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Kempe's Next Contract

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If Kempe wants to stay, I don't think there's much stopping it. Drafted by the team. Developed over a long time. Finally giving the team more than potential. He'll get rewarded for that. 5/6 years, north of $30m, no doubt, and you take the good with the bad. The price of doing business. And then you just have to hope future production lives up to the cap hit. Even if this is his career best season, that's how it's going to play out.

There's no show us again contract. Kempe took his bridge deal, and now he'll get paid, and it'll have to be by the Kings, or else they're a cheap organization. They kept Iafallo. They kept Roy. They handed Petersen a deal. Same with the old core, they're not going to stop now. We gave everyone else Cup contracts, we'll say no to Doughty even if he wants to stay? No, that was never going to happen.

Re-sign Kempe, not with a blank check or anything though, and whatever happens happens after that.
 
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Blake hadn’t given out big increases. Going from $2 to $6 million per is a big jump. I doubt they had that number down in their long term budget. He’s also been proactive and signed his good RFAs before their current contract expires, from what I recall. Pearson, Toffoli, and Iafallo come to mind. Even Kempes current deal.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Adrian signs an extension towards the end of the season, especially if he keeps up the pace and the Kings are playoff bound. My guess is $5.2 x 4 years. That more than doubles his current cap hit and buys 2 UFA seasons.
 
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KingsFan7824 said:
If Kempe wants to stay, I don't think there's much stopping it. Drafted by the team. Developed over a long time. Finally giving the team more than potential. He'll get rewarded for that. 5/6 years, north of $30m, no doubt, and you take the good with the bad. The price of doing business. And then you just have to hope future production lives up to the cap hit. Even if this is his career best season, that's how it's going to play out.

There's no show us again contract. Kempe took his bridge deal, and now he'll get paid, and it'll have to be by the Kings, or else they're a cheap organization. They kept Iafallo. They kept Roy. They handed Petersen a deal. Same with the old core, they're not going to stop now. We gave everyone else Cup contracts, we'll say no to Doughty even if he wants to stay? No, that was never going to happen.

Re-sign Kempe, not with a blank check or anything though, and whatever happens happens after that.
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Nope, 26 years old, he's over the hill, should be trading him while his value is peaked......he will never be the same player again, if we can get a 4th for him...it should be done.
 
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Kempe is 26 years old. It has taken him this long to have the kind of season which warrants serious money.

Because he is 26, it would be a mistake to give him anything more than a 4-year deal.
 
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KINGS17 said:
Kempe is 26 years old. It has taken him this long to have the kind of season which warrants serious money.

Because he is 26, it would be a mistake to give him anything more than a 4-year deal.
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while I agree, it would be a mistake on his part to take a 4 year deal. This is his prime contract. He’s going to get 5-6 years or he should fire his agent.
 
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DoktorJeep said:
Blake hadn’t given out big increases. Going from $2 to $6 million per is a big jump. I doubt they had that number down in their long term budget. He’s also been proactive and signed his good RFAs before their current contract expires, from what I recall. Pearson, Toffoli, and Iafallo come to mind. Even Kempes current deal.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Adrian signs an extension towards the end of the season, especially if he keeps up the pace and the Kings are playoff bound. My guess is $5.2 x 4 years. That more than doubles his current cap hit and buys 2 UFA seasons.
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I like that deal, I have him lined up for longer term at a slightly small cap hit…
6 years, $30mill… I’m guessing it’ll be somewhere between our guesses
 
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The reason I think it'll be in the 5's is because this is truly a breakout season where he's been consistent since game 1. That hasn't been the case at all in his previous seasons so I can easily see Blake being gun shy giving him a contract above 6 million. I think given his play this year he deserved a big pay raise, but we can't be talking 8 year deals or deals above 6 million in my eyes because I think he could easily revert back to inconsistent Kempe in an instant. I don't think its a coincidence that his best year is coming in the middle of a contract year as well.
 
If Kempe wants $6M+, I think we’re looking at a camp holdout situation. And depending on what the cap space looks like, that could force a trade. Either Kempe or another everyday player.
 
KINGS17 said:
Kempe is 26 years old. It has taken him this long to have the kind of season which warrants serious money.

Because he is 26, it would be a mistake to give him anything more than a 4-year deal.
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He's 25.

That's a young 25. He just turned 25 in September.
 
kingsboy11 said:
The reason I think it'll be in the 5's is because this is truly a breakout season where he's been consistent since game 1. That hasn't been the case at all in his previous seasons so I can easily see Blake being gun shy giving him a contract above 6 million. I think given his play this year he deserved a big pay raise, but we can't be talking 8 year deals or deals above 6 million in my eyes because I think he could easily revert back to inconsistent Kempe in an instant. I don't think its a coincidence that his best year is coming in the middle of a contract year as well.
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Normally I'd agree, however Kempe is UFA eligible after I believe next season, but maybe after 2023-2024, I'm never really sure which. Either way, for sure after year two of any deal you're buying UFA years so the price jumps then. I don't see any reason why he'd take fewer dollars without simply taking a bridge deal and lining himself up to be a UFA in a year or two at which point we're in a bidding war we likely could lose if he does keep it up. As with anyone nearing UFA age, you're going to have to decide if it's worth the gamble to give more years or not but if we do, and I think the consensus is we'd like to keep him long-term, you're going to have to give up big bucks to do it.

Worst case scenario he falls back to be a 20/20 player for his career and we overpaid by about $2 million a year. Best case, what we're seeing this year is what we'll be getting and we underpaid by about $2 million a year.
 
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I think something like 6 years, $6.5 million is where he ends up. If he scores 40 goals this year, he's got a lot of leverage. The last guy to score 40+ for LA was Robitaille... in 1993-94, two years before Kempe was even born. This year's version of Kempe is the most exciting offensive player we've had in ages.
 
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yes 40 goals would be ''devistatating'' but he missed a couple of games too.

He will probably ends up around 30-35 goals because I dont see him keeping up this pace either.
 
respD said:
This year's numbers have definitely driven up the price, no question. But I'd also be nervous paying with the expectation that it's his new normal - his goals per game this season is nearly double his best with any club at any time going back to his age 16 season. He may well turn into a consistent 30 goal scorer but the track record isn't there yet. I think the number they arrive at would have to reflect that. Could performance bonuses be negotiated?

He'll be an arbitration-eligible RFA at the end of this contract so that may come into play too.
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IMO this is getting overlooked a little. He's under team control still and has thus far been a very team-friendly guy re: negotiations (at least from what we see). I don't see him playing true brass tacks hardball now given his minutes/usage and fit regardless of a breakout season.

I could see him getting a year or two just to get him to UFA so he can REALLY get paid as a 'show me' deal, but I'm sure he'd rather take some certainty over an extra million or two.

In other words the stability 5x5.5 would be better than 2x4.5 and then 3x7 and a change of scenery and arbitration and etc.

I do think it's 4-6 years, 5.5-6. Over 6 would be bad. Longer term is also tougher on team flexibility so i'm sure Blake is pushing for 4x5 while Kempe's camp 6x6.
 
Kempe's pace has dropped as a result of his 6-game goal-scoring drought, and is now on pace for 37 goals. Still, even 35 goals would be a huge accomplishment for Kempe, but I'm betting he settles in around the low 30's. A six-year, $5.5 million contract would be awesome for LA.
 
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