As a Leafs fan, I've become very convinced this guy plans to walk on July 1.
Didn't want a TDL deal because why move twice in 5 months + wants one last crack at it with his buddies in T.O but with the way the fan base dragged him through the mud after last post-seasons exit (pretty justifiably tbh), I doubt this guy has any issue burning us and leaving for nothing.
Would you? If you played for the team you loved growing up and the fans shat on you constantly your entire career? And critiqued you for things your team mates did too (Nylander sitting out, Matthews choking in playoffs, Tavares going for max UFA dollars)? All while being the leading scorer five out of nine seasons and never being lower than third? And several of the times he was 2nd/3rd he actually outpaced or equaled Matthews' points per game.
While Nylander has clearly been the best Leaf in most playoffs, Marner at least had a few standout playoffs to go with his poor performances, while Matthews is just consistently not the difference maker but not invisible in any given year. Marner more flips from great to shit.
Not only that but you guys shit talk his dad too. I'm sure that makes him want to stay. If the caveat is the Leafs need him to compete for a cup, then why would he not go to another roster willing to pay him that might have a better roster than the Leafs sans Marner?
At least that's how the NBA works. If he gets traded to that team though they lose that depth of talent and it's hard to recover. I don't see how Leafs fans can complain about that either since that's what Tavares did to the Islanders to ensure he was walking to the best Leafs team possible. Granted the Isles rallied around it and have been way more successful than the Leafs. Maybe the Leafs will do the same? I'm sure you can do something with a 13-14 mil opening + whatever discount Tavares stays for (is he staying?).
Just take a look at the free agent class, I'm sure another 100 point guy still in their prime will be available. Well maybe not but there's Duchene, Ehlers and Tavares rounding out the top 4. Oh one is already there. Ok so maybe it will be tough without any futures to trade for a replacement forward. But you can get a top 2 RD like Ekblad (nevermind), Pionk (maybe), or Fabbro (lol). Yeah, I don't know, it's tough to navigate. I guess overpay Adin Hill to get a real #1 goalie (who has never even played 40 games in a season but is good in the playoffs)?
Probably you guys will toss a ton at Sam Bennett if he walks and you guys lose Marner. But as the only real center available I'm sure it's a bidding war between all the teams without second line centers (or in some case first) but no owner commitment to full tear downs like Boston (basically traded everyone for re-tooling assets instead of true rebuild), Vancouver, St. Louis, etc. Not to mention Florida aren't even tight on cap space, don't have other key players to re-sign except PEDblad (which I'm sure Jones was a precursor to letting him walk), possibly Marchand, and Bob is coming off the books next summer with another massive cap rise.
I am enjoying this at least as a Habs fan. Hope you guys don't fall off a cliff like Boston though, I want to see some playoff Habs vs Leafs. I am very much enjoying seeing Boston and Toronto struggle with players though. Canes getting dumped on in the middle of all of this while Kotkaniemi did not in fact turn into a 2C is even better.
Anyways, good for Marner to do what's best for him. Like Pacioretty, these guys deserve to throw shade back and do what they want after dealing with our media and fans. Granted, we got a #1C who's better than Patches in his prime by trading him (and honestly, Tatar was better than Patches for us since Patches got injured every year with Vegas). Hope you guys get to the second round (conditionally: if you're facing Florida, who's pick may be potentially ours in case Calgary bottoms out or has playoff success).
Marner is great. Hope he signs with the Habs.