Look at Lindy's old team! Look at Lindy's current team! And I like Lindy!
Lindy's old team also had some great expected values and got some terrible goaltending. Despite only being around for one year, the narrative was in the 2nd year of good expected when they set a team record for points, it was all due to Brunette, rather than getting modestly better goaltending. Then Brunette went and they lost their top defenseman - love or hate him Hamilton is their #1 guy - and it was rolled back to beating up Ruff as the coach. With goaltending improvements, that team has aged nicely into their current position. They have two centers I would take before anyone on the Sabres and a couple of defensemen I'd take for the 2nd pair on the Sabres before anyone else.
That said, Adams continues to be a fool. He's followed the Botterill path of just not making any moves and now the timeline horizons have gotten very tight.
I would also point out that their xG numbers are very much a case of Dahlin's importance to this team.