Prospect Info: Mikhail Yegorov - pick #49 2024 NHL Draft

evnted

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Apr 14, 2016
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You hope he gets better coaching in thr NCAA for one thing
thatll be a guarantee, omaha is up in flames right now. their gm/president resigned, theyre up to their 9th coach since 2021 (3rd of the season), and they just sold off 2 of their 3 best players. all in the span of the last month. theres plenty for yegorov to improve on, dont get me wrong. just this past game you can see hes letting in some weak ones (particularly with respect to his post coverage). but this is a particularly challenging environment for a raw goalie. imo no one should really be out on this kid until well into his BU tenure
 

Zajacs Bowl Cut

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its tough to even care about goalie prospects for at least 3-4 years tbh

its just such a weird position that I dont really put any stock into anything until they are at least 21-22 years old.
 
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evnted

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Why didn’t he go to college this season instead of this Omaha mess ?
believe it was a combo of
-wouldve been 3rd string behind a senior starting in net, so he wouldnt have seen many games
-last season was his first in NA so no rush to scale yet. his d-1 season in russia was actually u17 so even the jump to the ushl was big
its unfortunate omaha is so much of a disaster, but given the context i still think its the right play
 

Unknown Caller

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Pointing to save percentage and gaa with zero context means absolutely nothing, especially when it comes to goaltending prospects.

Without an xG-like stat that actually accounts for the quality of shots against, raw goaltending numbers are pretty useless.

Even with that, he’s like top 12 in USHL sv% for goalies who have played more than 5 games.
 

tailfins

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Pointing to save percentage and gaa with zero context means absolutely nothing, especially when it comes to goaltending prospects.

Without an xG-like stat that actually accounts for the quality of shots against, raw goaltending numbers are pretty useless.

Even with that, he’s like top 12 in USHL sv% for goalies who have played more than 5 games.

Given the dearth of other stats from the USHL, comparing save percentage and gas between two goaltenders on the same team seems reasonable though?

(Understood that you’d need enough of a sample so the comparison is not just skewed by one bad or incredible game for either of them.)
 
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PizzaAndPucks

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We've had way too many goalies flame out the system over the last decade. Its sad that Kinkaid , Wedgewood and Blackwood are the only goalies they developed that are somewhat NHL regulars. Jury is still out on Daws.

This kid is playing in a tough situation right now but even if he was playing lights out he probably isn't BU's starter next season anyway. It's gonna be a bit before he turns pro. Not really worried about his numbers till he gets some NCAA games in....
 

Unknown Caller

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Given the dearth of other stats from the USHL, comparing save percentage and gas between two goaltenders on the same team seems reasonable though?

(Understood that you’d need enough of a sample so the comparison is not just skewed by one bad or incredible game for either of them.)
It’s really difficult to say. No idea how individual game scripts have gone, who has been given tougher comp matchups, etc.

It’s also about a 10-15 game sample size for each, so it’s hard to draw any conclusions either way.
 
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Guttersniped

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We've had way too many goalies flame out the system over the last decade. Its sad that Kinkaid , Wedgewood and Blackwood are the only goalies they developed that are somewhat NHL regulars. Jury is still out on Daws.

This kid is playing in a tough situation right now but even if he was playing lights out he probably isn't BU's starter next season anyway. It's gonna be a bit before he turns pro. Not really worried about his numbers till he gets some NCAA games in....

We’ve seen way too many goalies flame out recently? Have we?

We drafted 3 goalies between Frazee in 2005 and Blackwood in 2015 and one of them was Marty’s non-prospect son taken with the 4th last pick of the 2013 draft.


IMG_1274.jpeg


There’s a good reason that Wedgewood and Blackwood, along with NCAA FA signing Kinkaid, are the only goalies we remember coming out of that period.

Blackwood was a good pick, he’s faced injuries and other hurdles and has played 200+ NHL games already.

From 1990-2015 there’s been 67 other goalies drafted in the 2nd round and only 18 currently have more GP than MBW.

The later round picks don’t succeed as much because that’s how later round picks work.


Cormier?
Connor Hart (2nd #48) was the most notable goalie from 2016.
There’s 3 goalies from 2016 with GP in 24-25, out of 18:

Gustavsson PIT 2nd #55
Woll TOR 3rd #62
Ingram TBL 3rd #88 *overager*
(also 4 other goalies who haven’t done shit drafted before Cormier)
Cormier NJD 4th #129
(after that 9 other drafted goalies who haven’t done shit either)

Senn?
There’s 6 goalies from 2017 with GP in 24-25, out of 21. One was drafted after Senn.

Oettinger DAL 1st #26
Luukkonen BUF 2nd #54
Skinner EDM 3rd #78
Tarasov CBJ 3rd #86
Swayman BOS 4th #111
(also 8 other losers drafted before Senn)
Senn NJD 5th #129 *overager*
Primeau MTL 7th #199
(also 6 other randos, pour one out for Jiri Patara.)

Schmid?
Schmid is one of 5 goalies, out of 29, from 2018 with GP in 24-25. Only one was drafted after Schmid.

Annunen COL 3rd #64
Dostal ANA 3rd #85
Hofer STL 4th #107
(Plus 6 guys drafted before Schmid who’ve done nothing yet)
Schmid NJD 5th #136
Ersson PHI 5th #143
(Then 18(!) other goalies who’ve done nothing yet taken after Schmid)

Brady?
Brady was a project that didn’t work out but that’s not a shocker for a 5th rounder. 2019 has a late round find in Wolf though.

2019 has 7 goalies with GP in 24-25 out of 22 draftees, as the class is 23-24.

Knight FLA 1st #13
Kochetkov CAR 2nd #36 *overager*
Sogaard OTT 2nd #37
Portillo BUF 3rd #67
(Plus 5 randos drafted before him, pour one out for Hugo Alnefelt)
Brady NJD 5th #127
(Plus 9 other randos drafted after him)
Silovs VAN 6th #156
Miner COL 7th #202
Wolf CGY 7th #214

Daws?
Daws doesn’t have a GP in 24-25, but he has the still has the most overall GP in the 2020 draft class. Being an overager helped Daws though.

3 goalies have GP in 24-25, out of 20. One was drafted after Daws.

Askarov NSH 1st #11
Blomqvist PIT 2nd #52
(3 other goalies also drafted)
Daws NJD 3rd #84 *overager*
Levi FLA 7th #212
(And 13 other goalies were drafted after Daws)


TLDR
We had one real goalie pick between 2006-2012, Wedgewood, a fact that still boggles my mind.

Getting something out later picks like Schmid or Malek is a plus but I put more emphasis on earlier picks.

I thought the 2024 goalie class had several intriguing goalies with size and we could have grabbed a different one later on.

Marty pushed for Yegorov and we spent a 2nd to get his man. If he’s more of a project and less of a stud that’s on him.
 

My3Sons

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We’ve seen way too many goalies flame out recently? Have we?

We drafted 3 goalies between Frazee in 2005 and Blackwood in 2015 and one of them was Marty’s non-prospect son taken with the 4th last pick of the 2013 draft.


View attachment 943593

There’s a good reason that Wedgewood and Blackwood, along with NCAA FA signing Kinkaid, are the only goalies we remember coming out of that period.

Blackwood was a good pick, he’s faced injuries and other hurdles and has played 200+ NHL games already.

From 1990-2015 there’s been 67 other goalies drafted in the 2nd round and only 18 currently have more GP than MBW.

The later round picks don’t succeed as much because that’s how later round picks work.


Cormier?
Connor Hart (2nd #48) was the most notable goalie from 2016.
There’s 3 goalies from 2016 with GP in 24-25, out of 18:

Gustavsson PIT 2nd #55
Woll TOR 3rd #62
Ingram TBL 3rd #88 *overager*
(also 4 other goalies who haven’t done shit drafted before Cormier)
Cormier NJD 4th #129
(after that 9 other drafted goalies who haven’t done shit either)

Senn?
There’s 6 goalies from 2017 with GP in 24-25, out of 21. One was drafted after Senn.

Oettinger DAL 1st #26
Luukkonen BUF 2nd #54
Skinner EDM 3rd #78
Tarasov CBJ 3rd #86
Swayman BOS 4th #111
(also 8 other losers drafted before Senn)
Senn NJD 5th #129 *overager*
Primeau MTL 7th #199
(also 6 other randos, pour one out for Jiri Patara.)

Schmid?
Schmid is one of 5 goalies, out of 29, from 2018 with GP in 24-25. Only one was drafted after Schmid.

Annunen COL 3rd #64
Dostal ANA 3rd #85
Hofer STL 4th #107
(Plus 6 guys drafted before Schmid who’ve done nothing yet)
Schmid NJD 5th #136
Ersson PHI 5th #143
(Then 18(!) other goalies who’ve done nothing yet taken after Schmid)

Brady?
Brady was a project that didn’t work out but that’s not a shocker for a 5th rounder. 2019 has a late round find in Wolf though.

2019 has 7 goalies with GP in 24-25 out of 22 draftees, as the class is 23-24.

Knight FLA 1st #13
Kochetkov CAR 2nd #36 *overager*
Sogaard OTT 2nd #37
Portillo BUF 3rd #67
(Plus 5 randos drafted before him, pour one out for Hugo Alnefelt)
Brady NJD 5th #127
(Plus 9 other randos drafted after him)
Silovs VAN 6th #156
Miner COL 7th #202
Wolf CGY 7th #214

Daws?
Daws doesn’t have a GP in 24-25, but he has the still has the most overall GP in the 2020 draft class. Being an overager helped Daws though.

3 goalies have GP in 24-25, out of 20. One was drafted after Daws.

Askarov NSH 1st #11
Blomqvist PIT 2nd #52
(3 other goalies also drafted)
Daws NJD 3rd #84 *overager*
Levi FLA 7th #212
(And 13 other goalies were drafted after Daws)


TLDR
We had one real goalie pick between 2006-2012, Wedgewood, a fact that still boggles my mind.

Getting something out later picks like Schmid or Malek is a plus but I put more emphasis on earlier picks.

I thought the 2024 goalie class had several intriguing goalies with size and we could have grabbed a different one later on.

Marty pushed for Yegorov and we spent a 2nd to get his man. If he’s more of a project and less of a stud that’s on him.
It's good to see an incredibly long post from you packed with data and details.
 

evnted

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Apr 14, 2016
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omaha just sold off the goaltender yegorov had been competing for starts with (hendrickson) for a goalie with considerably worse stats playing on a better team. might secure a heavy load for him the 2nd half of the season. omaha is currently posting a record of 6-18-4 so dont expect the numbers to be pretty lol
 

tailfins

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omaha just sold off the goaltender yegorov had been competing for starts with (hendrickson) for a goalie with considerably worse stats playing on a better team. might secure a heavy load for him the 2nd half of the season. omaha is currently posting a record of 6-18-4 so dont expect the numbers to be pretty lol
Well, hopefully Yegorov grabs the opportunity.

IMO, though, he needs a good skills coach. More playing time without a sharp focus on improving his fundamentals could lead him to rely even more on his athleticism / emphasize his bad habits.

I’d love to see him figure it out over the next couple of years.
 

HBK27

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omaha just sold off the goaltender yegorov had been competing for starts with (hendrickson) for a goalie with considerably worse stats playing on a better team. might secure a heavy load for him the 2nd half of the season. omaha is currently posting a record of 6-18-4 so dont expect the numbers to be pretty lol

Hopefully provides Yegorov with more opportunity.

Interestingly enough, the goalie Omaha acquired (Moor) is from Allendale, NJ...played for the NJ Hitmen last season and is committed to Princeton University. So, he should be able to answer any NJ-related questions for Yegorov.

Moor was the backup for Waterloo, playing 9 games versus 16 for the starter, but both had just about identical stats.
 

evnted

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Apr 14, 2016
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Please get him out of there
truthfully, i dont hate this. obviously, those types of totals are obscene, and i wish omaha wasnt the tire fire it is, but i kinda like him facing a lot of shots on a regular basis. gives him more exposure to high danger chances/greater overall pressure, gets him more reps with breakdowns and follow-up attempts, really sort of puts a spotlight on him if he misjudges an angle or fails to track the puck or overshoots his crease (since the guys in front of him arent gonna bail him out)

if yegorov didnt have the mental fortitude and bounce back ability that he does, i might be more concerned, but this guys pretty unshakable. and even further, for a player like him who is still fairly raw, i want that high workload, i want that level of exposure/experience under his belt. to me, this is preferable to him being 3rd string in college or, compared to some others in his class, hidden behind a really dominant junior defense posting much better numbers
 

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