insurance money?" - statistically speaking, there's a 50/50 chance of you saying yes. When we all know the likelihood of you saying yes is far higher

It's really how you want to present the statistics. This is why there's a saying "You can make statistics say whatever you want"

The theoretical probability of a coin flip is 50/50. In a situation where there are only 2 outcomes (Bernoulli distribution), your theoretical probability is determined by what the expected success and failure rate is.

 

[f7ben]

The theoretical probability of a coin flip is 50/50. In a situation where there are only 2 outcomes (Bernoulli distribution), your theoretical probability is determined by what the expected success and failure rate is.

Exactly , and when one is significantly educated on the vast amount of variables in play offering some predication of the outcome the odds of choosing correctly are far higher than choosing incorrectly.

 

[TaLoN]

For sure and what are the odds that someone capable of making that bad decision actually does it????

Pretty good when his entire playoff track record says that's what he does

 

[f7ben]

Pretty good when his entire playoff track record says that's what he does

Well he’s not the only coach in this 8 series skid

 

[TaLoN]

Well he’s not the only coach in this 8 series skid

Yes, and one of those coaches faced the dynasty Blackhawks several times, then lost the team