You mean "top 10 easily" Bouchard? I agree Davo won't win. This was last chance unless Nurse was bought out or something crazy happens
Yeah this was very likely our last appearance in the finals in the McDrai era. There is a slight chance again next year, but it gets worse every year on from now on, due to age of the team. Time is an unrelenting bastard and remains undefeated after all.
The only way we get back to the finals in McDavid's next contract so 2027+ is if he takes an exceptionally friendly contract (like $2-4 M or something like that) for a few years, allowing the team to buy another high end player or two with the $12 M in savings compared to what the market would dictate his contract to be ($16-ish I would think). He won't do this of course, but the second he signs his next big contract is the second he only has 1 more shot at the cup, which will be next year.
I've said this lots on here, and people just don't seem to understand it, but if McDavid really, and I mean REALLY, only cares about winning a cup. He can't sign anything approaching a "fair market" deal with any team, Oilers or otherwise. It is a cap league, and teams with cap-friendly deals win cups (tax advantaged states say hi!). McDavid has already made ~$160 M USD in his career, when you include endorsements (or roughly $220 M CAD). He makes about $5 M USD/year in endorsements, so even if he never makes another dollar in contract money, and he plays for another 10 years, he'll have made about ~$210 M USD by the time his career is over. He will also continue to make some endorsement money after he retires, or can pick the hockey job he wants after to a degree. He already has generational wealth. Even if he signed a ridiculous 8 year team friendly deal for $2 M USD/year, his earnings jump to ~$226 M USD, $4 M/year would be $242 M, etc. You can do the math.
He doesn't need the money, not even a little bit. If he REALLY cares about winning a cup, he would sign with a team for 2, maybe 3, years at a very low cap hit to take a few more runs at a cup in his prime years. That would take him to 32-33 years old, and he can still sign a retirement deal for big money after that. He would "only" be giving up $30-40 M in this circumstance, which is a crazy sentence to type out, lol, but at the end of the day, if he wants to win, this is what it will take. In this scenario, he would end up making roughly ~$240-260 M USD in his career, depending on that retirement deal amount. If I was his father, and after talking to him he told me he really only cared about winning, this is what I would tell him to do. I'm old, and I'm a lot more well off than I used to be, and the older I get and the more money I have, the more I realize that money doesn't matter after a certain level.