Make No Mistake, Rangers Unfortunate to be Down Three Games

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Thirty One

Safe is safe.
Dec 28, 2003
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My take on what I considered to be a shallow article by the Sporting News' Sean Gentile:

http://rangersunlimited.com/2014/06/10/make-no-mistake-rangers-unfortunate-to-be-down-three-games/

The Rangers are trailing the Stanley Cup Finals 3 games to nothing, but I’d argue that doesn’t do justice to the way the series has gone.

After three games of a best-of-seven series, the only options are for the games to be 2-1 or 3-0. In a series of heads vs. tails, that is when there is no difference in the opponents, one side will be up 3-0 on the other 25% of the time.

It would take little imagination to picture the Rangers up 2-1 in this series. And I’m not the only one recognizing the misfortunes of the Rangers thus far.
 
Nice writing (although I'm biased as I love to see people take it to the mainstream media).

I'm going to have nightmares about the missed opportunities in this series for years. Hags shorthanded at the end of game 1 regulation and then CK twice, richards once and Zucc once in game 2 OT.

Ah, what might have been
 
At this stage of the playoffs, the playoffs in general, effort is rarely a problem.

I don't think people like using luck as a reason that their team lost because it isn't a tangible reason. Much easier to blame effort, will to win, etc than to accept the fact your team was just unlucky and didn't get the bounces.

Good article -31-, always the voice of reason you are. Happy Belated.
 
I do feel, though, that in any given game you can identify a moment that -- if it played out differently -- might have changed outcome of that game. So to come out on the wrong end three games in a row, well that just means this team didn't have what it takes.

The Rangers have hung closer, however, than I though they would. I figured Kings in 6 with four bad losses and two close wins.
 
They had a LOT of luck against Montreal, starting in game 1.

IMO, the third round was not hard enough to prepare them for the Finals. Make no mistake, I still think they would have won if Price were in goal, but I think it would have been a more difficult series and would have mentally toughened them up more. Round 2 was hard; Round 3 not so much. Everyone was celebrating we squeaked by the backup backup goalie, but personally I think AV should have been really concerned a rookie had a .969 SV% against us in the last game. The time to start tweaking was then. If Price had been there we would have been forced to address our weaknesses, but he was not. Good luck runs both ways.
 
explain to me the luck in Montreal?

Price getting hurt? How did that help us when Tokarski had a ridiculous sv%?
He appears to be suggesting the Tokarski had a good save percentage because of some deficiency in the Rangers.
 
explain to me the luck in Montreal?

Price getting hurt? How did that help us when Tokarski had a ridiculous sv%?

I laugh at the Price argument. Yeah he got hurt, but Tokarski was basically a clone of what we would have been (maybe even better).
 
He appears to be suggesting the Tokarski had a good save percentage because of some deficiency in the Rangers.

I wouldn't rule that out completely. Don't think, say, Chicago or Pittsburgh or St. Louis would struggle against him the way we did.
 
Great read.

I feel like too often people think of luck as bordering on superstition. Like, to say "we were unlucky" equates with "the hockey gods wanted us to lose". I feel like people, instead of seeing the latter as an euphemism of the former, see it the other way around. That to say you had "bad luck", you're saying that it was some other entities fault that you lost (and that you have a really strange religion).

I feel like luck is unreliable as a predictor but very enlightening in hindsight. But then, that's kind of the point of a sports competition, right? The point isn't the play the odds, it's to beat them.
 
Rangers were obviously beneficial in Price being out, but, serious question, what defines "luck"? Emelin made a stupid and dangerous defensive play and the goalie got injured because of it. Obviously not his [Emelin] intention to have Price injured, but it was a direct result of his decision on the play.

Also I agree, this series could have just as easily been 2-1 in our favor; We played well, but made some really costly mistakes. Possibly dumb example, but say I'm speeding and get a ticket, is it "bad luck"?

Also, what are our odds to win this series? I'd imagine it's <5%.
 
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Yes, it is absolutely the case the series could be much closer in actual games won, if not for some poor bounces, luck, or whatever we'd like to call it. However I think the only thing recognizing that at this point is a testament to, is how well the Rangers have actually played despite being down 3-0. A fact which, is largely irrelevant, and lost on most of the hockey world because their record does not reflect it.

Good article, -31-.
 
Also I agree, this series could have just as easily been 2-1 in our favor; We played well, but made some really costly mistakes. Possibly dumb example, but say I'm speeding and get a ticket, is it "bad luck"?
I like this metaphor. I would say it is. And I would say the Rangers are getting all the tickets.

Also, what are our odds to win this series? I'd imagine it's <5%.
I have it as 4.83%.

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