Player Discussion Linus Ullmark (G)

The Leafs have been giving up fewer quality chances than we have. We've barely been able to get anything resembling a clean shot on net. Stolartz has been good, but the Leafs are playing like the 1999 NJ Devils. The Leafs haven't been getting a ton of chances, but they've gotten better ones and have more players capable of burying them when they do.

Ullmark hasn't been great, but he hasn't been terrible either. I don't think he's the main reason they are 0-3.
 
The Leafs have been giving up fewer quality chances than we have. We've barely been able to get anything resembling a clean shot on net. Stolartz has been good, but the Leafs are playing like the 1999 NJ Devils. The Leafs haven't been getting a ton of chances, but they've gotten better ones and have more players capable of burying them when they do.

Ullmark hasn't been great, but he hasn't been terrible either. I don't think he's the main reason they are 0-3.
This does not seem to be true.

At 5-on-5, scoring chances in the series are 64-47 Ottawa and high danger chances are 22-15 Ottawa. Expected goals are 5.28 to 4.71, again for the Senators.

Goaltending is another story. Ullmark is at .815 SV%, 3.91 GAA and -3.8GSAE. That's terrible. Stolarz has posted .926 SV%, 1.95 GAA and +1GSAE. For the most part I think both teams are defending well at 5-on-5, it's just that one team is getting way more stops than the other.
 
This does not seem to be true.

At 5-on-5, scoring chances in the series are 64-47 Ottawa and high danger chances are 22-15 Ottawa. Expected goals are 5.28 to 4.71, again for the Senators.

Goaltending is another story. Ullmark is at .815 SV%, 3.91 GAA and -3.8GSAE. That's terrible. Stolarz has posted .926 SV%, 1.95 GAA and +1GSAE. For the most part I think both teams are defending well at 5-on-5, it's just that one team is getting way more stops than the other.
Part of that is score effects. However, Montreal and Blues are still looking terrible 5on5 despite trailing.
 
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Number 1, boys.


IMG_3459.png
 
Anderson was a stud during the playoffs. Nearly outdueled Lundqvist in 2012, and overall put up spectacular numbers outside of 2013 against the Pens.
He would always look great if the team played great D and terrible if they were loose. The difference between the two is Andy would lock in after a bad game, Ullmark seems to play the same no matter what.
 
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The odds of an NHL team—especially an underdog or lower seed—coming back from a 3–0 deficit in a best-of-seven playoff series are extremely low……… approximately 1.9%
 
This does not seem to be true.

At 5-on-5, scoring chances in the series are 64-47 Ottawa and high danger chances are 22-15 Ottawa. Expected goals are 5.28 to 4.71, again for the Senators.

Goaltending is another story. Ullmark is at .815 SV%, 3.91 GAA and -3.8GSAE. That's terrible. Stolarz has posted .926 SV%, 1.95 GAA and +1GSAE. For the most part I think both teams are defending well at 5-on-5, it's just that one team is getting way more stops than the other.
These stats don't tell the entire story, at all. There's also a big difference between Matthews/Marner/Nylander having a golden opportunity compared to Ridley Greig or Dylan Cozens.
 
These stats don't tell the entire story, at all. There's also a big difference between Matthews/Marner/Nylander having a golden opportunity compared to Ridley Greig or Dylan Cozens.
Ya, stats are fun, but I didn’t see a goal last night where I’d say that was an easy save that any goalie would make. Leafs score more than 2 goals & they win. We only manage to score 2 goals and we lose. I wonder if that has anything to do with it.
 
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Before the series started, Overdrive had Gary Roberts on to talk about his experiences in the Battle of Ontario. When asked why the Leafs won, he talked about Curtis Joseph. He said that even though Ottawa controlled the play and got more shots, Joseph played better the more action he faced. And it opened up the game for the Leafs to counter attack.

He joked that Pat Quinn would tell the team they needed to give up at least 35 shots and a couple of breakaways to keep Joseph sharp.

This got me wondering: is Ullmark better with more shots?

Looking at his stats this year:
  • 15 full games with fewer than 30 shots: .896 SV%
  • 22 full games with 30 or more shots: .926 SV%

Maybe we should start playing some run and gun?
 

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