Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin, Bergeron, P. Kane, Keith, Karlsson are top tier locks from his age group.
Toews, Kopitar, Doughty, Stamkos are right behind them.
Getzlaf, E. Staal, Burns, Backstrom, Giroux, Weber
Perry has a great trophy case. Benn and Subban have won major awards. Kessel has compiled. r. Suter. Marchand is getting there. Wheeler? J. Carter?
Krejci, Yandle, Parise, etc. - guys whom won't get in but have had great careers.
Price, Rask, Fleury and Holtby will all get consideration but not sure how goalie voting works.
Imperfect list as I'm sure I'm missing guys but that's a general look at his age group - 2 or so years on either side. That's his competition plus whomever I've forgotten/mistakes.
He's somewhere in the 4th line probably (plus whichever goalies make it) so that puts him outside of the top 20 against his contemporaries.
With an average of three or so a year there's going to be some very good players waiting and filling up the queue.