To me, he is pretty much guaranteed to go back to Barrie. I just don't see the logic of blowing off a year of his entry level deal for a shortened season, where - let's face it - we're not really going anywhere.
About the only exception I could see is if he was able to step in to the Top-6 right now, and that's not the case. I actually think he's capable of playing in the bottom 6 - he's very smart without the puck - but that's probably not best for his development, either.
This doesn't sour me or him at all. I've been really, really impressed with him in Barrie and at the WJC and thought he played a solid game on Saturday. I think they walk away from Wellwood next year and he gets a fair crack for 2013-14.
IMO, where the "team" is shouldn't factor in it all. That's the absolute worst way to deal with your players.
"hey kid, you've played great and you make us a better team, but due to circumstances not related to your play on the ice(you know, the whole reason why your here), you're not going to stick."
That's a great way to sour your prospects on your organization. If he makes us a better team, he should stick, no if's and's or but's. What makes the team better, and gives the team the best shot at winning should always be the right call.
There's really no reason to play Scheifele outside the 5 games. Let him get some NHL experience, go on another run with the Colts, and let him bulk up a little and mature. The Jets aren't going to win the cup this year or even contend to make the playoffs (it kills me to write that) so don't burn a year needlessly like Edmonton did with Nuge. Otherwise why the heck did we sign Olli??
My main issue, as I've stated, I don't think his areas of weakness will be addressed by going with the colts. Furthermore, he's got nothing to prove down there, and finally, there's a very real chance he gets in more games if he stays up then goes down.
If this was the start of this season, I would have been far more in favor of sending him back down, but to me at this point, most of the "benefits" of sending him back to barrie are gone.
IMO at this point, whether he stays up or not is entirely based off his play and production over the next four games. If he can't hack it and struggles, then send him back, but if he can play, he should stay.
With the shortened season i think a lot of teams will be spreading their TOI a little more evenly, and so i'm even less concerned about the negatives of being in the bottom six, as I think this year bottom six players will get far more ice time then usual.
as long as he keeps getting over 10-12 es min's a game and hopefully with some special teams play, i think he should stay. If he can't earn those minutes then I agree he should be returned.