Similar to last years final, should be Leafs in 5 but the league will probably make the most dog shit calls/non-calls in game 5 to extend the series, and then we close it out in 6. Still voted 5, I think we are the far superior team this year.
Tampa's D core is going to get exposed, McDonagh was such a stud for them last year he made life hell for our top 6. Sergachev is a complete fraud, IMO this guy is a glorified Jake Gardiner, I fully expect the Leafs to dominate and expose him. They paid him a ridiculous amount to be their #2, when he's really not strong enough defensively for that role. Cernak is solid, Perbix is a decent depth D man, and obviously Hedman. Apart from those guys, their D core is pretty shit. Losing Palat obviously hurts their top 6 as well.
I think we win the forward match up and the D-men match up overall. Hedman is quite easily the best defender between both teams, but looking at both groups as a whole I prefer our D-men. Edge in net to Tampa.
The 2 guys we need to beat IMO are Cirelli and Point, these guys are pretty much elite defensively and they were huge difference makers last year. Our top guys need to be better than them and I'm comfortable they will. We are adding O'Reilly back to this team, it's going to be a matchup nightmare for Tampa.
Entire series will hinge on us winning the special teams battle. I am pretty confident in outplaying them at 5v5. Our PP has been our downfall many times though in the playoffs.
This is another huge point, despite all the shitty calls and non-calls we like to discuss, we were literally 1 PP goal away from winning the series. Just 1 more PP goal. We cannot control the officiating, but the team is fully responsible for how well or poor they run the PP and special teams. We need to match Tampas desperation and intensity on the special teams.