Goal 1 goes in, an absolute abomination of mess and the game literally changed. The Oilers sphincters tightened up and for the next 35 minutes we went into prevent mode vs initiating the play the way they came out and played for 13 minutes they were dominating the Golden Girls.
Look at McDavids reaction after the 2nd goal where Skinner opened up a 5 hole that a Mack truck could pass through. 58 seconds after the first goal that wasn’t even a scoring chance.
The team has to play far better than it did in front of Skinner but 2 of the 4 goals weren’t even serious scoring chances, the 3rd goal was a routine save that went through him.
With Skinner in net you need to play a stifling defensive game that suppresses shots, something that isn’t in this teams wheelhouse.
With Picard in net the team plays free because he battles and wins far more often than loses.
The team has visually lost confidence in Smilin’ Stu.
This is true.
However, it’s the first two goals where we should be laying blame. Those were entirely on Skinner.
Goal 1: he pushes across completely off balance, gives up a bad rebound and of course is unable to save the 2nd shot… just bad mechanics and athleticism. Perfect example of: “he’s just not capable at this level”. This was also a routine belly-save for Pickard.
Goal 2: he’s down covering near post, stick side (which is an advantage). From there you have two choices when the guy cuts across: 1) stretch the far side leg, 2) push with near side leg… stretching is always faster but should be saved for last resort, given time you ALWAYS push first, stretch if necessary, especially when you are stick side since the only downside to pushing is you have to lift your pushing knee… but he’s got his stick there, so that’s low risk.
Of course Stu stretches, a bad decision, in part because he’s just not that mobile or athletic. That opens the 5-hole… goal is on him. Pickard would have had this routinely.
3) the give and go with Karlsson… I mean Pickard probably saves that 7/10 times. It doesn’t look like much, but gaps open when you have to push center and then come back where you came from. Stu saves those maybe 5/10 times, he’s got a faulty 7-hole. This is a goal that happens on everyone to varying degree… you like it back, but not one to crucify about.
4) I actually disagree that the last goal is entirely on him. In fact I think all of the other three were worse… this just happened to be last. He pushed out well, he needed to cut that angle. He’s still moving out when the shot-fake comes, because he’d been on the goal line when the puck was behind. McD and Nurse both bite hard on the fake shot… so does Skinner. A relatively minor mistake which is magnified because he’s still moving out, so his butterfly slides him further out. Now he has no choice but to challenge that shooter and force him to run out of options. I actually like that play… and it almost worked… the puck was sliding wide which is good goaltending when you are in desperation mode (which he was). Pickard almost certainly plays this one the same way, he’s way more of a gambler than Skinner and he’s smaller, so he’d be way out cutting that angle too… maybe he doesn’t go down on the fake shot, maybe he does…. Sometimes he would, sometimes he wouldn’t. Perhaps he’d have been even closer to Roy and actually stop the shot/pass attempt.