uncleben
Global Moderator
All things Marlies, Growlers, player development, and prospects
I think the two prospects I'm most interested in this season to dive deeper into is Amirov & Niemela. I was a huge fan of Amirov pre-draft and he showed after with fantastic play for a 19 year old in the 2nd best league in the world. The only thing he was lacking was ice-time to show what he really had. The fact the Leafs left him in Russia even after he signed an ELC gives me Nylander vibes in that if they don't like how the season is going or his usage they have the ability to take him away. A team like Salavat does not have the luxury to slow play a player of his caliber like SKA did with Podkolzin so his ice time should revert back to when his team was having the Covid outbreak early where he had top-6 and top-PP minutes (although in the bumper) or else the Leafs should bring him to the AHL. It's not a development league, but if they want to keep him for this season (and possibly next) they better be trying their best to develop him. Niemela I had as a first round pick and we magically got him in the 3rd. His ability in the WJC and WJSS just shows that he can be outright dominant against fantastic players his own age. I expect him to have a major role with his team this season, and it will be his third year in a ~top-5 league. His rel stats looked fantastic against decently easy comp, but this is a guy that's clearly too good to be sheltered at this point. If all goes well and Sandin/Liljegren/Robertson graduate like I assume they will this year I wouldn't be surprised if he passed Amirov as our best prospect. This guy had major helium last year and it should continue.
It was Amirov who compared his own game to Kuch/AM. Reason being he see's himself as a highly technical player in his approach. Not that they necessarily play alike stylistically, but the strengths in their games come from being extremely technically sound (e.g. Matthews' catch and release being built on a mid-stride lateral weight transfer and hip mobility instead of just brute power/strength - something Belfry was working on with Amirov recently).I'm interested in understanding how scouts managed to name drop Auston Matthews and Nikita Kucherov in reference to Amirov's skillset even if it's "stylistic". Obviously that seems to have been scaled back post draft due to the weird pandemic hockey we've had the past while, and is customary to reign things in after a draft, but if this guy can manage to merge that fine puck control, two way ability and some level of that half wall sniping. Yeah we need that on an ELC.
Genuinely surprised he got an ELC from someone before playing pro, but good for him!
I think the two prospects I'm most interested in this season to dive deeper into is Amirov & Niemela. I was a huge fan of Amirov pre-draft and he showed after with fantastic play for a 19 year old in the 2nd best league in the world. The only thing he was lacking was ice-time to show what he really had. The fact the Leafs left him in Russia even after he signed an ELC gives me Nylander vibes in that if they don't like how the season is going or his usage they have the ability to take him away. A team like Salavat does not have the luxury to slow play a player of his caliber like SKA did with Podkolzin so his ice time should revert back to when his team was having the Covid outbreak early where he had top-6 and top-PP minutes (although in the bumper) or else the Leafs should bring him to the AHL. It's not a development league, but if they want to keep him for this season (and possibly next) they better be trying their best to develop him. Niemela I had as a first round pick and we magically got him in the 3rd. His ability in the WJC and WJSS just shows that he can be outright dominant against fantastic players his own age. I expect him to have a major role with his team this season, and it will be his third year in a ~top-5 league. His rel stats looked fantastic against decently easy comp, but this is a guy that's clearly too good to be sheltered at this point. If all goes well and Sandin/Liljegren/Robertson graduate like I assume they will this year I wouldn't be surprised if he passed Amirov as our best prospect. This guy had major helium last year and it should continue.
A couple other guys I'm really interested in seeing another year of development are Abruzzese, Ovchinnikov, Koster, and Tverberg. Abruzzese needs to come back even stronger than his freshman year after anotother wasted year of development. Ovchinnikov needs to become a staple at the KHL level or be traded/brought over to NA. Need to see if he's for real or not, and we've had a bad track record of drafting MHL guys recently. Koster needs to establish himself as a top-4 (or top-pair) guy on a stacked Minnesota team. Tverberg needs to show that he's actually a NHL level prospect.
Knies is obviously interesting, but Minnesota is stacked and it wouldn't be shocking if he didn't get a huge role. Really hoping to see him at the WJC. Kokkonen & Hirvonen I'm interested to see what happens now on a decent team. A little sad to see Kokkonen might not be a #1 that was thriving in the role (expect points obv). Hirvonen I need to see if the underlying stats are going to continue or else he's going to take a major jump in my rankings. Holmberg if he can keep up the playoff play or at least keep up the dominant rel stats in the 3rd best league. Miettinen if he can improve on last seasons fantastic play. SDA, Kral & Abramov if they can take the next step at the AHL level.
Its pretty funny/amazing but we actually have a large group of 5th/6th round picks that are actually worth being optimistic about. Particularly forwards.
5 Voit
5 Ovchinnikov
6 Miettenin
6 Holmberg
I legit think all of these guys have a real chance to be good nhlers and I'd be pretty disappointed if none of them made it.
These dmen are a bit more questionable imo but actually still interesting too....tho I wouldn't be surprised if none of them made it:
5 Kral
5 Koster
6 Rindell
I've also really liked Carolin's drafting the last few yearsNot to mention 3rd Round picks in Niemela, Kokkonen, and SDA, and 4th round picks in Abruzzese, Abramov and Ahktyamov, AND a 7th round pick in Tverberg.
Although it hasn't payed out yet, the drafting has been arguably the best in the league since 2018 based on expected pick value.